
Clément Lenglet
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Clément Lenglet's performance-implied value at EUR 6.8M-23.2M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.3M-3.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.3M-2.9M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 39
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Elite | 94.3th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 31 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €1.8M vs market €4.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -55% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1393 (41% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.07
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.06
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 94 (Elite)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1619
- Opponent strength
- 1499
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.3M – €2.9M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 17 pts; relative output down 30% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -46% (IQR -50% to -38%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1393 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Atlético de Madrid | Laliga | CB | 19 | 1393 | 41% | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 1499 | 1619 | 0.95 |
| 2024/25 | Atlético de Madrid | Laliga | CB | 23 | 1976 | 58% | 2 | 1 | 0.14 | 0.08 | 1497 | 1655 | 0.95 |
| 2023/24 | Aston Villa | Premier League | CB | 14 | 1155 | 34% | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 0.05 | 1535 | 1586 | 1.14 |
| 2022/23 | Tottenham Hotspur | Premier League | CB | 26 | 2027 | 59% | 0 | 2 | 0.09 | 0.08 | 1544 | 1606 | 1.23 |
| 2021/22 | FC Barcelona | Laliga | CB | 21 | 817 | 24% | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | 0.06 | 1498 | 1686 | 1.05 |
| 2020/21 | FC Barcelona | Laliga | CB | 33 | 2476 | 72% | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.03 | 1555 | 1743 | 1.10 |
| 2019/20 | FC Barcelona | Laliga | CB | 28 | 2428 | 71% | 2 | 1 | 0.11 | 0.06 | 1526 | 1813 | 1.16 |
| 2018/19 | FC Barcelona | Laliga | CB | 23 | 1935 | 57% | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.03 | 1550 | 1873 | 1.14 |
| 2017/18 | Sevilla FC | Laliga | CB | 35 | 3002 | 88% | 3 | 1 | 0.12 | 0.10 | 1560 | 1575 | 1.11 |
| 2016/17 | AS Nancy-Lorraine | Ligue 1 | CB | 18 | 1620 | 47% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1416 | 1325 | 0.88 |
| 2016/17 | Sevilla FC | Laliga | CB | 17 | 1357 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1561 | 1624 | 1.11 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Atlético de Madrid | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | 1736 |
| 2025/26 | Copa Del Rey | Atlético de Madrid | 2 | 31 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | Atlético de Madrid | 7 | 631 | 0 | 0 | 1661 |
| 2024/25 | Copa Del Rey | Atlético de Madrid | 4 | 270 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2023/24 | Fa Cup | Aston Villa | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | Tottenham Hotspur | 7 | 511 | 1 | 0 | 1607 |
| 2022/23 | Fa Cup | Tottenham Hotspur | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League | FC Barcelona | 4 | 345 | 0 | 0 | 1689 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League | FC Barcelona | 2 | 76 | 0 | 0 | 1565 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League | FC Barcelona | 8 | 562 | 0 | 0 | 1611 |
| 2020/21 | Copa Del Rey | FC Barcelona | 5 | 435 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Supercopa | FC Barcelona | 2 | 225 | 0 | 0 | 1572 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Champions League | FC Barcelona | 9 | 721 | 1 | 0 | 1644 |
| 2019/20 | Copa Del Rey | FC Barcelona | 3 | 270 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Champions League | FC Barcelona | 12 | 1000 | 0 | 0 | 1715 |
| 2018/19 | Copa Del Rey | FC Barcelona | 9 | 629 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2018/19 | Supercopa | FC Barcelona | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1578 |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Champions League | Sevilla FC | 9 | 810 | 1 | 0 | 1662 |
| 2017/18 | Copa Del Rey | Sevilla FC | 8 | 702 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Sevilla FC | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1518 |
| 2016/17 | Copa Del Rey | Sevilla FC | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Champions League | Sevilla FC | 1 | 55 | 0 | 0 | 1496 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aleksandr Anyukov Premier Liga · 2014 | 32 | €3.5M | €1.0M | fell |
| Manuel Lazzari Serie A · 2024 | 31 | €4.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Miguel Britos Serie A · 2014 | 29 | €5.0M | €3.5M | fell |
| Alex Telles Laliga · 2023 | 31 | €7.5M | €4.0M | fell |
| Mário Rui Serie A · 2024 | 33 | €3.5M | €3.5M | flat |
| Alex Sandro Serie A · 2023 | 32 | €3.0M | €1.8M | fell |
| Egemen Korkmaz Super Lig · 2013 | 31 | €6.0M | €3.0M | fell |
| Vasilios Torosidis Serie A · 2014 | 29 | €5.5M | €3.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Jun 2025 | Barcelona | Atlético | Free / loan | €7.5M |
| 8 Jun 2025 | Atlético | Barcelona | Free / loan | €7.5M |
| 26 Aug 2024 | Barcelona | Atlético | Free / loan | €10.0M |
| 30 Jun 2024 | Aston Villa | Barcelona | Free / loan | €10.0M |
| 1 Sept 2023 | Barcelona | Aston Villa | Free / loan | €10.0M |
| 30 Jun 2023 | Tottenham | Barcelona | Free / loan | €10.0M |
| 8 Jul 2022 | Barcelona | Tottenham | Free / loan | €12.0M |
| 12 Jul 2018 | Sevilla FC | Barcelona | €35.9M | €36.0M |
| 4 Jan 2017 | AS Nancy | Sevilla FC | €5.4M | €2.5M |
| 1 Jul 2014 | AS Nancy B | AS Nancy | Unknown | €150k |
| 1 Jul 2013 | AS Nancy U19 | AS Nancy B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | AS Nancy U17 | AS Nancy U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2010 | Chantilly Jgd | AS Nancy U17 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.