Kristoffer Peterson

31 yrs · Left winger (also ST) · Sweden
Fortuna Sittardia Combinatie · Eredivisie · Foot: right · Height: 185 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2028
Market value
€450k
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€129k – €393k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€349k – €582k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€222k – €387k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€44k – €453k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€129k – €393k
Model value (performance-implied)€349k – €582k
Projected value (24 months)€222k – €387k
Dashed line: current market value (€450k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Kristoffer Peterson's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.6M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.00x the positional average in the league (1691 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 63

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average16.2th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable31.6 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €230k vs market €450k
Expected appreciationVery low-43% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapLargeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.43
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €3.5M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1691 (55% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.27
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.41
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
16 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.43 (rank 15)
Team strength (Elo)
1175
Opponent strength
1302
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€222k – €387k

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -50% (IQR -52% to -47%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ⚠Limited sample: 1691 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Age 32: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
82 (ATT)
Relative output kept
73%–122%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
61%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Fortuna Sittardia CombinatieEredivisieLW34169155%320.270.41130211750.43
2024/25Fortuna Sittardia CombinatieEredivisieLW30182660%720.440.50126812110.50
2023/24Fortuna Sittardia CombinatieEredivisieLW1857619%020.310.47136011900.48
2019/20FC UtrechtEredivisieLW637116%100.240.26127014180.62
2018/19Heracles AlmeloEredivisieLW33257784%1270.660.54134513020.61
2017/18Heracles AlmeloEredivisieLW32246681%740.400.43131513040.59
2016/17Heracles AlmeloEredivisieLW15113237%420.480.46134013030.54
2016/17FC UtrechtEredivisieST3311%102.900.69145114250.54
2015/16Roda JC KerkradeEredivisieLW1483427%140.540.62134512130.58
2015/16FC UtrechtEredivisieLW71796%010.500.42128413690.58
2014/15FC UtrechtEredivisieLW20113137%220.320.38136012890.52

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Knvb BekerFortuna Sittardia Combinatie29811—
2024/25Knvb BekerFortuna Sittardia Combinatie211600—
2023/24Uefa Conference League QualifyingHapoel Beer Sheva4200001318
2023/24Knvb BekerFortuna Sittardia Combinatie24500—
2019/20Knvb BekerFC Utrecht215111—
2019/20Fa CupSwansea City15700—
2018/19Knvb BekerHeracles Almelo29900—
2017/18Knvb BekerHeracles Almelo323921—
2016/17Knvb BekerFC Utrecht13800—
2015/16Knvb BekerFC Utrecht214212—
2015/16Knvb BekerRoda JC Kerkrade17400—
2014/15Knvb BekerFC Utrecht14000—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Sasa Kajkut
Super League 1 · 2015
31€400k€200kfell
Conor Sammon
Scottish Premiership · 2018
32€350k€150kfell
Alexandros Kontos
Super League 1 · 2017
31€400k€150kfell
Geraldo
Super Lig · 2023
32€300k€250kflat
Arvydas Novikovas
Super Lig · 2021
31€600k€300kfell
Sofiane Moussa
Scottish Premiership · 2018
30€325k€200kfell
Christos Eleftheriadis
Super League 1 · 2021
30€400k€200kfell
Issam Jebali
Superliga · 2023
32€500k€250kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
9 Jan 2024H. Beer ShevaFortuna SittardFree / loan€600k
1 Jul 2023F. DüsseldorfH. Beer ShevaUnknown€800k
5 Oct 2020SwanseaF. Düsseldorf€450k€1.6M
30 Jun 2020UtrechtSwanseaFree / loan€1.6M
20 Jan 2020SwanseaUtrechtFree / loan€2.0M
2 Aug 2019Heracles AlmeloSwansea€550k€3.5M
26 Jan 2017UtrechtHeracles AlmeloUnknown€500k
30 Jun 2016Roda JCUtrechtFree / loan€650k
7 Jan 2016UtrechtRoda JCFree / loan€750k
27 Aug 2014Liverpool U21UtrechtUnknown€250k
1 Jan 2014TranmereLiverpool U21Free / loanData unavailable
28 Nov 2013Liverpool U21TranmereFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2012Liverpool U18Liverpool U21UnknownData unavailable
1 Jan 2011Sävedalens IFLiverpool U18UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.