Milan Škriniar

31 yrs · Centre-back · Slovakia
Fenerbahce · Super Lig · Foot: right · Height: 187 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2029
Market value
€10.0M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€3.4M – €9.7M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€2.3M – €7.6M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€2.6M – €5.8M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€7.4M – €4.2M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€3.4M – €9.7M
Model value (performance-implied)€2.3M – €7.6M
Projected value (24 months)€2.6M – €5.8M
Dashed line: current market value (€10.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Milan Škriniar's performance-implied value at EUR 2.3M-7.6M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 3.4M-9.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.6M-5.8M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 3

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceHigh75.9th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable31.4 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €6.5M vs market €10.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-65% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery negativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.4
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €65.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2115 (69% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.09
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.05
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
76 (High)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.40 (rank 18)
Team strength (Elo)
1477
Opponent strength
1276
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€2.6M – €5.8M

Trajectory drivers: team strength down (-90 Elo); relative output down 40% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -48% (IQR -64% to -13%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
50 (DEF)
Relative output kept
68%–191%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
54%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26FenerbahceSuper LigCB24211569%200.090.05127614770.40
2024/25FenerbahceSuper LigCB16144044%310.250.10128315030.39
2024/25Paris Saint-GermainLigue 1CB538112%000.000.03140218120.88
2023/24Paris Saint-GermainLigue 1CB24162453%000.000.02145917000.87
2022/23Inter MilanSerie ACB21177152%000.000.01145017380.94
2021/22Inter MilanSerie ACB35315092%300.090.05147017310.89
2020/21Inter MilanSerie ACB32277981%300.100.05144917480.90
2019/20Inter MilanSerie ACB32262877%020.070.05140616570.82
2018/19Inter MilanSerie ACB35315092%020.060.05145615650.78
2017/18Inter MilanSerie ACB383420100%400.110.09147115650.86
2016/17UC SampdoriaSerie ACB35299888%000.000.02148114140.88
2015/16UC SampdoriaSerie ACB31053%000.000.07142214120.95

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Europa LeagueFenerbahce8650011515
2025/26Uefa Champions League QualifyingFenerbahce4360001613
2024/25Uefa Europa LeagueFenerbahce4390011496
2023/24Uefa Champions LeagueParis Saint-Germain6539101683
2023/24Trophee Des ChampionsParis Saint-Germain171001397
2022/23Uefa Champions LeagueInter Milan8537001684
2022/23Supercoppa ItalianaInter Milan190011688
2022/23Italy CupInter Milan1700—
2021/22Uefa Champions LeagueInter Milan8720101689
2021/22Italy CupInter Milan439000—
2021/22Supercoppa ItalianaInter Milan1120001706
2020/21Italy CupInter Milan433100—
2020/21Uefa Champions LeagueInter Milan3270001684
2019/20Uefa Champions LeagueInter Milan6540001690
2019/20Italy CupInter Milan322500—
2019/20Uefa Europa LeagueInter Milan16001678
2018/19Uefa Champions LeagueInter Milan6540001759
2018/19Uefa Europa LeagueInter Milan3257001593
2018/19Italy CupInter Milan221000—
2017/18Italy CupInter Milan224000—
2015/16Uefa Europa League QualifyingMSK Zilina8750011421

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Vitor Hugo
Super Lig · 2022
31€6.0M€1.5Mfell
Víctor Ruiz
Super Lig · 2020
31€3.2M€1.5Mfell
Vyacheslav Karavaev
Premier Liga · 2024
29€5.0M€2.0Mfell
Kenny Lala
Super League 1 · 2022
31€3.0M€3.0Mflat
Michael Ngadeu
Jupiler Pro League · 2022
32€3.5M€2.0Mfell
Fernando Varela
Super League 1 · 2017
30€3.0M€2.5Mflat
Artem Fedetskyi
Premier Liga · 2015
30€4.5M€750kfell
Connor Goldson
Scottish Premiership · 2024
32€5.0M€5.0Mflat

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
30 Jul 2025PSGFenerbahçe€6.0M€15.0M
30 Jun 2025FenerbahçePSGFree / loan€15.0M
30 Jan 2025PSGFenerbahçeFree / loan€15.0M
6 Jul 2023InterPSGFree / loan€50.0M
7 Jul 2017SampdoriaInter€34.0M€7.0M
29 Jan 2016MSK ZilinaSampdoria€5.2M€600k
30 Jun 2013FC ViOnMSK ZilinaFree / loan€100k
27 Feb 2013MSK ZilinaFC ViOnFree / loan€100k
1 Jan 2012MSK Zilina U19MSK ZilinaUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2010MSK Zilina YthMSK Zilina U19UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.