
Seko Fofana
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Seko Fofana's performance-implied value at EUR 2.0M-5.2M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 3.1M-7.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.7M-3.8M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.00x the positional average in the league (930 minutes, league coefficient 0.88). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 3
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 61.7th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 31.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €4.5M vs market €8.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -69% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 930 (30% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.48
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.18
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 62 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1542
- Opponent strength
- 1413
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.7M – €3.8M
Trajectory drivers: team strength up (+92 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -67% (IQR -72% to -58%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 930 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Stade Rennais FC | Ligue 1 | CM | 12 | 654 | 21% | 1 | 0 | 0.14 | 0.18 | 1413 | 1520 | 0.88 |
| 2025/26 | FC Porto | Liga Portugal | CM | 12 | 276 | 9% | 3 | 1 | 1.30 | 0.32 | 1358 | 1594 | 0.58 |
| 2024/25 | Stade Rennais FC | Ligue 1 | CM | 16 | 844 | 28% | 1 | 1 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 1447 | 1450 | 0.88 |
| 2022/23 | RC Lens | Ligue 1 | CM | 35 | 3079 | 90% | 7 | 5 | 0.35 | 0.29 | 1443 | 1626 | 0.82 |
| 2021/22 | RC Lens | Ligue 1 | CM | 38 | 3364 | 98% | 8 | 1 | 0.24 | 0.25 | 1427 | 1492 | 0.86 |
| 2020/21 | RC Lens | Ligue 1 | CM | 30 | 2312 | 68% | 2 | 4 | 0.23 | 0.30 | 1451 | 1371 | 0.75 |
| 2019/20 | Udinese Calcio | Serie A | CM | 32 | 2252 | 66% | 3 | 7 | 0.40 | 0.39 | 1443 | 1388 | 0.82 |
| 2018/19 | Udinese Calcio | Serie A | CM | 31 | 2646 | 77% | 2 | 3 | 0.17 | 0.25 | 1480 | 1355 | 0.78 |
| 2017/18 | Udinese Calcio | Serie A | CM | 27 | 1873 | 55% | 3 | 0 | 0.14 | 0.21 | 1487 | 1339 | 0.86 |
| 2016/17 | Udinese Calcio | Serie A | CM | 22 | 1824 | 53% | 5 | 1 | 0.30 | 0.32 | 1494 | 1379 | 0.88 |
| 2015/16 | SC Bastia | Ligue 1 | DM | 32 | 2304 | 67% | 1 | 2 | 0.12 | 0.15 | 1436 | 1395 | 0.78 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | FC Porto | 4 | 317 | 0 | 0 | 1589 |
| 2025/26 | Africa Cup Of Nations | Ivory Coast | 4 | 102 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Ivory Coast | 2 | 92 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Italy Cup | Udinese Calcio | 3 | 170 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2018/19 | Italy Cup | Udinese Calcio | 1 | 100 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Italy Cup | Udinese Calcio | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Italy Cup | Udinese Calcio | 1 | 61 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Premier Liga · 2013 | 30 | €14.0M | €6.0M | fell |
| Niko Kranjcar Premier Liga · 2013 | 29 | €6.0M | €2.5M | fell |
| Matías Fernández Serie A · 2017 | 31 | €4.5M | €1.5M | fell |
| Gustavo Colman Super Lig · 2014 | 29 | €5.3M | €450k | fell |
| Stijn Schaars Liga Portugal · 2013 | 29 | €7.5M | €2.5M | fell |
| Shinji Kagawa Super Lig · 2019 | 30 | €6.0M | €1.5M | fell |
| Nabil Fekir Laliga · 2024 | 31 | €10.0M | €10.0M | flat |
| Mehmet Topuz Super Lig · 2013 | 30 | €4.2M | €1.3M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Porto | Stade Rennais | Free / loan | €8.0M |
| 2 Feb 2026 | Stade Rennais | Porto | Free / loan | €8.0M |
| 1 Jan 2025 | Al-Nassr | Stade Rennais | €20.0M | €12.0M |
| 31 Dec 2024 | Al-Ettifaq | Al-Nassr | Free / loan | €12.0M |
| 30 Jan 2024 | Al-Nassr | Al-Ettifaq | Free / loan | €20.0M |
| 18 Jul 2023 | Lens | Al-Nassr | €25.0M | €32.0M |
| 18 Aug 2020 | Udinese | Lens | €8.5M | €9.5M |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Man City U23 | Udinese | €3.5M | €1.5M |
| 30 Jun 2016 | SC Bastia | Man City U21 | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 30 Jul 2015 | Man City U21 | SC Bastia | Free / loan | €500k |
| 3 May 2015 | Fulham | Man City U21 | Free / loan | €500k |
| 28 Nov 2014 | Man City U21 | Fulham | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 31 Jan 2013 | Lorient B | Man City U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | FC Lorient U17 | Lorient B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2010 | Paris FC Yth. | FC Lorient U17 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.