Denis Suárez

The model rates Denis Suárez's performance-implied value at EUR 1.6M-3.1M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-0.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-1.0M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.04x the positional average in the league (1407 minutes, league coefficient 0.95). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

1407 (41% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.19

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.42

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

79 (High)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.95 (rank 2)

Team strength (Elo)

1410

Opponent strength

1504

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

improving

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€384k – €986k

Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 24 pts; changed club; team strength down (-187 Elo); relative output up 39% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -59% (IQR -67% to -32%).

• ▲Age 32: resale value typically declines.
• ⚠Limited sample: 1407 league minutes last season.
• ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.