Amar Rahmanovic

32 yrs · Attacking midfielder (also ST) · Bosnia-Herzegovina
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier Liga · Foot: left · Height: 191 cm
Risk: Very HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€750k
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€199k – €623k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€381k – €619k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€255k – €556k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€242k – €420k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€199k – €623k
Model value (performance-implied)€381k – €619k
Projected value (24 months)€255k – €556k
Dashed line: current market value (€750k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Amar Rahmanovic's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-0.6M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.95x the positional average in the league (1560 minutes, league coefficient 0.56). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: 37

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average15.3th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable32.1 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €265k vs market €750k
Expected appreciationVery low-55% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapLargeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationModerateleague coefficient 0.56
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskVery High
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €2.8M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1560 (58% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.35
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.48
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
15 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.56 (rank 10)
Team strength (Elo)
1262
Opponent strength
1334
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€255k – €556k

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -60% (IQR -70% to -54%).

Risk profile

Overall: Very High

  • ▲Age 32: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠Limited sample: 1560 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.56 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level estimated mainly from squad values (few matches vs other leagues).
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
20 (ATT)
Relative output kept
76%–104%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
50%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26PFK Krylya Sovetov SamaraPremier LigaST24156058%510.350.48133412620.56
2024/25PFK Krylya Sovetov SamaraPremier LigaAM7793%000.000.35121312570.55
2023/24PFK Krylya Sovetov SamaraPremier LigaAM26170663%630.470.50134412570.49
2022/23PFK Krylya Sovetov SamaraPremier LigaAM17102638%100.090.21134012700.53
2022/23KonyasporSuper LigAM52177%000.000.28133313550.50
2021/22KonyasporSuper LigAM31137640%610.460.40127313300.42
2020/21KonyasporSuper LigAM1877321%040.470.57131112250.37

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Russian CupPFK Krylya Sovetov Samara525710—
2023/24Russian CupPFK Krylya Sovetov Samara324311—
2022/23Russian CupPFK Krylya Sovetov Samara925901—
2022/23Uefa Conference League QualifyingKonyaspor3180101382
2020/21Uefa Champions League QualifyingFK Sarajevo2180011341
2020/21Uefa Europa League QualifyingFK Sarajevo175001303

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Denys Vasin
Premier Liga · 2020
31€300k€150kfell
Tom De Sutter
Jupiler Pro League · 2017
32€800k€300kfell
Rui Fonte
Liga Portugal · 2022
32€1.0M€300kfell
Jonas Borring
Superliga · 2016
31€400k€300kfell
Vidar Örn Kjartansson
Premier Liga · 2020
30€1.2M€500kfell
Evgeniy Markov
Premier Liga · 2024
30€1.0M€450kfell
Sokol Cikalleshi
Super Lig · 2024
34€500k€150kfell
Ilhan Parlak
Super Lig · 2017
30€500k€150kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
7 Sept 2022KonyasporKS Samara€750k€2.8M
20 Jan 2021FK SarajevoKonyaspor€375k€800k
1 Jul 2017NK CeljeFK SarajevoFree / loan€400k
29 Aug 2016NK MariborNK CeljeFree / loan€400k
1 Jan 2016FC KoperNK MariborFree / loan€400k
17 Jan 2015NK IstraFC KoperFree / loan€250k
1 Jul 2014OFK OlimpikNK IstraFree / loan€250k
7 Aug 2013Novi PazarOFK OlimpikFree / loan€300k
31 Aug 2012Sloboda T U19Novi PazarFree / loan€125k

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

Amar Rahmanovic · MoneyballAI