Aderllan Santos

The model rates Aderllan Santos's performance-implied value at EUR 0.1M-0.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.0M-0.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.1M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.

Market value below EUR 250k (outside validated pool)

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

1032 (34% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.09

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.13

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

33 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.58 (rank 9)

Team strength (Elo)

1182

Opponent strength

1326

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

stable

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€76k – €111k

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 38 pts; changed club; relative output up 87% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -32% to +0%).

• ▲Age 37: resale value typically declines.
• ⚠Limited sample: 1032 league minutes last season.
• ⚠League level coefficient 0.58 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
• ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
• ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
• ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Historical movers

66 (DEF)

Relative output kept

57%–168%

Held a regular role (900+ min)

76%

Confidence

Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.