Tayfur Bingöl

33 yrs · Central midfielder (also LB, LM, LW, RB, RM) · Türkiye
Beşiktaş Jimnastik Kulübü · Super Lig · Foot: right · Height: 180 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€400k
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€89k – €279k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€279k – €649k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€100k – €315k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€194 – €560k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€89k – €279k
Model value (performance-implied)€279k – €649k
Projected value (24 months)€100k – €315k
Dashed line: current market value (€400k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Tayfur Bingöl's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.6M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.3M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.93x the positional average in the league (2130 minutes, league coefficient 0.40). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Age above 33 (outside validated pool)

PerformanceBelow average29.3th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable33.5 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €118k vs market €400k
Expected appreciationVery low-51% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.4
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €2.1M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2130 (70% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.30
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.38
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
29 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.40 (rank 18)
Team strength (Elo)
1188
Opponent strength
1257
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
stable
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€100k – €315k

Trajectory drivers: changed club; role change CM -> LW.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -29% (IQR -45% to -19%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ▲Age 33: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
53 (ATT)
Relative output kept
79%–133%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
58%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26KocaelisporSuper LigLW30213070%520.300.38125711880.40
2024/25EyüpsporSuper LigCM29181456%510.300.24128612290.39
2023/24Beşiktaş Jimnastik KulübüSuper LigCM1254416%000.000.11132913360.45
2023/24AlanyasporSuper LigRM2542%000.000.11108613130.45
2022/23Beşiktaş Jimnastik KulübüSuper LigCM2694229%220.380.21126815170.50
2022/23AlanyasporSuper LigRM41334%000.000.20129212610.50
2021/22AlanyasporSuper LigLB30157546%3100.740.48124413220.42
2020/21AlanyasporSuper LigRB26103929%110.170.14126912600.37
2019/20AlanyasporSuper LigLM140%000.000.15125513520.45
2018/19GöztepeSuper LigRM21106935%000.000.09140712990.58
2017/18GöztepeSuper LigLM25120439%500.370.26138813620.68
2012/13Gençlerbirliği Spor KulübüSuper LigCM190%000.000.26148114630.89

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Conference League QualifyingBeşiktaş Jimnastik Kulübü145001280
2025/26Uefa Europa League QualifyingBeşiktaş Jimnastik Kulübü112001432

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Vidar Örn Kjartansson
Super League 1 · 2023
33€500k€500kflat
Ilhan Parlak
Super Lig · 2020
33€250k€75kfell
Pantelis Kapetanos
Super League 1 · 2017
34€300k€300kflat
Marko Markovski
Super League 1 · 2018
32€300k€200kfell
Stefano Napoleoni
Super Lig · 2020
34€400k€50kfell
Michael Gardyne
Scottish Premiership · 2018
32€400k€300kfell
Anthony Le Tallec
Super League 1 · 2017
33€600k€400kfell
Artem Sitalo
Premier Liga · 2022
33€200k€150kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
22 Aug 2025BesiktasKocaelisporUnknown€500k
30 Jun 2025EyüpsporBesiktasFree / loan€500k
30 Jul 2024BesiktasEyüpsporFree / loan€700k
4 Sept 2023AlanyasporBesiktas€1.0M€1.7M
30 Jun 2023BesiktasAlanyasporFree / loan€1.7M
8 Sept 2022AlanyasporBesiktasFree / loan€1.8M
3 Aug 2020BursasporAlanyasporFree / loan€525k
15 Jan 2020AlanyasporBursasporFree / loan€650k
1 Jul 2019GöztepeAlanyasporFree / loan€800k
1 Jul 2016GenclerbirligiGöztepe€400k€800k
30 Jun 2016AlanyasporGenclerbirligiFree / loan€800k
14 Aug 2015GenclerbirligiAlanyasporFree / loan€500k
30 Jun 2015Adana DemirsporGenclerbirligiFree / loan€500k
21 Aug 2014GenclerbirligiAdana DemirsporFree / loan€200k
30 Jun 2014BandirmasporGenclerbirligiFree / loan€100k
28 Aug 2013GenclerbirligiBandirmasporFree / loan€100k
30 Jun 2013HacettepeGenclerbirligiFree / loan€100k
1 Feb 2013GenclerbirligiHacettepeFree / loan€100k
14 Aug 2012HacettepeGenclerbirligiFree / loanData unavailable
25 Aug 2011G.Birligi YthHacettepeFree / loanData unavailable
17 Sept 2010Hacettepe YthG.Birligi YthFree / loanData unavailable
10 Oct 2008G.Birligi YthHacettepe YthFree / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.