
Svenn Crone
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Svenn Crone's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.3M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 86
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 2.1th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 31.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €166k vs market €350k |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -26% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.47 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1752 (89% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.10
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.14
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 2 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.47 (rank 12)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1183
- Opponent strength
- 1277
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €192k – €330k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -10% (IQR -38% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1752 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.47 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 24 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 60%–139%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 71%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Fredericia | Superliga | RB | 22 | 1752 | 88% | 2 | 0 | 0.10 | 0.14 | 1277 | 1183 | 0.47 |
| 2020/21 | Lyngby Boldklub | Superliga | RB | 6 | 360 | 18% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 1395 | 1164 | 0.43 |
| 2019/20 | Silkeborg IF | Superliga | RB | 23 | 2045 | 87% | 1 | 3 | 0.18 | 0.23 | 1286 | 1098 | 0.41 |
| 2017/18 | Bröndby IF | Superliga | LB | 13 | 955 | 41% | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | 0.07 | 1277 | 1502 | 0.47 |
| 2016/17 | Bröndby IF | Superliga | LB | 23 | 1698 | 73% | 0 | 3 | 0.16 | 0.10 | 1288 | 1440 | 0.48 |
| 2015/16 | Bröndby IF | Superliga | RB | 4 | 261 | 9% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1241 | 1372 | 0.53 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Fredericia | 2 | 59 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Oddset Pokalen | Silkeborg IF | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Oddset Pokalen | Silkeborg IF | 4 | 359 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Bröndby IF | 3 | 225 | 0 | 0 | 1394 |
| 2017/18 | Oddset Pokalen | Bröndby IF | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Bröndby IF | 6 | 513 | 0 | 0 | 1349 |
| 2016/17 | Oddset Pokalen | Bröndby IF | 3 | 229 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2015/16 | Oddset Pokalen | Bröndby IF | 1 | 17 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2015/16 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Bröndby IF | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1311 |
| 2014/15 | Oddset Pokalen | Brönshöj Boldklub | 1 | 69 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2014/15 | Oddset Pokalen | Bröndby IF | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Bergström Super League 1 · 2024 | 31 | €400k | €400k | flat |
| Pieter-Jan Monteyne Jupiler Pro League · 2014 | 31 | €500k | €200k | fell |
| Mads Greve Superliga · 2019 | 30 | €350k | €250k | fell |
| Jesper Böge Superliga · 2020 | 30 | €300k | €100k | fell |
| Michael Lumb Superliga · 2018 | 30 | €300k | €300k | flat |
| Joe Shaughnessy Scottish Premiership · 2022 | 30 | €400k | €350k | flat |
| Iain Davidson Scottish Premiership · 2013 | 29 | €250k | €275k | flat |
| Sander Fischer Superliga · 2019 | 31 | €300k | €275k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Mar 2025 | SK Brann | FC Fredericia | Free / loan | €400k |
| 27 Feb 2022 | Lyngby BK | SK Brann | Unknown | €300k |
| 1 Feb 2021 | Silkeborg IF | Lyngby BK | Unknown | €300k |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Bröndby IF | Silkeborg IF | €50k | €400k |
| 30 Jun 2015 | Brönshöj BK | Bröndby IF | Free / loan | €50k |
| 2 Feb 2015 | Bröndby IF | Brönshöj BK | Free / loan | €50k |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Bröndby IF U19 | Bröndby IF | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Bröndby IF U17 | Bröndby IF U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.