Matt Doherty

The model rates Matt Doherty's performance-implied value at EUR 0.8M-1.6M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-2.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-1.0M. Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.

Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

792 (23% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.00

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.05

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

82 (High)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

1.30 (rank 1)

Team strength (Elo)

1425

Opponent strength

1643

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

declining

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€284k – €964k

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 39 pts; team strength down (-77 Elo); relative output down 65% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -55% (IQR -76% to -48%).

• ▲Small sample: 792 league minutes last season.
• ▲Age 34: resale value typically declines.
• ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
• ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
• ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
• ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.