
Tomasz Kędziora
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Tomasz Kędziora's performance-implied value at EUR 0.7M-1.9M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.5M-2.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-1.2M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 6
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 61.8th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 32.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €1.2M vs market €2.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -63% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1500 (64% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.03
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 62 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1461
- Opponent strength
- 1271
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €395k – €1.2M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 17 pts; team strength up (+83 Elo); league level up (+40 Elo); relative output down 42% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -53% (IQR -72% to -50%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Age 32: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1500 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 25 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 55%–230%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 68%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | Super League 1 | CB | 17 | 1500 | 64% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1271 | 1461 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | Super League 1 | CB | 21 | 1890 | 81% | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 0.04 | 1257 | 1378 | 0.35 |
| 2023/24 | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | Super League 1 | CB | 19 | 1595 | 68% | 1 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.03 | 1254 | 1535 | 0.42 |
| 2022/23 | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier Liga | RB | 9 | 488 | 18% | 0 | 1 | 0.18 | 0.12 | 1257 | 1433 | 0.38 |
| 2022/23 | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | Super League 1 | CB | 2 | 92 | 4% | 1 | 0 | 0.98 | 0.09 | 1119 | 1452 | 0.37 |
| 2020/21 | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier Liga | RB | 25 | 2008 | 86% | 1 | 2 | 0.13 | 0.09 | 1303 | 1563 | 0.49 |
| 2019/20 | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier Liga | RB | 17 | 1302 | 66% | 0 | 2 | 0.14 | 0.11 | 1358 | 1497 | 0.54 |
| 2018/19 | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier Liga | RB | 19 | 1698 | 86% | 2 | 3 | 0.27 | 0.18 | 1344 | 1528 | 0.57 |
| 2017/18 | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier Liga | RB | 12 | 1064 | 54% | 1 | 1 | 0.17 | 0.10 | 1323 | 1547 | 0.62 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 7 | 660 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 8 | 646 | 0 | 0 | 1526 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 4 | 390 | 0 | 0 | 1360 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 10 | 900 | 0 | 0 | 1538 |
| 2024/25 | Kypello Elladas | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 3 | 300 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 2 | 210 | 0 | 0 | 1452 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1271 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 6 | 476 | 0 | 0 | 1356 |
| 2023/24 | Kypello Elladas | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 4 | 390 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Dynamo Kyiv | 6 | 521 | 0 | 1 | 1487 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | Dynamo Kyiv | 3 | 248 | 0 | 0 | 1508 |
| 2022/23 | Kypello Elladas | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 2 | 94 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League | Dynamo Kyiv | 6 | 540 | 0 | 1 | 1616 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League | Dynamo Kyiv | 4 | 332 | 0 | 0 | 1642 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Dynamo Kyiv | 3 | 270 | 0 | 1 | 1499 |
| 2020/21 | Ukrainian Cup | Dynamo Kyiv | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League | Dynamo Kyiv | 6 | 514 | 0 | 0 | 1473 |
| 2019/20 | Ukrainian Cup | Dynamo Kyiv | 3 | 360 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Dynamo Kyiv | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1570 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League | Dynamo Kyiv | 10 | 900 | 1 | 1 | 1509 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Dynamo Kyiv | 4 | 360 | 1 | 0 | 1505 |
| 2018/19 | Ukrainian Cup | Dynamo Kyiv | 1 | 120 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Europa League | Dynamo Kyiv | 9 | 746 | 0 | 0 | 1483 |
| 2017/18 | Ukrainian Cup | Dynamo Kyiv | 4 | 390 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Dynamo Kyiv | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1375 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fernando Varela Super League 1 · 2020 | 33 | €1.6M | €500k | fell |
| Georgios Zisopoulos Super League 1 · 2015 | 31 | €1.0M | €450k | fell |
| Bart Schenkeveld Super League 1 · 2024 | 33 | €1.2M | €600k | fell |
| Edson Braafheid Eredivisie · 2013 | 30 | €2.0M | €1.0M | fell |
| Marat Bystrov Premier Liga · 2023 | 31 | €1.0M | €500k | fell |
| Mijat Maric Jupiler Pro League · 2014 | 30 | €1.5M | €1.0M | fell |
| Andreas Bjelland Superliga · 2019 | 31 | €2.0M | €400k | fell |
| Dorian Dessoleil Jupiler Pro League · 2022 | 30 | €2.5M | €300k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul 2024 | Dynamo Kyiv | PAOK | €400k | €2.5M |
| 30 Jun 2024 | PAOK | Dynamo Kyiv | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 29 Jan 2023 | Dynamo Kyiv | PAOK | Free / loan | €3.5M |
| 30 Jun 2022 | Lech Poznan | Dynamo Kyiv | Free / loan | €4.5M |
| 17 Mar 2022 | Dynamo Kyiv | Lech Poznan | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 11 Jul 2017 | Lech Poznan | Dynamo Kyiv | €1.5M | €1.5M |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Lech Poznan II | Lech Poznan | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2010 | Falubaz U19 | Lech Poznan II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.