Davy Klaassen

33 yrs · Central midfielder (also AM) · Netherlands
Ajax Amsterdam · Eredivisie · Foot: right · Height: 179 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
No index
CompareCheaper alternative
Market value
€2.0M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€515k – €1.5M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€958k – €2.4M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€484k – €1.5M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€578k – €1.9M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€515k – €1.5M
Model value (performance-implied)€958k – €2.4M
Projected value (24 months)€484k – €1.5M
Dashed line: current market value (€2.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Davy Klaassen's performance-implied value at EUR 1.0M-2.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.5M-1.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.5M-1.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.99x the positional average in the league (1787 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Age above 33 (outside validated pool)

PerformanceAbove average66.1th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable33.4 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €686k vs market €2.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-54% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.43
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €22.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1787 (58% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.40
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.22
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
66 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.43 (rank 15)
Team strength (Elo)
1405
Opponent strength
1284
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
stable
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€484k – €1.5M

Trajectory drivers: team strength down (-99 Elo).

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -68% (IQR -73% to -58%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ▲Age 33: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠Limited sample: 1787 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
53 (MID)
Relative output kept
76%–148%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
68%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Ajax AmsterdamEredivisieCM29178758%620.400.22128414050.43
2024/25Ajax AmsterdamEredivisieCM31218271%820.410.19129315050.50
2023/24Inter MilanSerie ACM131966%000.000.08137718020.98
2023/24Ajax AmsterdamEredivisieAM2592%101.530.21122814390.48
2022/23Ajax AmsterdamEredivisieAM33204667%830.480.24132115930.58
2021/22Ajax AmsterdamEredivisieCM31179759%900.450.16130217490.60
2020/21Ajax AmsterdamEredivisieCM29220972%1230.610.27135217220.56
2020/21SV Werder BremenBundesligaCM32257%000.000.15141213841.06
2019/20SV Werder BremenBundesligaCM33294196%760.400.36153214281.06
2018/19SV Werder BremenBundesligaCM33282592%550.320.22150415641.05
2017/18Everton FCPremier LeagueAM72507%000.000.31153015161.15
2016/17Ajax AmsterdamEredivisieCM33284993%14100.760.36132916270.54
2015/16Ajax AmsterdamEredivisieAM31263386%1380.720.37131116190.58
2014/15Ajax AmsterdamEredivisieAM30258284%690.520.29133015430.52
2013/14Ajax AmsterdamEredivisieAM26208668%1030.560.35131815510.59
2012/13Ajax AmsterdamEredivisieCM2271%000.000.16133315440.54

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Champions LeagueAjax Amsterdam8563001611
2025/26Knvb BekerAjax Amsterdam29000—
2024/25Uefa Europa LeagueAjax Amsterdam3205001553
2024/25Knvb BekerAjax Amsterdam11200—
2023/24Uefa Champions LeagueInter Milan482001672
2023/24Italy CupInter Milan17400—
2023/24Uefa Europa League QualifyingAjax Amsterdam264001419
2022/23Knvb BekerAjax Amsterdam541110—
2022/23Uefa Champions LeagueAjax Amsterdam5209101735
2022/23Uefa Europa LeagueAjax Amsterdam279001627
2022/23Johan Cruijff SchaalAjax Amsterdam117001641
2021/22Knvb BekerAjax Amsterdam529913—
2021/22Uefa Champions LeagueAjax Amsterdam7230111530
2021/22Johan Cruijff SchaalAjax Amsterdam145001612
2020/21Uefa Europa LeagueAjax Amsterdam6540311599
2020/21Uefa Champions LeagueAjax Amsterdam6455001663
2020/21Knvb BekerAjax Amsterdam535511—
2020/21Dfb PokalSV Werder Bremen14500—
2019/20Dfb PokalSV Werder Bremen436021—
2018/19Dfb PokalSV Werder Bremen547931—
2017/18Uefa Europa LeagueEverton FC5243001476
2017/18Uefa Europa League QualifyingEverton FC3238011400
2016/17Uefa Europa LeagueAjax Amsterdam131199221539
2016/17Uefa Champions League QualifyingAjax Amsterdam4360401465
2015/16Uefa Europa LeagueAjax Amsterdam6540011513
2015/16Uefa Europa League QualifyingAjax Amsterdam2180011375
2015/16Uefa Champions League QualifyingAjax Amsterdam2180201412
2014/15Uefa Champions LeagueAjax Amsterdam6540211643
2014/15Uefa Europa LeagueAjax Amsterdam4337011522
2014/15Knvb BekerAjax Amsterdam320201—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Willian Arão
Super League 1 · 2024
32€2.5M€800kfell
Marek Hamsik
Super Lig · 2022
35€2.5M€1.2Mfell
Jens Jønsson
Super League 1 · 2024
31€2.5M€800kfell
Danijel Pranjic
Super League 1 · 2015
34€1.0M€200kfell
Thomas Kahlenberg
Superliga · 2015
32€1.0M€300kfell
Stefan Schwab
Super League 1 · 2022
32€1.2M€900kfell
Costin Lazar
Super League 1 · 2014
33€1.2M€250kfell
Khoren Bayramyan
Premier Liga · 2023
31€1.5M€600kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
17 Sept 2024Without ClubAjaxUnknown€4.0M
1 Jul 2024InterWithout ClubUnknown€4.0M
1 Sept 2023AjaxInterFree / loan€10.0M
5 Oct 2020Werder BremenAjax€11.7M€12.0M
27 Jul 2018EvertonWerder Bremen€13.5M€15.0M
1 Jul 2017AjaxEverton€27.0M€18.0M
1 Jul 2012Ajax U19AjaxUnknown€750k
1 Jul 2010Ajax U17Ajax U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2009Ajax YouthAjax U17UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2004Wasmeer Yth.Ajax YouthFree / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

Davy Klaassen · MoneyballAI