Thomas Bruns

The model rates Thomas Bruns's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.2M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.0M-0.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.2M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.76x the positional average in the league (1156 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Market value below EUR 250k (outside validated pool)

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

1156 (38% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.08

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.30

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

5 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.43 (rank 15)

Team strength (Elo)

1060

Opponent strength

1372

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

declining

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€96k – €176k

Trajectory drivers: team strength down (-147 Elo); relative output down 40% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -50% to +0%).

• ▲Age 34: resale value typically declines.
• ⚠Limited sample: 1156 league minutes last season.
• ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
• ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
• ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
• ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
• ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Historical movers

53 (MID)

Relative output kept

76%–148%

Held a regular role (900+ min)

68%

Confidence

Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.