Igor Kyryukhantsev
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Igor Kyryukhantsev's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.4M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 73
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 7.1th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 30.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €117k vs market €400k |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -38% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1876 (70% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.10
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.15
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 7 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1091
- Opponent strength
- 1160
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €118k – €357k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 45 pts; changed club; team strength down (-92 Elo); role change RM -> RB.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -47% (IQR -71% to -23%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Age 30: resale value typically declines.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 11 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 108%–176%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 82%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Epicentr Kamyanets-Podilskyi | Premier Liga | RB | 23 | 1876 | 69% | 0 | 2 | 0.10 | 0.15 | 1160 | 1091 | 0.25 |
| 2024/25 | Zorya Lugansk | Premier Liga | RM | 17 | 650 | 24% | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | 0.20 | 1203 | 1182 | 0.28 |
| 2023/24 | Zorya Lugansk | Premier Liga | RM | 24 | 1936 | 72% | 2 | 1 | 0.14 | 0.11 | 1254 | 1235 | 0.34 |
| 2022/23 | Zorya Lugansk | Premier Liga | RM | 11 | 896 | 33% | 5 | 3 | 0.80 | 0.45 | 1267 | 1406 | 0.38 |
| 2021/22 | FC Oleksandriya | Premier Liga | RM | 10 | 483 | 30% | 1 | 1 | 0.37 | 0.31 | 1291 | 1297 | 0.45 |
| 2020/21 | FK Mariupol | Premier Liga | RB | 18 | 1338 | 57% | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 0.10 | 1267 | 1222 | 0.49 |
| 2019/20 | FK Mariupol | Premier Liga | RB | 16 | 1404 | 71% | 2 | 0 | 0.13 | 0.15 | 1327 | 1267 | 0.54 |
| 2018/19 | FK Mariupol | Premier Liga | RB | 9 | 555 | 28% | 0 | 1 | 0.16 | 0.17 | 1298 | 1310 | 0.57 |
| 2017/18 | FK Mariupol | Premier Liga | RB | 13 | 1068 | 54% | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 0.12 | 1302 | 1296 | 0.62 |
| 2016/17 | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier Liga | RB | 1 | 25 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 1305 | 1636 | 0.56 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/25 | Ukrainian Cup | Zorya Lugansk | 1 | 63 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Zorya Lugansk | 2 | 176 | 0 | 0 | 1549 |
| 2023/24 | Ukrainian Cup | Zorya Lugansk | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Ukrainian Cup | FC Oleksandriya | 1 | 45 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2020/21 | Ukrainian Cup | FK Mariupol | 1 | 90 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | FK Mariupol | 2 | 94 | 0 | 0 | 1482 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | FK Mariupol | 3 | 142 | 0 | 0 | 1412 |
| 2018/19 | Ukrainian Cup | FK Mariupol | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Ukrainian Cup | FK Mariupol | 2 | 24 | 0 | 1 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Léo Schwechlen Super Lig · 2021 | 32 | €250k | €50k | fell |
| Bevis Mugabi Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 29 | €350k | €225k | fell |
| Stavros Vasilantonopoulos Super League 1 · 2022 | 30 | €400k | €175k | fell |
| Zoran Kvrzic Super Lig · 2021 | 33 | €300k | €100k | fell |
| Maksym Zhychykov Premier Liga · 2023 | 31 | €400k | €400k | flat |
| Eren Albayrak Super Lig · 2021 | 30 | €900k | €125k | fell |
| Denys Balan Premier Liga · 2024 | 31 | €300k | €300k | flat |
| Georgios Saramantas Super League 1 · 2022 | 30 | €250k | €175k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Sept 2025 | Zorya Lugansk | Epicentr | Free / loan | €500k |
| 23 Sept 2022 | Shakhtar D. | Zorya Lugansk | Free / loan | €500k |
| 31 Dec 2021 | FC Oleksandriya | Shakhtar D. | Free / loan | €500k |
| 2 Sept 2021 | Shakhtar D. | FC Oleksandriya | Free / loan | €500k |
| 30 Jun 2021 | FC Mariupol | Shakhtar D. | Free / loan | €500k |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Shakhtar D. | FC Mariupol | Free / loan | €300k |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Shakhtar II | Shakhtar D. | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Shakhtar U19 | Shakhtar II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Shakhtar U17 | Shakhtar U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.