Andreas Cornelius
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Andreas Cornelius's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-1.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.2M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.50x the positional average in the league (493 minutes, league coefficient 0.47). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Below average | 29.1th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 33.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €93k vs market €250k |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -15% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.47 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 901 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 493 (25% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.25
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 29 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.47 (rank 12)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1359
- Opponent strength
- 1247
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €101k – €245k
Trajectory drivers: league level up (+45 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -68% (IQR -79% to -47%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 493 league minutes last season.
- ▲Age 33: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.47 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 20 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 78%–121%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 65%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Copenhagen | Superliga | ST | 11 | 493 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.25 | 1247 | 1359 | 0.47 |
| 2024/25 | FC Copenhagen | Superliga | ST | 10 | 680 | 34% | 2 | 1 | 0.40 | 0.32 | 1286 | 1399 | 0.38 |
| 2023/24 | FC Copenhagen | Superliga | ST | 12 | 439 | 22% | 1 | 1 | 0.41 | 0.32 | 1269 | 1517 | 0.48 |
| 2022/23 | FC Copenhagen | Superliga | ST | 7 | 429 | 22% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.25 | 1260 | 1492 | 0.47 |
| 2022/23 | Trabzonspor | Super Lig | ST | 4 | 345 | 11% | 1 | 1 | 0.52 | 0.36 | 1263 | 1377 | 0.50 |
| 2021/22 | Trabzonspor | Super Lig | ST | 37 | 2432 | 71% | 15 | 5 | 0.74 | 0.47 | 1251 | 1433 | 0.42 |
| 2020/21 | Parma Calcio 1913 | Serie A | ST | 29 | 1901 | 56% | 1 | 5 | 0.28 | 0.43 | 1451 | 1252 | 0.90 |
| 2019/20 | Parma Calcio 1913 | Serie A | ST | 26 | 1490 | 44% | 12 | 4 | 0.97 | 0.86 | 1424 | 1373 | 0.82 |
| 2018/19 | FC Girondins Bordeaux | Ligue 1 | ST | 20 | 780 | 23% | 3 | 1 | 0.46 | 0.45 | 1413 | 1408 | 0.82 |
| 2017/18 | Atalanta BC | Serie A | ST | 23 | 927 | 27% | 3 | 1 | 0.39 | 0.39 | 1476 | 1556 | 0.86 |
| 2016/17 | FC Copenhagen | Superliga | ST | 21 | 1321 | 56% | 9 | 5 | 0.95 | 0.47 | 1289 | 1595 | 0.48 |
| 2015/16 | FC Copenhagen | Superliga | ST | 26 | 1239 | 42% | 5 | 2 | 0.51 | 0.38 | 1280 | 1500 | 0.53 |
| 2014/15 | FC Copenhagen | Superliga | ST | 22 | 1884 | 63% | 6 | 0 | 0.29 | 0.34 | 1359 | 1421 | 0.48 |
| 2013/14 | FC Copenhagen | Superliga | ST | 13 | 1156 | 39% | 5 | 0 | 0.39 | 0.38 | 1335 | 1471 | 0.63 |
| 2013/14 | Cardiff City | Premier League | ST | 8 | 107 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.58 | 1499 | 1353 | 1.12 |
| 2012/13 | FC Copenhagen | Superliga | ST | 32 | 2628 | 88% | 18 | 4 | 0.75 | 0.49 | 1322 | 1477 | 0.54 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | FC Copenhagen | 6 | 441 | 2 | 2 | 1398 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | FC Copenhagen | 3 | 100 | 1 | 0 | 1652 |
| 2025/26 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Copenhagen | 2 | 22 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Copenhagen | 6 | 226 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2023/24 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Copenhagen | 3 | 181 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | FC Copenhagen | 3 | 79 | 0 | 0 | 1801 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | FC Copenhagen | 1 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 1550 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Trabzonspor | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1478 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | FC Copenhagen | 2 | 108 | 0 | 0 | 1639 |
| 2022/23 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Copenhagen | 1 | 59 | 2 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Trabzonspor | 2 | 46 | 1 | 0 | 1599 |
| 2020/21 | Italy Cup | Parma Calcio 1913 | 1 | 74 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Italy Cup | Parma Calcio 1913 | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League | FC Girondins Bordeaux | 5 | 243 | 0 | 1 | 1479 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Atalanta BC | 4 | 87 | 1 | 0 | 1484 |
| 2017/18 | Italy Cup | Atalanta BC | 4 | 243 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Europa League | Atalanta BC | 4 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 1515 |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Champions League | FC Copenhagen | 5 | 450 | 1 | 0 | 1550 |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | FC Copenhagen | 6 | 434 | 5 | 1 | 1353 |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Europa League | FC Copenhagen | 4 | 360 | 1 | 0 | 1577 |
| 2016/17 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Copenhagen | 4 | 260 | 2 | 0 | — |
| 2015/16 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Copenhagen | 6 | 600 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2014/15 | Uefa Europa League | FC Copenhagen | 4 | 360 | 0 | 1 | 1400 |
| 2014/15 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | FC Copenhagen | 4 | 315 | 1 | 0 | 1580 |
| 2014/15 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Copenhagen | 3 | 236 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2013/14 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Copenhagen | 3 | 270 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2013/14 | Fa Cup | Cardiff City | 2 | 105 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2012/13 | Uefa Europa League | FC Copenhagen | 6 | 446 | 1 | 1 | 1441 |
| 2012/13 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | FC Copenhagen | 4 | 194 | 0 | 0 | 1488 |
| 2012/13 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Copenhagen | 2 | 147 | 1 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yasin Öztekin Super Lig · 2021 | 34 | €350k | €50k | fell |
| David Moberg Karlsson Super League 1 · 2024 | 30 | €750k | €750k | flat |
| Oleksandr Mandzyuk Premier Liga · 2014 | 31 | €500k | €125k | fell |
| Johan Elmander Superliga · 2015 | 34 | €1.0M | €200k | fell |
| Ryan Babel Super Lig · 2022 | 36 | €350k | €150k | fell |
| Eidur Gudjohnsen Jupiler Pro League · 2014 | 36 | €500k | €200k | fell |
| Nick van der Velden Eredivisie · 2015 | 34 | €600k | €125k | fell |
| Colin McMenamin Scottish Premiership · 2013 | 32 | €300k | €300k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug 2022 | Trabzonspor | Copenhagen | €6.0M | €9.0M |
| 10 Aug 2021 | Parma | Trabzonspor | €5.1M | €6.0M |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Atalanta | Parma | €8.4M | €6.0M |
| 30 Jun 2021 | Parma | Atalanta | Free / loan | €6.0M |
| 18 Jul 2019 | Atalanta | Parma | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 30 Jun 2019 | G. Bordeaux | Atalanta | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 31 Aug 2018 | Atalanta | G. Bordeaux | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Copenhagen | Atalanta | €6.0M | €3.0M |
| 31 Jan 2014 | Cardiff | Copenhagen | €3.5M | €6.0M |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Copenhagen | Cardiff | €8.7M | €4.5M |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Copenhagen U19 | Copenhagen | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2010 | FCK Youth | Copenhagen U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.