Alexandre Guedes
32 yrs · Striker · Nationality unavailable
FC Paços de Ferreira · Liga Portugal · Foot: right · Height: 185 cm
Contract: Data unavailable
No model evaluation for this player. MoneyballAI evaluates players with at least 450 league minutes last season in leagues where match-level player data is available from the current free source (14 European top divisions). Market value and transfer history are still shown below.
Market value
€300k
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
—
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
—
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
—
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
—
Model value − acquisition
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Highest recorded: €2.5M
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022/23 | FC Paços de Ferreira | Liga Portugal | ST | 16 | 794 | 26% | 1 | 1 | 0.23 | 0.65 | 1461 | 1231 | 0.68 |
| 2020/21 | FC Famalicão | Liga Portugal | ST | 14 | 824 | 27% | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | 0.35 | 1313 | 1332 | 0.61 |
| 2019/20 | Vitória Guimarães SC | Liga Portugal | ST | 2 | 114 | 4% | 1 | 0 | 0.79 | 0.50 | 1348 | 1418 | 0.59 |
| 2018/19 | Vitória Guimarães SC | Liga Portugal | ST | 29 | 2113 | 69% | 6 | 5 | 0.47 | 0.48 | 1352 | 1381 | 0.65 |
| 2017/18 | Desportivo Aves (- 2020) | Liga Portugal | ST | 20 | 1168 | 38% | 3 | 1 | 0.31 | 0.53 | 1371 | 1269 | 0.64 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Vitória Guimarães SC | 5 | 329 | 1 | 0 | 1247 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
No comparables computed for this player.
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No transfers recorded. | ||||
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.