
Anthony Nwakaeme
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Anthony Nwakaeme's performance-implied value at EUR 0.1M-0.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.0M-0.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.1M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.77x the positional average in the league (644 minutes, league coefficient 0.40). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Below average | 23.4th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 37.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €94k vs market €150k |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -10% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.4 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 901 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 644 (21% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.28
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.32
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 23 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.40 (rank 18)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1368
- Opponent strength
- 1298
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €106k – €149k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 20 pts; team strength up (+61 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -9% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 644 league minutes last season.
- ▲Age 37: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 53 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 79%–133%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 58%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Trabzonspor | Super Lig | LW | 15 | 644 | 21% | 0 | 2 | 0.28 | 0.32 | 1298 | 1368 | 0.40 |
| 2024/25 | Trabzonspor | Super Lig | LW | 20 | 1344 | 41% | 1 | 4 | 0.33 | 0.37 | 1302 | 1307 | 0.39 |
| 2021/22 | Trabzonspor | Super Lig | LW | 30 | 2267 | 66% | 13 | 10 | 0.91 | 0.54 | 1249 | 1433 | 0.42 |
| 2020/21 | Trabzonspor | Super Lig | LW | 34 | 2970 | 83% | 7 | 7 | 0.42 | 0.32 | 1268 | 1363 | 0.37 |
| 2019/20 | Trabzonspor | Super Lig | LW | 29 | 2257 | 74% | 11 | 9 | 0.80 | 0.53 | 1326 | 1410 | 0.45 |
| 2018/19 | Trabzonspor | Super Lig | LW | 27 | 2221 | 73% | 10 | 10 | 0.81 | 0.62 | 1387 | 1459 | 0.58 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Trabzonspor | 4 | 82 | 0 | 0 | 1421 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Trabzonspor | 4 | 374 | 1 | 0 | 1566 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Trabzonspor | 4 | 341 | 0 | 0 | 1468 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League | Trabzonspor | 4 | 243 | 1 | 1 | 1551 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 2 | 180 | 1 | 1 | 1405 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 2 | 126 | 0 | 0 | 1459 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arouna Koné Super Lig · 2021 | 38 | €150k | €150k | flat |
| Alan Liga Portugal · 2017 | 38 | €300k | €300k | flat |
| Jason Scotland Scottish Premiership · 2015 | 36 | €250k | €250k | flat |
| Ilhan Parlak Super Lig · 2022 | 35 | €75k | €75k | flat |
| Deniz Kadah Super Lig · 2020 | 34 | €300k | €50k | fell |
| Steven MacLean Scottish Premiership · 2020 | 38 | €200k | €200k | flat |
| Eljero Elia Eredivisie · 2021 | 34 | €400k | €275k | fell |
| Dimitrios Papadopoulos Super League 1 · 2017 | 36 | €250k | €250k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | Trabzonspor | Without Club | Unknown | €150k |
| 1 Jul 2024 | Al-Fayha | Trabzonspor | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 25 Aug 2022 | Trabzonspor | Al-Fayha | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 20 Aug 2018 | H. Beer Sheva | Trabzonspor | €1.1M | €1.5M |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Hapoel Raanana | H. Beer Sheva | Unknown | €400k |
| 15 Aug 2013 | U Cluj | Hapoel Raanana | Free / loan | €600k |
| 27 Feb 2013 | Petrolul | U Cluj | Free / loan | €350k |
| 1 Jul 2012 | U Cluj | Petrolul | Unknown | €875k |
| 31 Dec 2010 | Arieșul Turda | U Cluj | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Aug 2010 | U Cluj | Arieșul Turda | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2010 | Vejle-Kolding | U Cluj | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.