
Sheraldo Becker
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Sheraldo Becker's performance-implied value at EUR 1.9M-4.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-2.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.5M-1.3M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.98x the positional average in the league (1104 minutes, league coefficient 0.94). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: 36
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 65.6th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 31.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €1.0M vs market €1.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -39% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.94 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1104 (32% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.49
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.50
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 66 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.94 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1477
- Opponent strength
- 1499
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €487k – €1.3M
Trajectory drivers: changed club; role change LW -> ST.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -56% (IQR -65% to -53%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1104 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 | Bundesliga | ST | 14 | 954 | 31% | 3 | 3 | 0.57 | 0.50 | 1499 | 1485 | 0.94 |
| 2025/26 | CA Osasuna | Laliga | LW | 9 | 150 | 4% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.40 | 1523 | 1427 | 0.95 |
| 2024/25 | Real Sociedad | Laliga | LW | 22 | 994 | 29% | 2 | 1 | 0.27 | 0.32 | 1500 | 1464 | 0.95 |
| 2023/24 | Real Sociedad | Laliga | ST | 15 | 772 | 23% | 2 | 2 | 0.47 | 0.43 | 1475 | 1588 | 1.00 |
| 2023/24 | 1.FC Union Berlin | Bundesliga | ST | 11 | 649 | 21% | 0 | 2 | 0.28 | 0.38 | 1489 | 1431 | 1.01 |
| 2022/23 | 1.FC Union Berlin | Bundesliga | ST | 34 | 2582 | 84% | 11 | 7 | 0.63 | 0.49 | 1516 | 1587 | 1.04 |
| 2021/22 | 1.FC Union Berlin | Bundesliga | ST | 28 | 1770 | 58% | 4 | 6 | 0.51 | 0.48 | 1518 | 1568 | 1.05 |
| 2020/21 | 1.FC Union Berlin | Bundesliga | RW | 18 | 1115 | 36% | 3 | 3 | 0.48 | 0.42 | 1519 | 1508 | 1.06 |
| 2019/20 | 1.FC Union Berlin | Bundesliga | RW | 13 | 535 | 17% | 0 | 2 | 0.34 | 0.49 | 1586 | 1434 | 1.06 |
| 2018/19 | ADO Den Haag | Eredivisie | RW | 33 | 2871 | 94% | 7 | 9 | 0.50 | 0.48 | 1354 | 1369 | 0.61 |
| 2017/18 | ADO Den Haag | Eredivisie | RW | 27 | 2220 | 73% | 2 | 7 | 0.36 | 0.38 | 1333 | 1310 | 0.59 |
| 2016/17 | ADO Den Haag | Eredivisie | RW | 28 | 1616 | 53% | 3 | 1 | 0.22 | 0.35 | 1361 | 1259 | 0.54 |
| 2015/16 | PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie | RW | 23 | 1548 | 51% | 4 | 5 | 0.52 | 0.52 | 1334 | 1347 | 0.58 |
| 2014/15 | PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie | LW | 9 | 388 | 13% | 1 | 2 | 0.70 | 0.44 | 1324 | 1340 | 0.52 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Copa Del Rey | CA Osasuna | 2 | 210 | 1 | 2 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | Real Sociedad | 10 | 516 | 1 | 2 | 1527 |
| 2024/25 | Copa Del Rey | Real Sociedad | 4 | 98 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | 1.FC Union Berlin | 5 | 365 | 2 | 0 | 1685 |
| 2023/24 | Copa Del Rey | Real Sociedad | 2 | 152 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Dfb Pokal | 1.FC Union Berlin | 2 | 149 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | Real Sociedad | 1 | 61 | 0 | 0 | 1744 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | 1.FC Union Berlin | 10 | 866 | 1 | 1 | 1543 |
| 2022/23 | Dfb Pokal | 1.FC Union Berlin | 4 | 301 | 0 | 2 | — |
| 2021/22 | Dfb Pokal | 1.FC Union Berlin | 4 | 256 | 2 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | 1.FC Union Berlin | 2 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1386 |
| 2020/21 | Dfb Pokal | 1.FC Union Berlin | 2 | 129 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Dfb Pokal | 1.FC Union Berlin | 1 | 60 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Knvb Beker | ADO Den Haag | 2 | 180 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2016/17 | Knvb Beker | ADO Den Haag | 3 | 211 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2015/16 | Knvb Beker | PEC Zwolle | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2014/15 | Knvb Beker | PEC Zwolle | 2 | 92 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalifa Coulibaly Ligue 1 · 2022 | 31 | €1.5M | €600k | fell |
| Antonio Floro Flores Serie A · 2016 | 33 | €1.5M | €300k | fell |
| Nenê Serie A · 2013 | 30 | €1.8M | €400k | fell |
| Daniel Braaten Ligue 1 · 2013 | 31 | €1.5M | €800k | fell |
| Serdar Özbayraktar Super Lig · 2013 | 32 | €700k | €500k | fell |
| José Manuel Arnáiz Laliga · 2024 | 29 | €2.0M | €900k | fell |
| Patrick Herrmann Bundesliga · 2022 | 31 | €2.3M | €1.0M | fell |
| Dorge Kouemaha Super Lig · 2013 | 30 | €900k | €400k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | CA Osasuna | Mainz | €500k | €1.5M |
| 30 Jun 2026 | Mainz | CA Osasuna | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 2 Feb 2026 | CA Osasuna | Mainz | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 1 Sept 2025 | Real Sociedad | CA Osasuna | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 18 Jan 2024 | Union Berlin | Real Sociedad | €3.0M | €12.0M |
| 1 Jul 2019 | ADO Den Haag | Union Berlin | Free / loan | €1.3M |
| 21 Aug 2016 | Ajax U21 | ADO Den Haag | €200k | €800k |
| 30 Jun 2016 | PEC Zwolle | Ajax U21 | Free / loan | €700k |
| 4 Jan 2015 | Ajax U21 | PEC Zwolle | Free / loan | €150k |
| 1 Jan 2014 | Ajax U19 | Ajax U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Ajax U17 | Ajax U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Ajax Youth | Ajax U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.