Glenn Bijl
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Glenn Bijl's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.5M. Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Below average | 15.9th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 31 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €348k vs market €600k |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -49% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1269 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 575 (21% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.06
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 16 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1365
- Opponent strength
- 1323
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €207k – €470k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 33 pts; changed club; team strength up (+108 Elo); relative output down 65% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -54% (IQR -60% to -45%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 575 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 76 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 67%–160%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 76%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Royal Antwerp FC | Jupiler Pro League | RB | 10 | 575 | 21% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1323 | 1365 | 0.65 |
| 2024/25 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | Premier Liga | RB | 21 | 1465 | 54% | 1 | 1 | 0.12 | 0.16 | 1309 | 1257 | 0.55 |
| 2023/24 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | Premier Liga | RB | 18 | 1568 | 58% | 1 | 4 | 0.29 | 0.28 | 1341 | 1257 | 0.49 |
| 2022/23 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | Premier Liga | RB | 28 | 2342 | 87% | 2 | 1 | 0.12 | 0.11 | 1319 | 1270 | 0.53 |
| 2021/22 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | Premier Liga | RB | 20 | 1570 | 58% | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 0.10 | 1355 | 1289 | 0.52 |
| 2020/21 | FC Emmen | Eredivisie | RB | 30 | 2575 | 84% | 2 | 2 | 0.14 | 0.17 | 1357 | 1250 | 0.56 |
| 2019/20 | FC Emmen | Eredivisie | RB | 24 | 2151 | 92% | 1 | 5 | 0.25 | 0.22 | 1366 | 1285 | 0.62 |
| 2018/19 | FC Emmen | Eredivisie | DM | 32 | 2868 | 94% | 2 | 6 | 0.25 | 0.24 | 1361 | 1268 | 0.61 |
| 2016/17 | FC Groningen | Eredivisie | RB | 1 | 90 | 3% | 0 | 1 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 1336 | 1345 | 0.54 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Jupiler Pro League Europe Play Offs | Royal Antwerp FC | 1 | 69 | 0 | 0 | 1476 |
| 2024/25 | Russian Cup | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 3 | 112 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Russian Cup | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 5 | 270 | 2 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Russian Cup | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 10 | 765 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2021/22 | Russian Cup | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 2 | 135 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2020/21 | Knvb Beker | FC Emmen | 3 | 178 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Knvb Beker | FC Emmen | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Knvb Beker | FC Emmen | 2 | 180 | 3 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chico Super Lig · 2018 | 31 | €600k | €250k | fell |
| Bruno Godeau Jupiler Pro League · 2021 | 29 | €600k | €400k | fell |
| Laurent Jans Jupiler Pro League · 2021 | 29 | €600k | €350k | fell |
| Şener Özbayraklı Super Lig · 2019 | 29 | €500k | €200k | fell |
| Vadym Sapay Premier Liga · 2017 | 31 | €400k | €200k | fell |
| Etiënne Reijnen Eredivisie · 2018 | 31 | €600k | €325k | fell |
| Ismail Konuk Super Lig · 2016 | 28 | €700k | €150k | fell |
| Ergün Teber Super Lig · 2015 | 30 | €500k | €200k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2025 | KS Samara | Royal Antwerp | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 25 Aug 2021 | FC Emmen | KS Samara | €200k | €1.0M |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Groningen U21 | FC Emmen | Free / loan | €100k |
| 30 Jun 2016 | FC Dordrecht | Groningen U21 | Free / loan | €50k |
| 5 Jan 2016 | Groningen U21 | FC Dordrecht | Free / loan | €50k |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Gron./Cam. U19 | Gron./Cam. U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Groningen U17 | Gron./Cam. U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.