Bas Kuipers
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Bas Kuipers's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-1.1M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.6M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 27
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 35.8th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 31.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €441k vs market €800k |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -54% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.58 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1466 (48% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.18
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.23
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 36 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.58 (rank 9)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1317
- Opponent strength
- 1313
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €273k – €557k
Trajectory drivers: changed club; team strength down (-92 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -30% (IQR -70% to -19%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1466 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.58 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Age 32: resale value typically declines.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 66 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 57%–168%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 76%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Arouca | Liga Portugal | LB | 17 | 1352 | 44% | 1 | 2 | 0.20 | 0.23 | 1313 | 1310 | 0.58 |
| 2025/26 | FC Twente Enschede | Eredivisie | LB | 7 | 114 | 4% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 1281 | 1403 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | FC Twente Enschede | Eredivisie | LB | 30 | 1726 | 56% | 3 | 3 | 0.31 | 0.18 | 1307 | 1409 | 0.50 |
| 2023/24 | Go Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie | LB | 33 | 2953 | 97% | 5 | 4 | 0.27 | 0.26 | 1366 | 1254 | 0.48 |
| 2022/23 | Go Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie | LB | 23 | 1906 | 62% | 3 | 1 | 0.19 | 0.21 | 1351 | 1246 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | Go Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie | LB | 30 | 2520 | 82% | 0 | 3 | 0.11 | 0.17 | 1350 | 1188 | 0.60 |
| 2018/19 | ADO Den Haag | Eredivisie | LB | 3 | 213 | 7% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.12 | 1413 | 1369 | 0.61 |
| 2017/18 | ADO Den Haag | Eredivisie | CB | 4 | 189 | 6% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1346 | 1310 | 0.59 |
| 2016/17 | Excelsior Rotterdam | Eredivisie | LB | 22 | 1817 | 59% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1347 | 1236 | 0.54 |
| 2015/16 | Excelsior Rotterdam | Eredivisie | LB | 24 | 2136 | 70% | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | 0.12 | 1340 | 1206 | 0.58 |
| 2014/15 | Excelsior Rotterdam | Eredivisie | LB | 30 | 2574 | 84% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1352 | 1237 | 0.52 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Knvb Beker | FC Twente Enschede | 2 | 104 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | FC Twente Enschede | 6 | 325 | 0 | 0 | 1565 |
| 2024/25 | Knvb Beker | FC Twente Enschede | 2 | 122 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | FC Twente Enschede | 1 | 61 | 0 | 0 | 1627 |
| 2023/24 | Knvb Beker | Go Ahead Eagles | 3 | 300 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2021/22 | Knvb Beker | Go Ahead Eagles | 4 | 315 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Knvb Beker | ADO Den Haag | 1 | 26 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2015/16 | Knvb Beker | Excelsior Rotterdam | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2014/15 | Knvb Beker | Excelsior Rotterdam | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clarence Goodson Superliga · 2013 | 31 | €500k | €400k | fell |
| Stefan Strandberg Premier Liga · 2021 | 31 | €800k | €500k | fell |
| Gonçalo Silva Liga Portugal · 2021 | 30 | €800k | €200k | fell |
| Aleksey Rybin Premier Liga · 2020 | 32 | €550k | €175k | fell |
| Bogdan Shershun Premier Liga · 2013 | 32 | €600k | €500k | flat |
| Manuel Pascali Scottish Premiership · 2013 | 32 | €450k | €400k | flat |
| João Real Liga Portugal · 2015 | 32 | €600k | €100k | fell |
| Yohan Tavares Liga Portugal · 2018 | 30 | €600k | €475k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Arouca | FC Twente | Free / loan | €800k |
| 1 Jan 2026 | FC Twente | Arouca | Free / loan | €800k |
| 1 Jul 2024 | Go Ahead Eagles | FC Twente | €900k | €1.3M |
| 6 Jul 2020 | NEC Nijmegen | Go Ahead Eagles | Free / loan | €325k |
| 7 Aug 2019 | FC Viitorul | NEC Nijmegen | Free / loan | €300k |
| 11 Jan 2019 | ADO Den Haag | FC Viitorul | Free / loan | €200k |
| 6 Jul 2017 | Excelsior | ADO Den Haag | Free / loan | €350k |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Ajax U21 | Excelsior | Free / loan | €400k |
| 30 Jun 2015 | Excelsior | Ajax U21 | Free / loan | €350k |
| 4 Aug 2014 | Ajax U21 | Excelsior | Free / loan | €125k |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Ajax U19 | Ajax U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Ajax U18 | Ajax U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2011 | Ajax U17 | Ajax U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2010 | Ajax Youth | Ajax U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2001 | Volewijckers Y. | Ajax Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.