Lucas Alario
34 yrs · Striker · Argentina
Club Estudiantes de La Plata · Torneo Apertura · Foot: right · Height: 185 cm
Contract: until 31 Dec 2026
No model evaluation for this player. MoneyballAI evaluates players with at least 450 league minutes last season in leagues where match-level player data is available from the current free source (14 European top divisions). Market value and transfer history are still shown below.
Market value
€250k
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
—
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
—
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
—
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
—
Model value − acquisition
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Highest recorded: €20.0M
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022/23 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga | ST | 20 | 316 | 10% | 1 | 0 | 0.28 | 0.34 | 1442 | 1541 | 1.04 |
| 2021/22 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Bundesliga | ST | 27 | 638 | 21% | 6 | 0 | 0.85 | 0.48 | 1494 | 1639 | 1.05 |
| 2020/21 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Bundesliga | ST | 25 | 1244 | 41% | 11 | 3 | 1.01 | 0.54 | 1484 | 1563 | 1.06 |
| 2019/20 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Bundesliga | ST | 24 | 1163 | 38% | 7 | 3 | 0.77 | 0.50 | 1538 | 1654 | 1.06 |
| 2018/19 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Bundesliga | ST | 27 | 1255 | 41% | 9 | 3 | 0.86 | 0.55 | 1485 | 1625 | 1.05 |
| 2017/18 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Bundesliga | ST | 23 | 1544 | 50% | 9 | 5 | 0.82 | 0.57 | 1479 | 1569 | 1.04 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022/23 | Dfb Pokal | Eintracht Frankfurt | 3 | 57 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Super Cup | Eintracht Frankfurt | 1 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 1829 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | Eintracht Frankfurt | 2 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 1650 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 6 | 360 | 1 | 0 | 1513 |
| 2020/21 | Dfb Pokal | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 3 | 241 | 2 | 1 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 4 | 168 | 2 | 0 | 1479 |
| 2019/20 | Dfb Pokal | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 4 | 360 | 3 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Champions League | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 5 | 214 | 0 | 0 | 1665 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 3 | 175 | 2 | 0 | 1672 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 7 | 414 | 4 | 0 | 1485 |
| 2018/19 | Dfb Pokal | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 2 | 161 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Dfb Pokal | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 3 | 128 | 1 | 1 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
No comparables computed for this player.
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan 2025 | Internacional | Estudiantes LP | Free / loan | €1.2M |
| 11 Jan 2024 | Frankfurt | Internacional | €500k | €1.5M |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Leverkusen | Frankfurt | €6.0M | €8.0M |
| 31 Aug 2017 | River Plate | Leverkusen | €19.0M | €12.0M |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Colon | River Plate | €2.0M | €50k |
| 1 Jul 2011 | CA Colón U20 | Colon | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.