
Kasper Schmeichel
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Kasper Schmeichel's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.9M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.0M-0.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.1M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Market value below EUR 250k (outside validated pool)
| Performance | High | 80.5th pct among GK peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 39.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €108k vs market €150k |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -18% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.31 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 284 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2340 (79% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.00
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 81 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.31 (rank 26)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1406
- Opponent strength
- 1199
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €50k – €146k
Trajectory drivers: team strength down (-106 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -39% (IQR -68% to -15%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲League level coefficient 0.31 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ▲Age 40: resale value typically declines.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 38 (all positions)
- Relative output kept
- 78%–148%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 74%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Celtic FC | Scottish Premiership | GK | 26 | 2340 | 79% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1199 | 1406 | 0.31 |
| 2024/25 | Celtic FC | Scottish Premiership | GK | 30 | 2700 | 91% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1217 | 1512 | 0.34 |
| 2023/24 | RSC Anderlecht | Jupiler Pro League | GK | 23 | 2070 | 77% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1377 | 1516 | 0.63 |
| 2022/23 | OGC Nice | Ligue 1 | GK | 36 | 3240 | 95% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1450 | 1519 | 0.82 |
| 2021/22 | Leicester City | Premier League | GK | 37 | 3330 | 97% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1572 | 1582 | 1.17 |
| 2020/21 | Leicester City | Premier League | GK | 38 | 3420 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1561 | 1585 | 1.19 |
| 2019/20 | Leicester City | Premier League | GK | 38 | 3420 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1585 | 1563 | 1.14 |
| 2018/19 | Leicester City | Premier League | GK | 38 | 3420 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1544 | 1558 | 1.22 |
| 2017/18 | Leicester City | Premier League | GK | 33 | 2966 | 87% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1541 | 1516 | 1.15 |
| 2016/17 | Leicester City | Premier League | GK | 30 | 2667 | 78% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1542 | 1536 | 1.07 |
| 2015/16 | Leicester City | Premier League | GK | 38 | 3420 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1523 | 1659 | 1.08 |
| 2014/15 | Leicester City | Premier League | GK | 24 | 2160 | 63% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1529 | 1461 | 1.06 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | Celtic FC | 9 | 810 | 0 | 0 | 1504 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Celtic FC | 2 | 210 | 0 | 0 | 1435 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | Celtic FC | 10 | 900 | 0 | 0 | 1624 |
| 2024/25 | Scottish Fa Cup | Celtic FC | 3 | 300 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | OGC Nice | 2 | 210 | 0 | 0 | 1517 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League | Leicester City | 6 | 540 | 0 | 0 | 1509 |
| 2021/22 | Community Shield | Leicester City | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1864 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League | Leicester City | 6 | 540 | 0 | 0 | 1489 |
| 2020/21 | Fa Cup | Leicester City | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Fa Cup | Leicester City | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Fa Cup | Leicester City | 2 | 210 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Champions League | Leicester City | 8 | 720 | 0 | 0 | 1649 |
| 2016/17 | Fa Cup | Leicester City | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Community Shield | Leicester City | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1619 |
| 2015/16 | Fa Cup | Leicester City | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neil Alexander Scottish Premiership · 2016 | 38 | €200k | €150k | fell |
| Jesper Hansen Superliga · 2021 | 36 | €250k | €200k | fell |
| Allan McGregor Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 41 | €300k | €300k | flat |
| Joe Hart Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 37 | €500k | €500k | flat |
| Yuriy Pankiv Premier Liga · 2023 | 39 | €200k | €100k | fell |
| Emiliano Viviano Super Lig · 2021 | 36 | €350k | €100k | fell |
| David Marshall Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 38 | €200k | €50k | fell |
| Craig Gordon Scottish Premiership · 2022 | 39 | €450k | €150k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | Celtic | Retired | Unknown | €150k |
| 18 Jul 2024 | RSC Anderlecht | Celtic | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 5 Sept 2023 | Nice | RSC Anderlecht | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 3 Aug 2022 | Leicester | Nice | €1.0M | €4.0M |
| 1 Jul 2011 | Leeds | Leicester | €1.7M | €1.0M |
| 1 Jul 2010 | Notts County | Leeds | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 14 Aug 2009 | Man City | Notts County | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 31 May 2008 | Coventry | Man City | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 13 Mar 2008 | Man City | Coventry | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 2 Jan 2008 | Cardiff | Man City | Free / loan | €500k |
| 25 Oct 2007 | Man City | Cardiff | Free / loan | €500k |
| 1 Jul 2007 | Man City Res. | Man City | Unknown | €250k |
| 1 May 2007 | Falkirk | Man City Res. | Free / loan | €250k |
| 11 Jan 2007 | Man City Res. | Falkirk | Free / loan | €250k |
| 30 Nov 2006 | Bury | Man City Res. | Free / loan | €250k |
| 23 Aug 2006 | Man City Res. | Bury | Free / loan | €250k |
| 31 May 2006 | Bury | Man City Res. | Free / loan | €250k |
| 21 Feb 2006 | Man City Res. | Bury | Free / loan | €250k |
| 31 Jan 2006 | Darlington | Man City Res. | Free / loan | €250k |
| 13 Jan 2006 | Man City Res. | Darlington | Free / loan | €250k |
| 1 Jul 2004 | Man City U18 | Man City Res. | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.