Djibril Sidibé
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Djibril Sidibé's performance-implied value at EUR 1.3M-3.0M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-1.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.8M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.03x the positional average in the league (2147 minutes, league coefficient 0.88). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Age above 33 (outside validated pool)
| Performance | High | 77.8th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 33.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €654k vs market €1.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -39% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2147 (70% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.29
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.23
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 78 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1442
- Opponent strength
- 1464
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €339k – €796k
Trajectory drivers: role change CB -> RM; relative output down 37% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -74% (IQR -85% to -42%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Age 34: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Toulouse | Ligue 1 | RM | 32 | 2147 | 70% | 3 | 4 | 0.29 | 0.23 | 1464 | 1442 | 0.88 |
| 2024/25 | FC Toulouse | Ligue 1 | CB | 28 | 2105 | 69% | 0 | 3 | 0.13 | 0.12 | 1435 | 1437 | 0.88 |
| 2023/24 | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | Super League 1 | RB | 13 | 1066 | 46% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1237 | 1472 | 0.42 |
| 2022/23 | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | Super League 1 | RB | 9 | 494 | 21% | 0 | 1 | 0.18 | 0.11 | 1211 | 1424 | 0.37 |
| 2021/22 | AS Monaco | Ligue 1 | RB | 17 | 950 | 28% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1408 | 1599 | 0.86 |
| 2020/21 | AS Monaco | Ligue 1 | RB | 30 | 1976 | 58% | 0 | 2 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 1408 | 1549 | 0.75 |
| 2019/20 | Everton FC | Premier League | RB | 25 | 1821 | 53% | 0 | 4 | 0.20 | 0.21 | 1592 | 1525 | 1.14 |
| 2018/19 | AS Monaco | Ligue 1 | RB | 26 | 2072 | 61% | 0 | 3 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 1450 | 1396 | 0.82 |
| 2017/18 | AS Monaco | Ligue 1 | RB | 27 | 2157 | 63% | 2 | 8 | 0.42 | 0.20 | 1420 | 1620 | 0.85 |
| 2016/17 | AS Monaco | Ligue 1 | RB | 29 | 2322 | 68% | 2 | 6 | 0.31 | 0.19 | 1430 | 1727 | 0.88 |
| 2015/16 | LOSC Lille | Ligue 1 | LB | 37 | 3275 | 96% | 4 | 3 | 0.19 | 0.19 | 1440 | 1503 | 0.78 |
| 2014/15 | LOSC Lille | Ligue 1 | LB | 25 | 2096 | 61% | 2 | 2 | 0.17 | 0.15 | 1415 | 1454 | 0.80 |
| 2013/14 | LOSC Lille | Ligue 1 | RB | 20 | 1355 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1465 | 1529 | 0.79 |
| 2012/13 | LOSC Lille | Ligue 1 | RB | 14 | 779 | 23% | 1 | 1 | 0.23 | 0.19 | 1452 | 1520 | 0.88 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | 4 | 292 | 1 | 0 | 1566 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | 2 | 157 | 0 | 0 | 1569 |
| 2023/24 | Kypello Elladas | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | 2 | 107 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Kypello Elladas | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | 5 | 365 | 0 | 2 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | AS Monaco | 3 | 279 | 0 | 0 | 1544 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League | AS Monaco | 3 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1612 |
| 2019/20 | Fa Cup | Everton FC | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Champions League | AS Monaco | 4 | 334 | 0 | 0 | 1628 |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Champions League | AS Monaco | 3 | 253 | 0 | 0 | 1592 |
| 2017/18 | Trophee Des Champions | AS Monaco | 1 | 77 | 1 | 0 | 1757 |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Champions League | AS Monaco | 9 | 810 | 1 | 1 | 1687 |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | AS Monaco | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | 1591 |
| 2014/15 | Uefa Europa League | LOSC Lille | 2 | 137 | 0 | 0 | 1613 |
| 2014/15 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | LOSC Lille | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1398 |
| 2012/13 | Uefa Champions League | LOSC Lille | 3 | 169 | 1 | 0 | 1561 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorenzo De Silvestri Serie A · 2022 | 34 | €1.5M | €400k | fell |
| Jaroslav Plasil Ligue 1 · 2017 | 35 | €1.0M | €500k | fell |
| Jaime Valdés Serie A · 2013 | 32 | €2.0M | €2.0M | flat |
| Márcio Abreu Premier Liga · 2013 | 33 | €1.0M | €900k | flat |
| Blagoy Georgiev Premier Liga · 2015 | 34 | €1.0M | €100k | fell |
| Johan Cavalli Ligue 1 · 2013 | 32 | €1.0M | €250k | fell |
| Sébastien Roudet Ligue 1 · 2013 | 32 | €1.5M | €250k | fell |
| Marco Marchionni Serie A · 2014 | 34 | €600k | €50k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Aug 2024 | AEK Athens | Toulouse | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 9 Sept 2022 | Monaco | AEK Athens | Free / loan | €8.0M |
| 31 Jul 2020 | Everton | Monaco | Free / loan | €9.5M |
| 7 Aug 2019 | Monaco | Everton | Free / loan | €15.0M |
| 8 Jul 2016 | Lille | Monaco | €15.0M | €4.0M |
| 24 Jul 2012 | Troyes | Lille | €2.5M | €1.8M |
| 21 Feb 2011 | ESTAC Troyes B | Troyes | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2010 | Troyes U19 | ESTAC Troyes B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2009 | Troyes U17 | Troyes U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2007 | Troyes For. | Troyes U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.