Peter Michorl
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Peter Michorl's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-0.8M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.86x the positional average in the league (1933 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 76
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 24.8th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 31.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €249k vs market €500k |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -35% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1933 (83% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.23
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.35
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 25 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1237
- Opponent strength
- 1220
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €224k – €447k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 49 pts; league level up (+40 Elo); role change CM -> AM; relative output down 40% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -51% (IQR -61% to -34%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 14 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 67%–189%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 64%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | APS Atromitos Athinon | Super League 1 | AM | 23 | 1933 | 83% | 1 | 4 | 0.23 | 0.35 | 1220 | 1237 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | APS Atromitos Athinon | Super League 1 | CM | 19 | 795 | 34% | 0 | 2 | 0.23 | 0.30 | 1299 | 1192 | 0.35 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | APS Atromitos Athinon | 5 | 328 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Kypello Elladas | APS Atromitos Athinon | 2 | 151 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arnaud Djoum Scottish Premiership · 2019 | 30 | €650k | €500k | fell |
| Gary Dicker Scottish Premiership · 2017 | 31 | €500k | €500k | flat |
| Matty Kennedy Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 30 | €350k | €100k | fell |
| Peter Nymann Superliga · 2015 | 33 | €350k | €150k | fell |
| Elini Dimoutsos Super League 1 · 2019 | 31 | €400k | €250k | fell |
| Adnan Secerovic Super League 1 · 2020 | 29 | €350k | €100k | fell |
| Michalis Boukouvalas Super League 1 · 2018 | 30 | €600k | €325k | fell |
| Roman Karasyuk Premier Liga · 2022 | 31 | €400k | €175k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | Atromitos | Grazer AK 1902 | Free / loan | €500k |
| 30 Jul 2024 | Amateure OÖ | Atromitos | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2024 | LASK | Amateure OÖ | Unknown | €800k |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Austria Vienna | LASK | Unknown | €200k |
| 30 Jun 2015 | LASK | Austria Vienna | Free / loan | €200k |
| 1 Sept 2014 | Austria Vienna | LASK | Free / loan | €150k |
| 22 Jan 2014 | A. Vienna Res. | Austria Vienna | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2011 | AKA Austria U16 | A. Vienna Res. | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2010 | AKA Austria U15 | AKA Austria U16 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2009 | Austria Yth. | AKA Austria U15 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2004 | Gerasdorf J. | Austria Yth. | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.