Tomasz Kędziora

32 yrs · Right-back (also CB) · Poland
Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton · Super League 1 · Foot: right · Height: 184 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2028
Market value
€2.0M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€522k – €2.0M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€651k – €1.9M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€395k – €1.2M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€1.4M – €1.4M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€522k – €2.0M
Model value (performance-implied)€651k – €1.9M
Projected value (24 months)€395k – €1.2M
Dashed line: current market value (€2.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Tomasz Kędziora's performance-implied value at EUR 0.7M-1.9M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.5M-2.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-1.2M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 6

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAbove average61.8th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable32.1 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €1.2M vs market €2.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-63% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapSmallweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.43
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €5.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1500 (64% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.00
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.03
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
62 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.42 (rank 16)
Team strength (Elo)
1461
Opponent strength
1271
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€395k – €1.2M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 17 pts; team strength up (+83 Elo); league level up (+40 Elo); relative output down 42% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -53% (IQR -72% to -50%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ▲Age 32: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠Limited sample: 1500 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
25 (DEF)
Relative output kept
55%–230%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
68%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos KonstantinoupolitonSuper League 1CB17150064%000.000.03127114610.43
2024/25Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos KonstantinoupolitonSuper League 1CB21189081%010.050.04125713780.35
2023/24Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos KonstantinoupolitonSuper League 1CB19159568%100.060.03125415350.42
2022/23Dynamo KyivPremier LigaRB948818%010.180.12125714330.38
2022/23Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos KonstantinoupolitonSuper League 1CB2924%100.980.09111914520.37
2020/21Dynamo KyivPremier LigaRB25200886%120.130.09130315630.49
2019/20Dynamo KyivPremier LigaRB17130266%020.140.11135814970.54
2018/19Dynamo KyivPremier LigaRB19169886%230.270.18134415280.57
2017/18Dynamo KyivPremier LigaRB12106454%110.170.10132315470.62

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Kypello ElladasPanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton766001—
2025/26Uefa Europa LeaguePanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton8646001526
2025/26Uefa Europa League QualifyingPanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton4390001360
2024/25Uefa Europa LeaguePanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton10900001538
2024/25Kypello ElladasPanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton330001—
2024/25Uefa Champions League QualifyingPanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton2210001452
2024/25Uefa Europa League QualifyingPanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton2180001271
2023/24Uefa Conference League QualifyingPanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton6476001356
2023/24Kypello ElladasPanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton439010—
2022/23Uefa Champions League QualifyingDynamo Kyiv6521011487
2022/23Uefa Europa LeagueDynamo Kyiv3248001508
2022/23Kypello ElladasPanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton29400—
2020/21Uefa Champions LeagueDynamo Kyiv6540011616
2020/21Uefa Europa LeagueDynamo Kyiv4332001642
2020/21Uefa Champions League QualifyingDynamo Kyiv3270011499
2020/21Ukrainian CupDynamo Kyiv112000—
2019/20Uefa Europa LeagueDynamo Kyiv6514001473
2019/20Ukrainian CupDynamo Kyiv336001—
2019/20Uefa Champions League QualifyingDynamo Kyiv2180001570
2018/19Uefa Europa LeagueDynamo Kyiv10900111509
2018/19Uefa Champions League QualifyingDynamo Kyiv4360101505
2018/19Ukrainian CupDynamo Kyiv112010—
2017/18Uefa Europa LeagueDynamo Kyiv9746001483
2017/18Ukrainian CupDynamo Kyiv439000—
2017/18Uefa Europa League QualifyingDynamo Kyiv190001375

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Fernando Varela
Super League 1 · 2020
33€1.6M€500kfell
Georgios Zisopoulos
Super League 1 · 2015
31€1.0M€450kfell
Bart Schenkeveld
Super League 1 · 2024
33€1.2M€600kfell
Edson Braafheid
Eredivisie · 2013
30€2.0M€1.0Mfell
Marat Bystrov
Premier Liga · 2023
31€1.0M€500kfell
Mijat Maric
Jupiler Pro League · 2014
30€1.5M€1.0Mfell
Andreas Bjelland
Superliga · 2019
31€2.0M€400kfell
Dorian Dessoleil
Jupiler Pro League · 2022
30€2.5M€300kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
13 Jul 2024Dynamo KyivPAOK€400k€2.5M
30 Jun 2024PAOKDynamo KyivFree / loan€2.5M
29 Jan 2023Dynamo KyivPAOKFree / loan€3.5M
30 Jun 2022Lech PoznanDynamo KyivFree / loan€4.5M
17 Mar 2022Dynamo KyivLech PoznanFree / loan€5.0M
11 Jul 2017Lech PoznanDynamo Kyiv€1.5M€1.5M
1 Jul 2012Lech Poznan IILech PoznanUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2010Falubaz U19Lech Poznan IIUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.