Seko Fofana

31 yrs · Central midfielder (also DM) · Cote d'Ivoire
Stade Rennais FC · Ligue 1 · Foot: right · Height: 185 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2029
Market value
€8.0M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€3.1M – €7.7M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€2.0M – €5.2M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€1.7M – €3.8M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€5.8M – €2.1M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€3.1M – €7.7M
Model value (performance-implied)€2.0M – €5.2M
Projected value (24 months)€1.7M – €3.8M
Dashed line: current market value (€8.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Seko Fofana's performance-implied value at EUR 2.0M-5.2M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 3.1M-7.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.7M-3.8M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.00x the positional average in the league (930 minutes, league coefficient 0.88). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 3

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAbove average61.7th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable31.2 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €4.5M vs market €8.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-69% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery negativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.88
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €32.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
930 (30% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.48
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.18
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
62 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.88 (rank 5)
Team strength (Elo)
1542
Opponent strength
1413
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
stable
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€1.7M – €3.8M

Trajectory drivers: team strength up (+92 Elo).

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -67% (IQR -72% to -58%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ⚠Limited sample: 930 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Stade Rennais FCLigue 1CM1265421%100.140.18141315200.88
2025/26FC PortoLiga PortugalCM122769%311.300.32135815940.58
2024/25Stade Rennais FCLigue 1CM1684428%110.210.21144714500.88
2022/23RC LensLigue 1CM35307990%750.350.29144316260.82
2021/22RC LensLigue 1CM38336498%810.240.25142714920.86
2020/21RC LensLigue 1CM30231268%240.230.30145113710.75
2019/20Udinese CalcioSerie ACM32225266%370.400.39144313880.82
2018/19Udinese CalcioSerie ACM31264677%230.170.25148013550.78
2017/18Udinese CalcioSerie ACM27187355%300.140.21148713390.86
2016/17Udinese CalcioSerie ACM22182453%510.300.32149413790.88
2015/16SC BastiaLigue 1DM32230467%120.120.15143613950.78

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Europa LeagueFC Porto4317001589
2025/26Africa Cup Of NationsIvory Coast410200—
2025/26World CupIvory Coast29200—
2019/20Italy CupUdinese Calcio317001—
2018/19Italy CupUdinese Calcio110000—
2017/18Italy CupUdinese Calcio218000—
2016/17Italy CupUdinese Calcio16100—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Danny
Premier Liga · 2013
30€14.0M€6.0Mfell
Niko Kranjcar
Premier Liga · 2013
29€6.0M€2.5Mfell
Matías Fernández
Serie A · 2017
31€4.5M€1.5Mfell
Gustavo Colman
Super Lig · 2014
29€5.3M€450kfell
Stijn Schaars
Liga Portugal · 2013
29€7.5M€2.5Mfell
Shinji Kagawa
Super Lig · 2019
30€6.0M€1.5Mfell
Nabil Fekir
Laliga · 2024
31€10.0M€10.0Mflat
Mehmet Topuz
Super Lig · 2013
30€4.2M€1.3Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
30 Jun 2026PortoStade RennaisFree / loan€8.0M
2 Feb 2026Stade RennaisPortoFree / loan€8.0M
1 Jan 2025Al-NassrStade Rennais€20.0M€12.0M
31 Dec 2024Al-EttifaqAl-NassrFree / loan€12.0M
30 Jan 2024Al-NassrAl-EttifaqFree / loan€20.0M
18 Jul 2023LensAl-Nassr€25.0M€32.0M
18 Aug 2020UdineseLens€8.5M€9.5M
1 Jul 2016Man City U23Udinese€3.5M€1.5M
30 Jun 2016SC BastiaMan City U21Free / loan€1.5M
30 Jul 2015Man City U21SC BastiaFree / loan€500k
3 May 2015FulhamMan City U21Free / loan€500k
28 Nov 2014Man City U21FulhamFree / loanData unavailable
31 Jan 2013Lorient BMan City U21UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2012FC Lorient U17Lorient BUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2010Paris FC Yth.FC Lorient U17Free / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.