
Amar Rahmanovic
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Amar Rahmanovic's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-0.6M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.95x the positional average in the league (1560 minutes, league coefficient 0.56). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 37
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 15.3th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 32.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €265k vs market €750k |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -55% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.56 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1560 (58% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.35
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.48
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 15 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.56 (rank 10)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1262
- Opponent strength
- 1334
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €255k – €556k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -60% (IQR -70% to -54%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Age 32: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1560 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.56 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠League level estimated mainly from squad values (few matches vs other leagues).
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 20 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 76%–104%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 50%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | Premier Liga | ST | 24 | 1560 | 58% | 5 | 1 | 0.35 | 0.48 | 1334 | 1262 | 0.56 |
| 2024/25 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | Premier Liga | AM | 7 | 79 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.35 | 1213 | 1257 | 0.55 |
| 2023/24 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | Premier Liga | AM | 26 | 1706 | 63% | 6 | 3 | 0.47 | 0.50 | 1344 | 1257 | 0.49 |
| 2022/23 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | Premier Liga | AM | 17 | 1026 | 38% | 1 | 0 | 0.09 | 0.21 | 1340 | 1270 | 0.53 |
| 2022/23 | Konyaspor | Super Lig | AM | 5 | 217 | 7% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.28 | 1333 | 1355 | 0.50 |
| 2021/22 | Konyaspor | Super Lig | AM | 31 | 1376 | 40% | 6 | 1 | 0.46 | 0.40 | 1273 | 1330 | 0.42 |
| 2020/21 | Konyaspor | Super Lig | AM | 18 | 773 | 21% | 0 | 4 | 0.47 | 0.57 | 1311 | 1225 | 0.37 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Russian Cup | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 5 | 257 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Russian Cup | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 3 | 243 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2022/23 | Russian Cup | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 9 | 259 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Konyaspor | 3 | 180 | 1 | 0 | 1382 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | FK Sarajevo | 2 | 180 | 0 | 1 | 1341 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | FK Sarajevo | 1 | 75 | 0 | 0 | 1303 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denys Vasin Premier Liga · 2020 | 31 | €300k | €150k | fell |
| Tom De Sutter Jupiler Pro League · 2017 | 32 | €800k | €300k | fell |
| Rui Fonte Liga Portugal · 2022 | 32 | €1.0M | €300k | fell |
| Jonas Borring Superliga · 2016 | 31 | €400k | €300k | fell |
| Vidar Örn Kjartansson Premier Liga · 2020 | 30 | €1.2M | €500k | fell |
| Evgeniy Markov Premier Liga · 2024 | 30 | €1.0M | €450k | fell |
| Sokol Cikalleshi Super Lig · 2024 | 34 | €500k | €150k | fell |
| Ilhan Parlak Super Lig · 2017 | 30 | €500k | €150k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Sept 2022 | Konyaspor | KS Samara | €750k | €2.8M |
| 20 Jan 2021 | FK Sarajevo | Konyaspor | €375k | €800k |
| 1 Jul 2017 | NK Celje | FK Sarajevo | Free / loan | €400k |
| 29 Aug 2016 | NK Maribor | NK Celje | Free / loan | €400k |
| 1 Jan 2016 | FC Koper | NK Maribor | Free / loan | €400k |
| 17 Jan 2015 | NK Istra | FC Koper | Free / loan | €250k |
| 1 Jul 2014 | OFK Olimpik | NK Istra | Free / loan | €250k |
| 7 Aug 2013 | Novi Pazar | OFK Olimpik | Free / loan | €300k |
| 31 Aug 2012 | Sloboda T U19 | Novi Pazar | Free / loan | €125k |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.