
Kristoffer Peterson
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Kristoffer Peterson's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.6M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.00x the positional average in the league (1691 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 63
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 16.2th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 31.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €230k vs market €450k |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -43% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1691 (55% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.27
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.41
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 16 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 15)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1175
- Opponent strength
- 1302
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €222k – €387k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -50% (IQR -52% to -47%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1691 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Age 32: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 82 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 73%–122%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 61%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Fortuna Sittardia Combinatie | Eredivisie | LW | 34 | 1691 | 55% | 3 | 2 | 0.27 | 0.41 | 1302 | 1175 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | Fortuna Sittardia Combinatie | Eredivisie | LW | 30 | 1826 | 60% | 7 | 2 | 0.44 | 0.50 | 1268 | 1211 | 0.50 |
| 2023/24 | Fortuna Sittardia Combinatie | Eredivisie | LW | 18 | 576 | 19% | 0 | 2 | 0.31 | 0.47 | 1360 | 1190 | 0.48 |
| 2019/20 | FC Utrecht | Eredivisie | LW | 6 | 371 | 16% | 1 | 0 | 0.24 | 0.26 | 1270 | 1418 | 0.62 |
| 2018/19 | Heracles Almelo | Eredivisie | LW | 33 | 2577 | 84% | 12 | 7 | 0.66 | 0.54 | 1345 | 1302 | 0.61 |
| 2017/18 | Heracles Almelo | Eredivisie | LW | 32 | 2466 | 81% | 7 | 4 | 0.40 | 0.43 | 1315 | 1304 | 0.59 |
| 2016/17 | Heracles Almelo | Eredivisie | LW | 15 | 1132 | 37% | 4 | 2 | 0.48 | 0.46 | 1340 | 1303 | 0.54 |
| 2016/17 | FC Utrecht | Eredivisie | ST | 3 | 31 | 1% | 1 | 0 | 2.90 | 0.69 | 1451 | 1425 | 0.54 |
| 2015/16 | Roda JC Kerkrade | Eredivisie | LW | 14 | 834 | 27% | 1 | 4 | 0.54 | 0.62 | 1345 | 1213 | 0.58 |
| 2015/16 | FC Utrecht | Eredivisie | LW | 7 | 179 | 6% | 0 | 1 | 0.50 | 0.42 | 1284 | 1369 | 0.58 |
| 2014/15 | FC Utrecht | Eredivisie | LW | 20 | 1131 | 37% | 2 | 2 | 0.32 | 0.38 | 1360 | 1289 | 0.52 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Knvb Beker | Fortuna Sittardia Combinatie | 2 | 98 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Knvb Beker | Fortuna Sittardia Combinatie | 2 | 116 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 4 | 200 | 0 | 0 | 1318 |
| 2023/24 | Knvb Beker | Fortuna Sittardia Combinatie | 2 | 45 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Knvb Beker | FC Utrecht | 2 | 151 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2019/20 | Fa Cup | Swansea City | 1 | 57 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Knvb Beker | Heracles Almelo | 2 | 99 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Knvb Beker | Heracles Almelo | 3 | 239 | 2 | 1 | — |
| 2016/17 | Knvb Beker | FC Utrecht | 1 | 38 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2015/16 | Knvb Beker | FC Utrecht | 2 | 142 | 1 | 2 | — |
| 2015/16 | Knvb Beker | Roda JC Kerkrade | 1 | 74 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2014/15 | Knvb Beker | FC Utrecht | 1 | 40 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sasa Kajkut Super League 1 · 2015 | 31 | €400k | €200k | fell |
| Conor Sammon Scottish Premiership · 2018 | 32 | €350k | €150k | fell |
| Alexandros Kontos Super League 1 · 2017 | 31 | €400k | €150k | fell |
| Geraldo Super Lig · 2023 | 32 | €300k | €250k | flat |
| Arvydas Novikovas Super Lig · 2021 | 31 | €600k | €300k | fell |
| Sofiane Moussa Scottish Premiership · 2018 | 30 | €325k | €200k | fell |
| Christos Eleftheriadis Super League 1 · 2021 | 30 | €400k | €200k | fell |
| Issam Jebali Superliga · 2023 | 32 | €500k | €250k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Jan 2024 | H. Beer Sheva | Fortuna Sittard | Free / loan | €600k |
| 1 Jul 2023 | F. Düsseldorf | H. Beer Sheva | Unknown | €800k |
| 5 Oct 2020 | Swansea | F. Düsseldorf | €450k | €1.6M |
| 30 Jun 2020 | Utrecht | Swansea | Free / loan | €1.6M |
| 20 Jan 2020 | Swansea | Utrecht | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 2 Aug 2019 | Heracles Almelo | Swansea | €550k | €3.5M |
| 26 Jan 2017 | Utrecht | Heracles Almelo | Unknown | €500k |
| 30 Jun 2016 | Roda JC | Utrecht | Free / loan | €650k |
| 7 Jan 2016 | Utrecht | Roda JC | Free / loan | €750k |
| 27 Aug 2014 | Liverpool U21 | Utrecht | Unknown | €250k |
| 1 Jan 2014 | Tranmere | Liverpool U21 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 28 Nov 2013 | Liverpool U21 | Tranmere | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Liverpool U18 | Liverpool U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2011 | Sävedalens IF | Liverpool U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.