Nikola Storm

32 yrs · Left winger (also LM) · Belgium
KV Mechelen · Jupiler Pro League · Foot: right · Height: 178 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€1.2M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€265k – €833k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€262k – €969k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€327k – €842k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€571k – €704k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€265k – €833k
Model value (performance-implied)€262k – €969k
Projected value (24 months)€327k – €842k
Dashed line: current market value (€1.2M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Nikola Storm's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-1.0M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-0.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.8M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.00x the positional average in the league (1698 minutes, league coefficient 0.40). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: 26

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average34.4th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable31.8 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €354k vs market €1.2M
Expected appreciationVery low-59% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapLargeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.4
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €4.5M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1698 (56% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.27
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.41
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
34 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.40 (rank 6)
Team strength (Elo)
1149
Opponent strength
1262
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
stable
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€327k – €842k

Trajectory drivers: changed club; team strength down (-201 Elo); league level down (-101 Elo).

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -50% (IQR -63% to -22%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ⚠Limited sample: 1698 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⚠Age 32: resale value typically declines.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
53 (ATT)
Relative output kept
79%–133%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
58%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26AntalyasporSuper LigLW28162553%410.280.42126211390.40
2025/26KV MechelenJupiler Pro LeagueLW1733%000.000.26117413700.65
2024/25KV MechelenJupiler Pro LeagueLW22141452%440.510.46135413500.63
2023/24KV MechelenJupiler Pro LeagueLW1698436%130.370.42141213670.63
2022/23KV MechelenJupiler Pro LeagueLW31254683%430.250.30132413020.58
2021/22KV MechelenJupiler Pro LeagueLM32233976%1560.810.60134213200.49
2020/21KV MechelenJupiler Pro LeagueLW29170156%740.580.52138013650.55
2019/20KV MechelenJupiler Pro LeagueLM27204678%460.440.40137213540.63
2016/17Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro LeagueLW5502%000.000.27130014920.62
2015/16Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro LeagueLW1360823%020.300.33134313240.57
2015/16Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro LeagueLW4803%000.000.21131815110.57
2014/15Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro LeagueLW1988433%000.000.14130315740.54
2013/14Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro LeagueLW2191%000.000.31129914730.49

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2023/24Volkswagen SupercupKV Mechelen190001497
2019/20Volkswagen SupercupKV Mechelen179001557
2014/15Uefa Europa League QualifyingClub Brugge KV4246001390
2014/15Uefa Europa LeagueClub Brugge KV3200011444

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Arvydas Novikovas
Super Lig · 2021
31€600k€300kfell
Artur Sobiech
Super Lig · 2021
31€1.3M€250kfell
Evans Kangwa
Premier Liga · 2022
30€700k€500kfell
Alexandros Kontos
Super League 1 · 2017
31€400k€150kfell
Pedro Henrique
Super Lig · 2021
31€1.2M€2.0Mrose
Sebá
Super League 1 · 2023
31€450k€450kflat
Muris Mesanovic
Super Lig · 2021
31€700k€250kfell
Sasa Kajkut
Super League 1 · 2015
31€400k€200kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
4 Aug 2025KV MechelenAntalyasporUnknown€2.0M
1 Jul 2018Club BruggeKV Mechelen€250k€800k
30 Jun 2018OH LeuvenClub BruggeFree / loan€800k
9 Jan 2017Club BruggeOH LeuvenFree / loan€700k
30 Jun 2016Zulte WaregemClub BruggeFree / loan€900k
31 Aug 2015Club BruggeZulte WaregemFree / loan€1.2M
1 Jul 2013FC Brügge U21Club BruggeUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.