Sheraldo Becker

31 yrs · Left winger (also RW, ST) · Suriname
CA Osasuna · Laliga · Foot: right · Height: 180 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: Data unavailable
Market value
€1.5M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€433k – €2.0M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€1.9M – €4.3M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€487k – €1.3M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€149k – €3.9M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€433k – €2.0M
Model value (performance-implied)€1.9M – €4.3M
Projected value (24 months)€487k – €1.3M
Dashed line: current market value (€1.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Sheraldo Becker's performance-implied value at EUR 1.9M-4.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-2.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.5M-1.3M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.98x the positional average in the league (1104 minutes, league coefficient 0.94). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.

Bargain Index: 36

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAbove average65.6th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable31.4 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €1.0M vs market €1.5M
Expected appreciationVery low-39% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.94
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €17.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1104 (32% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.49
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.50
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
66 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.94 (rank 2)
Team strength (Elo)
1477
Opponent strength
1499
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
improving
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€487k – €1.3M

Trajectory drivers: changed club; role change LW -> ST.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -56% (IQR -65% to -53%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ⚠Limited sample: 1104 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/261.FSV Mainz 05BundesligaST1495431%330.570.50149914850.94
2025/26CA OsasunaLaligaLW91504%000.000.40152314270.95
2024/25Real SociedadLaligaLW2299429%210.270.32150014640.95
2023/24Real SociedadLaligaST1577223%220.470.43147515881.00
2023/241.FC Union BerlinBundesligaST1164921%020.280.38148914311.01
2022/231.FC Union BerlinBundesligaST34258284%1170.630.49151615871.04
2021/221.FC Union BerlinBundesligaST28177058%460.510.48151815681.05
2020/211.FC Union BerlinBundesligaRW18111536%330.480.42151915081.06
2019/201.FC Union BerlinBundesligaRW1353517%020.340.49158614341.06
2018/19ADO Den HaagEredivisieRW33287194%790.500.48135413690.61
2017/18ADO Den HaagEredivisieRW27222073%270.360.38133313100.59
2016/17ADO Den HaagEredivisieRW28161653%310.220.35136112590.54
2015/16PEC ZwolleEredivisieRW23154851%450.520.52133413470.58
2014/15PEC ZwolleEredivisieLW938813%120.700.44132413400.52

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Copa Del ReyCA Osasuna221012—
2024/25Uefa Europa LeagueReal Sociedad10516121527
2024/25Copa Del ReyReal Sociedad49800—
2023/24Uefa Champions League1.FC Union Berlin5365201685
2023/24Copa Del ReyReal Sociedad215210—
2023/24Dfb Pokal1.FC Union Berlin214910—
2023/24Uefa Champions LeagueReal Sociedad161001744
2022/23Uefa Europa League1.FC Union Berlin10866111543
2022/23Dfb Pokal1.FC Union Berlin430102—
2021/22Dfb Pokal1.FC Union Berlin425620—
2021/22Uefa Conference League Qualifying1.FC Union Berlin290001386
2020/21Dfb Pokal1.FC Union Berlin212900—
2019/20Dfb Pokal1.FC Union Berlin16000—
2018/19Knvb BekerADO Den Haag218011—
2016/17Knvb BekerADO Den Haag321101—
2015/16Knvb BekerPEC Zwolle19000—
2014/15Knvb BekerPEC Zwolle29200—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Kalifa Coulibaly
Ligue 1 · 2022
31€1.5M€600kfell
Antonio Floro Flores
Serie A · 2016
33€1.5M€300kfell
Nenê
Serie A · 2013
30€1.8M€400kfell
Daniel Braaten
Ligue 1 · 2013
31€1.5M€800kfell
Serdar Özbayraktar
Super Lig · 2013
32€700k€500kfell
José Manuel Arnáiz
Laliga · 2024
29€2.0M€900kfell
Patrick Herrmann
Bundesliga · 2022
31€2.3M€1.0Mfell
Dorge Kouemaha
Super Lig · 2013
30€900k€400kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2026CA OsasunaMainz€500k€1.5M
30 Jun 2026MainzCA OsasunaFree / loan€1.5M
2 Feb 2026CA OsasunaMainzFree / loan€1.5M
1 Sept 2025Real SociedadCA OsasunaFree / loan€2.5M
18 Jan 2024Union BerlinReal Sociedad€3.0M€12.0M
1 Jul 2019ADO Den HaagUnion BerlinFree / loan€1.3M
21 Aug 2016Ajax U21ADO Den Haag€200k€800k
30 Jun 2016PEC ZwolleAjax U21Free / loan€700k
4 Jan 2015Ajax U21PEC ZwolleFree / loan€150k
1 Jan 2014Ajax U19Ajax U21UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2013Ajax U17Ajax U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2012Ajax YouthAjax U17UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

Sheraldo Becker · MoneyballAI