Kasper Schmeichel

39 yrs · Goalkeeper · Denmark
Celtic FC · Scottish Premiership · Foot: right · Height: 189 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: Data unavailable
Market value
€150k
Updated today
Estimated acquisition
€39k – €291k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€194k – €940k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€50k – €146k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€97k – €901k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€39k – €291k
Model value (performance-implied)€194k – €940k
Projected value (24 months)€50k – €146k
Dashed line: current market value (€150k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Kasper Schmeichel's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.9M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.0M-0.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.1M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Market value below EUR 250k (outside validated pool)

PerformanceHigh80.5th pct among GK peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable39.7 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €108k vs market €150k
Expected appreciationLow-18% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.31
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €12.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 284 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2340 (79% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.00
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.00
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
81 (High)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.31 (rank 26)
Team strength (Elo)
1406
Opponent strength
1199
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
stable
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€50k – €146k

Trajectory drivers: team strength down (-106 Elo).

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -39% (IQR -68% to -15%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ▲League level coefficient 0.31 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ▲Age 40: resale value typically declines.
  • ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
38 (all positions)
Relative output kept
78%–148%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
74%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Celtic FCScottish PremiershipGK26234079%000.000.00119914060.31
2024/25Celtic FCScottish PremiershipGK30270091%000.000.00121715120.34
2023/24RSC AnderlechtJupiler Pro LeagueGK23207077%000.000.00137715160.63
2022/23OGC NiceLigue 1GK36324095%000.000.00145015190.82
2021/22Leicester CityPremier LeagueGK37333097%000.000.00157215821.17
2020/21Leicester CityPremier LeagueGK383420100%000.000.00156115851.19
2019/20Leicester CityPremier LeagueGK383420100%000.000.00158515631.14
2018/19Leicester CityPremier LeagueGK383420100%000.000.00154415581.22
2017/18Leicester CityPremier LeagueGK33296687%000.000.00154115161.15
2016/17Leicester CityPremier LeagueGK30266778%000.000.00154215361.07
2015/16Leicester CityPremier LeagueGK383420100%000.000.00152316591.08
2014/15Leicester CityPremier LeagueGK24216063%000.000.00152914611.06

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Europa LeagueCeltic FC9810001504
2025/26Uefa Champions League QualifyingCeltic FC2210001435
2024/25Uefa Champions LeagueCeltic FC10900001624
2024/25Scottish Fa CupCeltic FC330000—
2022/23Uefa Conference League QualifyingOGC Nice2210001517
2021/22Uefa Europa LeagueLeicester City6540001509
2021/22Community ShieldLeicester City190001864
2020/21Uefa Europa LeagueLeicester City6540001489
2020/21Fa CupLeicester City436000—
2019/20Fa CupLeicester City218000—
2017/18Fa CupLeicester City221000—
2016/17Uefa Champions LeagueLeicester City8720001649
2016/17Fa CupLeicester City218000—
2016/17Community ShieldLeicester City190001619
2015/16Fa CupLeicester City218000—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Neil Alexander
Scottish Premiership · 2016
38€200k€150kfell
Jesper Hansen
Superliga · 2021
36€250k€200kfell
Allan McGregor
Scottish Premiership · 2023
41€300k€300kflat
Joe Hart
Scottish Premiership · 2024
37€500k€500kflat
Yuriy Pankiv
Premier Liga · 2023
39€200k€100kfell
Emiliano Viviano
Super Lig · 2021
36€350k€100kfell
David Marshall
Scottish Premiership · 2023
38€200k€50kfell
Craig Gordon
Scottish Premiership · 2022
39€450k€150kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2026CelticRetiredUnknown€150k
18 Jul 2024RSC AnderlechtCelticFree / loan€1.0M
5 Sept 2023NiceRSC AnderlechtFree / loan€2.0M
3 Aug 2022LeicesterNice€1.0M€4.0M
1 Jul 2011LeedsLeicester€1.7M€1.0M
1 Jul 2010Notts CountyLeedsFree / loan€1.0M
14 Aug 2009Man CityNotts CountyFree / loan€1.0M
31 May 2008CoventryMan CityFree / loan€1.0M
13 Mar 2008Man CityCoventryFree / loan€1.0M
2 Jan 2008CardiffMan CityFree / loan€500k
25 Oct 2007Man CityCardiffFree / loan€500k
1 Jul 2007Man City Res.Man CityUnknown€250k
1 May 2007FalkirkMan City Res.Free / loan€250k
11 Jan 2007Man City Res.FalkirkFree / loan€250k
30 Nov 2006BuryMan City Res.Free / loan€250k
23 Aug 2006Man City Res.BuryFree / loan€250k
31 May 2006BuryMan City Res.Free / loan€250k
21 Feb 2006Man City Res.BuryFree / loan€250k
31 Jan 2006DarlingtonMan City Res.Free / loan€250k
13 Jan 2006Man City Res.DarlingtonFree / loan€250k
1 Jul 2004Man City U18Man City Res.UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.