Svenn Crone

31 yrs · Right-back (also LB) · Denmark
FC Fredericia · Superliga · Foot: both · Height: 182 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2028
Market value
€350k
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€66k – €330k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€247k – €387k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€192k – €330k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€84k – €320k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€66k – €330k
Model value (performance-implied)€247k – €387k
Projected value (24 months)€192k – €330k
Dashed line: current market value (€350k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Svenn Crone's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.3M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 86

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average2.1th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable31.1 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €166k vs market €350k
Expected appreciationVery low-26% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapLargeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.47
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €500k

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1752 (89% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.10
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.14
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
2 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.47 (rank 12)
Team strength (Elo)
1183
Opponent strength
1277
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€192k – €330k

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -10% (IQR -38% to +0%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ⚠Limited sample: 1752 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.47 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
24 (DEF)
Relative output kept
60%–139%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
71%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26FC FredericiaSuperligaRB22175288%200.100.14127711830.47
2020/21Lyngby BoldklubSuperligaRB636018%000.000.13139511640.43
2019/20Silkeborg IFSuperligaRB23204587%130.180.23128610980.41
2017/18Bröndby IFSuperligaLB1395541%010.090.07127715020.47
2016/17Bröndby IFSuperligaLB23169873%030.160.10128814400.48
2015/16Bröndby IFSuperligaRB42619%000.000.06124113720.53

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Oddset PokalenFC Fredericia25900—
2020/21Oddset PokalenSilkeborg IF218000—
2019/20Oddset PokalenSilkeborg IF435901—
2017/18Uefa Europa League QualifyingBröndby IF3225001394
2017/18Oddset PokalenBröndby IF112000—
2016/17Uefa Europa League QualifyingBröndby IF6513001349
2016/17Oddset PokalenBröndby IF322910—
2015/16Oddset PokalenBröndby IF11700—
2015/16Uefa Europa League QualifyingBröndby IF18001311
2014/15Oddset PokalenBrönshöj Boldklub16900—
2014/15Oddset PokalenBröndby IF11000—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Emil Bergström
Super League 1 · 2024
31€400k€400kflat
Pieter-Jan Monteyne
Jupiler Pro League · 2014
31€500k€200kfell
Mads Greve
Superliga · 2019
30€350k€250kfell
Jesper Böge
Superliga · 2020
30€300k€100kfell
Michael Lumb
Superliga · 2018
30€300k€300kflat
Joe Shaughnessy
Scottish Premiership · 2022
30€400k€350kflat
Iain Davidson
Scottish Premiership · 2013
29€250k€275kflat
Sander Fischer
Superliga · 2019
31€300k€275kflat

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
3 Mar 2025SK BrannFC FredericiaFree / loan€400k
27 Feb 2022Lyngby BKSK BrannUnknown€300k
1 Feb 2021Silkeborg IFLyngby BKUnknown€300k
1 Jul 2018Bröndby IFSilkeborg IF€50k€400k
30 Jun 2015Brönshöj BKBröndby IFFree / loan€50k
2 Feb 2015Bröndby IFBrönshöj BKFree / loan€50k
1 Jul 2014Bröndby IF U19Bröndby IFUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2012Bröndby IF U17Bröndby IF U19UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

Svenn Crone · MoneyballAI