
Nikola Storm
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Nikola Storm's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-1.0M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-0.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.8M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.00x the positional average in the league (1698 minutes, league coefficient 0.40). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 26
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 34.4th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 31.8 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €354k vs market €1.2M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -59% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.4 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1698 (56% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.27
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.41
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 34 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.40 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1149
- Opponent strength
- 1262
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €327k – €842k
Trajectory drivers: changed club; team strength down (-201 Elo); league level down (-101 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -50% (IQR -63% to -22%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1698 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Age 32: resale value typically declines.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 53 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 79%–133%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 58%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Antalyaspor | Super Lig | LW | 28 | 1625 | 53% | 4 | 1 | 0.28 | 0.42 | 1262 | 1139 | 0.40 |
| 2025/26 | KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League | LW | 1 | 73 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.26 | 1174 | 1370 | 0.65 |
| 2024/25 | KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League | LW | 22 | 1414 | 52% | 4 | 4 | 0.51 | 0.46 | 1354 | 1350 | 0.63 |
| 2023/24 | KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League | LW | 16 | 984 | 36% | 1 | 3 | 0.37 | 0.42 | 1412 | 1367 | 0.63 |
| 2022/23 | KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League | LW | 31 | 2546 | 83% | 4 | 3 | 0.25 | 0.30 | 1324 | 1302 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League | LM | 32 | 2339 | 76% | 15 | 6 | 0.81 | 0.60 | 1342 | 1320 | 0.49 |
| 2020/21 | KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League | LW | 29 | 1701 | 56% | 7 | 4 | 0.58 | 0.52 | 1380 | 1365 | 0.55 |
| 2019/20 | KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League | LM | 27 | 2046 | 78% | 4 | 6 | 0.44 | 0.40 | 1372 | 1354 | 0.63 |
| 2016/17 | Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League | LW | 5 | 50 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.27 | 1300 | 1492 | 0.62 |
| 2015/16 | Zulte Waregem | Jupiler Pro League | LW | 13 | 608 | 23% | 0 | 2 | 0.30 | 0.33 | 1343 | 1324 | 0.57 |
| 2015/16 | Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League | LW | 4 | 80 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.21 | 1318 | 1511 | 0.57 |
| 2014/15 | Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League | LW | 19 | 884 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.14 | 1303 | 1574 | 0.54 |
| 2013/14 | Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League | LW | 2 | 19 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.31 | 1299 | 1473 | 0.49 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023/24 | Volkswagen Supercup | KV Mechelen | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1497 |
| 2019/20 | Volkswagen Supercup | KV Mechelen | 1 | 79 | 0 | 0 | 1557 |
| 2014/15 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Club Brugge KV | 4 | 246 | 0 | 0 | 1390 |
| 2014/15 | Uefa Europa League | Club Brugge KV | 3 | 200 | 0 | 1 | 1444 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arvydas Novikovas Super Lig · 2021 | 31 | €600k | €300k | fell |
| Artur Sobiech Super Lig · 2021 | 31 | €1.3M | €250k | fell |
| Evans Kangwa Premier Liga · 2022 | 30 | €700k | €500k | fell |
| Alexandros Kontos Super League 1 · 2017 | 31 | €400k | €150k | fell |
| Pedro Henrique Super Lig · 2021 | 31 | €1.2M | €2.0M | rose |
| Sebá Super League 1 · 2023 | 31 | €450k | €450k | flat |
| Muris Mesanovic Super Lig · 2021 | 31 | €700k | €250k | fell |
| Sasa Kajkut Super League 1 · 2015 | 31 | €400k | €200k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Aug 2025 | KV Mechelen | Antalyaspor | Unknown | €2.0M |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Club Brugge | KV Mechelen | €250k | €800k |
| 30 Jun 2018 | OH Leuven | Club Brugge | Free / loan | €800k |
| 9 Jan 2017 | Club Brugge | OH Leuven | Free / loan | €700k |
| 30 Jun 2016 | Zulte Waregem | Club Brugge | Free / loan | €900k |
| 31 Aug 2015 | Club Brugge | Zulte Waregem | Free / loan | €1.2M |
| 1 Jul 2013 | FC Brügge U21 | Club Brugge | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.