Clément Lenglet

31 yrs · Centre-back · France
Atlético de Madrid · Laliga · Foot: left · Height: 186 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€4.0M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€1.3M – €3.3M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€6.8M – €23.2M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€1.3M – €2.9M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
€3.5M – €21.8M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€1.3M – €3.3M
Model value (performance-implied)€6.8M – €23.2M
Projected value (24 months)€1.3M – €2.9M
Dashed line: current market value (€4.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Clément Lenglet's performance-implied value at EUR 6.8M-23.2M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.3M-3.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.3M-2.9M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: 39

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceElite94.3th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable31 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €1.8M vs market €4.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-55% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.95
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €60.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1393 (41% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.07
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.06
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
94 (Elite)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.95 (rank 2)
Team strength (Elo)
1619
Opponent strength
1499
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€1.3M – €2.9M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 17 pts; relative output down 30% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -46% (IQR -50% to -38%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ⚠Limited sample: 1393 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Atlético de MadridLaligaCB19139341%010.060.06149916190.95
2024/25Atlético de MadridLaligaCB23197658%210.140.08149716550.95
2023/24Aston VillaPremier LeagueCB14115534%010.080.05153515861.14
2022/23Tottenham HotspurPremier LeagueCB26202759%020.090.08154416061.23
2021/22FC BarcelonaLaligaCB2181724%010.110.06149816861.05
2020/21FC BarcelonaLaligaCB33247672%100.040.03155517431.10
2019/20FC BarcelonaLaligaCB28242871%210.110.06152618131.16
2018/19FC BarcelonaLaligaCB23193557%100.050.03155018731.14
2017/18Sevilla FCLaligaCB35300288%310.120.10156015751.11
2016/17AS Nancy-LorraineLigue 1CB18162047%000.000.03141613250.88
2016/17Sevilla FCLaligaCB17135740%000.000.02156116241.11

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Champions LeagueAtlético de Madrid3270001736
2025/26Copa Del ReyAtlético de Madrid23100—
2024/25Uefa Champions LeagueAtlético de Madrid7631001661
2024/25Copa Del ReyAtlético de Madrid427011—
2023/24Fa CupAston Villa327000—
2022/23Uefa Champions LeagueTottenham Hotspur7511101607
2022/23Fa CupTottenham Hotspur19000—
2021/22Uefa Champions LeagueFC Barcelona4345001689
2021/22Uefa Europa LeagueFC Barcelona276001565
2020/21Uefa Champions LeagueFC Barcelona8562001611
2020/21Copa Del ReyFC Barcelona543500—
2020/21SupercopaFC Barcelona2225001572
2019/20Uefa Champions LeagueFC Barcelona9721101644
2019/20Copa Del ReyFC Barcelona327010—
2018/19Uefa Champions LeagueFC Barcelona121000001715
2018/19Copa Del ReyFC Barcelona962911—
2018/19SupercopaFC Barcelona190001578
2017/18Uefa Champions LeagueSevilla FC9810101662
2017/18Copa Del ReySevilla FC870200—
2017/18Uefa Champions League QualifyingSevilla FC2180001518
2016/17Copa Del ReySevilla FC19000—
2016/17Uefa Champions LeagueSevilla FC155001496

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Aleksandr Anyukov
Premier Liga · 2014
32€3.5M€1.0Mfell
Manuel Lazzari
Serie A · 2024
31€4.0M€2.0Mfell
Miguel Britos
Serie A · 2014
29€5.0M€3.5Mfell
Alex Telles
Laliga · 2023
31€7.5M€4.0Mfell
Mário Rui
Serie A · 2024
33€3.5M€3.5Mflat
Alex Sandro
Serie A · 2023
32€3.0M€1.8Mfell
Egemen Korkmaz
Super Lig · 2013
31€6.0M€3.0Mfell
Vasilios Torosidis
Serie A · 2014
29€5.5M€3.0Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
9 Jun 2025BarcelonaAtléticoFree / loan€7.5M
8 Jun 2025AtléticoBarcelonaFree / loan€7.5M
26 Aug 2024BarcelonaAtléticoFree / loan€10.0M
30 Jun 2024Aston VillaBarcelonaFree / loan€10.0M
1 Sept 2023BarcelonaAston VillaFree / loan€10.0M
30 Jun 2023TottenhamBarcelonaFree / loan€10.0M
8 Jul 2022BarcelonaTottenhamFree / loan€12.0M
12 Jul 2018Sevilla FCBarcelona€35.9M€36.0M
4 Jan 2017AS NancySevilla FC€5.4M€2.5M
1 Jul 2014AS Nancy BAS NancyUnknown€150k
1 Jul 2013AS Nancy U19AS Nancy BUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2012AS Nancy U17AS Nancy U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2010Chantilly JgdAS Nancy U17Free / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.