
Pedro Bigas
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Pedro Bigas's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-1.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.3M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Age above 33 (outside validated pool)
| Performance | Above average | 64.6th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 36.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €130k vs market €300k |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -12% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2069 (61% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.17
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.20
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 65 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1389
- Opponent strength
- 1461
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €165k – €308k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -54% (IQR -69% to -31%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ▲Age 36: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Elche CF | Laliga | CB | 28 | 2069 | 60% | 1 | 3 | 0.17 | 0.20 | 1461 | 1389 | 0.95 |
| 2022/23 | Elche CF | Laliga | CB | 28 | 2025 | 59% | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 0.08 | 1536 | 1353 | 0.98 |
| 2021/22 | Elche CF | Laliga | CB | 19 | 1556 | 45% | 1 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.08 | 1499 | 1421 | 1.05 |
| 2020/21 | SD Eibar | Laliga | CB | 21 | 1529 | 45% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1573 | 1415 | 1.10 |
| 2019/20 | SD Eibar | Laliga | CB | 23 | 1779 | 52% | 3 | 0 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 1528 | 1506 | 1.16 |
| 2018/19 | SD Eibar | Laliga | CB | 10 | 584 | 17% | 0 | 1 | 0.15 | 0.12 | 1576 | 1531 | 1.14 |
| 2017/18 | UD Las Palmas | Laliga | CB | 12 | 896 | 26% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1572 | 1301 | 1.11 |
| 2016/17 | UD Las Palmas | Laliga | CB | 32 | 2651 | 78% | 4 | 1 | 0.17 | 0.15 | 1543 | 1409 | 1.11 |
| 2015/16 | UD Las Palmas | Laliga | CB | 27 | 2353 | 69% | 3 | 0 | 0.11 | 0.16 | 1600 | 1473 | 1.17 |
| 2012/13 | RCD Mallorca | Laliga | CB | 24 | 2058 | 60% | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.08 | 1537 | 1409 | 1.06 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Copa Del Rey | Elche CF | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Copa Del Rey | Elche CF | 1 | 87 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2020/21 | Copa Del Rey | SD Eibar | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Copa Del Rey | SD Eibar | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Copa Del Rey | SD Eibar | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Copa Del Rey | UD Las Palmas | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Copa Del Rey | UD Las Palmas | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2015/16 | Copa Del Rey | UD Las Palmas | 1 | 36 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2012/13 | Copa Del Rey | RCD Mallorca | 3 | 189 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcin Wasilewski Premier League · 2015 | 35 | €500k | €50k | fell |
| Massimo Paci Serie A · 2013 | 35 | €200k | €75k | fell |
| Daniele Portanova Serie A · 2013 | 35 | €300k | €50k | fell |
| Jérémie Bréchet Ligue 1 · 2013 | 34 | €500k | €250k | fell |
| Nicola Legrottaglie Serie A · 2013 | 37 | €400k | €300k | fell |
| Domenico Criscito Serie A · 2022 | 36 | €600k | €250k | fell |
| Claudio Terzi Serie A · 2021 | 37 | €300k | €200k | fell |
| Kader Mangane Ligue 1 · 2018 | 35 | €500k | €500k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Jul 2021 | SD Eibar | Elche CF | Free / loan | €1.2M |
| 1 Jul 2019 | UD Las Palmas | SD Eibar | €3.0M | €3.0M |
| 30 Jun 2019 | SD Eibar | UD Las Palmas | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 31 Jul 2018 | UD Las Palmas | SD Eibar | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 13 Jul 2015 | RCD Mallorca | UD Las Palmas | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 1 Jul 2012 | RCD Mallorca B | RCD Mallorca | Unknown | €700k |
| 1 Jul 2011 | Atl. Baleares | RCD Mallorca B | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2010 | CD Montuiri | Atl. Baleares | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2009 | Mallorca U19 | CD Montuiri | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.