Mohamed Elyounoussi

The model rates Mohamed Elyounoussi's performance-implied value at EUR 1.0M-3.9M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.0M-4.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.0M-2.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.00x the positional average in the league (1542 minutes, league coefficient 0.47). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

1542 (78% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.70

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.54

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

55 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.47 (rank 12)

Team strength (Elo)

1359

Opponent strength

1266

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

stable

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€1.0M – €2.4M

Trajectory drivers: league level up (+45 Elo); role change RW -> SS; relative output up 30% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -35% (IQR -58% to -30%).

• ⚠Limited sample: 1542 league minutes last season.
• ⚠League level coefficient 0.47 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
• ⚠Age 32: resale value typically declines.
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Historical movers

20 (ATT)

Relative output kept

78%–121%

Held a regular role (900+ min)

65%

Confidence

Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.