Anthony Nwakaeme

37 yrs · Left winger · Nigeria
Trabzonspor · Super Lig · Foot: right · Height: 185 cm
Risk: Very HighConfidence: LowSample: LowDevelopment: LowContract: Data unavailable
Market value
€150k
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€45k – €261k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€59k – €278k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€106k – €149k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€202k – €233k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€45k – €261k
Model value (performance-implied)€59k – €278k
Projected value (24 months)€106k – €149k
Dashed line: current market value (€150k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Anthony Nwakaeme's performance-implied value at EUR 0.1M-0.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.0M-0.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.1M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.77x the positional average in the league (644 minutes, league coefficient 0.40). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)

PerformanceBelow average23.4th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable37.3 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €94k vs market €150k
Expected appreciationLow-10% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapLargeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.4
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskVery High
Data confidenceLow

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €5.5M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 901 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
644 (21% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.28
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.32
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
23 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.40 (rank 18)
Team strength (Elo)
1368
Opponent strength
1298
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€106k – €149k

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 20 pts; team strength up (+61 Elo).

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -9% to +0%).

Risk profile

Overall: Very High

  • ▲Small sample: 644 league minutes last season.
  • ▲Age 37: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
53 (ATT)
Relative output kept
79%–133%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
58%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26TrabzonsporSuper LigLW1564421%020.280.32129813680.40
2024/25TrabzonsporSuper LigLW20134441%140.330.37130213070.39
2021/22TrabzonsporSuper LigLW30226766%13100.910.54124914330.42
2020/21TrabzonsporSuper LigLW34297083%770.420.32126813630.37
2019/20TrabzonsporSuper LigLW29225774%1190.800.53132614100.45
2018/19TrabzonsporSuper LigLW27222173%10100.810.62138714590.58

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2024/25Uefa Europa League QualifyingTrabzonspor482001421
2021/22Uefa Conference League QualifyingTrabzonspor4374101566
2019/20Uefa Europa League QualifyingTrabzonspor4341001468
2019/20Uefa Europa LeagueTrabzonspor4243111551
2018/19Uefa Europa League QualifyingHapoel Beer Sheva2180111405
2018/19Uefa Champions League QualifyingHapoel Beer Sheva2126001459

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Arouna Koné
Super Lig · 2021
38€150k€150kflat
Alan
Liga Portugal · 2017
38€300k€300kflat
Jason Scotland
Scottish Premiership · 2015
36€250k€250kflat
Ilhan Parlak
Super Lig · 2022
35€75k€75kflat
Deniz Kadah
Super Lig · 2020
34€300k€50kfell
Steven MacLean
Scottish Premiership · 2020
38€200k€200kflat
Eljero Elia
Eredivisie · 2021
34€400k€275kfell
Dimitrios Papadopoulos
Super League 1 · 2017
36€250k€250kflat

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2026TrabzonsporWithout ClubUnknown€150k
1 Jul 2024Al-FayhaTrabzonsporFree / loan€1.5M
25 Aug 2022TrabzonsporAl-FayhaFree / loan€5.0M
20 Aug 2018H. Beer ShevaTrabzonspor€1.1M€1.5M
1 Jul 2015Hapoel RaananaH. Beer ShevaUnknown€400k
15 Aug 2013U ClujHapoel RaananaFree / loan€600k
27 Feb 2013PetrolulU ClujFree / loan€350k
1 Jul 2012U ClujPetrolulUnknown€875k
31 Dec 2010Arieșul TurdaU ClujFree / loanData unavailable
1 Aug 2010U ClujArieșul TurdaFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2010Vejle-KoldingU ClujUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

Anthony Nwakaeme · MoneyballAI