Ramzi Safuri
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Ramzi Safuri's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.7M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.48x the positional average in the league (1794 minutes, league coefficient 0.40). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 62
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 9.4th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 30.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €275k vs market €900k |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -45% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.4 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1794 (59% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.30
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.33
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 9 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.40 (rank 18)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1139
- Opponent strength
- 1287
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €300k – €731k
Trajectory drivers: role change AM -> CM; relative output up 56% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -18% (IQR -52% to -12%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1794 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 35 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 77%–144%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 69%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Antalyaspor | Super Lig | CM | 25 | 1794 | 59% | 1 | 5 | 0.30 | 0.32 | 1287 | 1139 | 0.40 |
| 2024/25 | Antalyaspor | Super Lig | AM | 28 | 1569 | 48% | 4 | 1 | 0.29 | 0.37 | 1300 | 1181 | 0.39 |
| 2023/24 | Antalyaspor | Super Lig | AM | 30 | 1805 | 53% | 0 | 9 | 0.45 | 0.45 | 1301 | 1244 | 0.45 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023/24 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 2 | 150 | 0 | 1 | 1298 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Muñiz Super League 1 · 2022 | 30 | €500k | €400k | fell |
| Campanharo Super Lig · 2021 | 29 | €1.4M | €1.2M | flat |
| Juan Neira Super League 1 · 2019 | 30 | €500k | €600k | rose |
| Jon Toral Super League 1 · 2023 | 28 | €750k | €700k | flat |
| Yuriy Batyushyn Premier Liga · 2022 | 30 | €400k | €175k | fell |
| Damjan Djokovic Super Lig · 2022 | 32 | €500k | €250k | fell |
| Andreas Kuen Super League 1 · 2023 | 28 | €600k | €500k | flat |
| Vladlen Yurchenko Premier Liga · 2024 | 30 | €600k | €250k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sept 2023 | H. Beer Sheva | Antalyaspor | €250k | €1.5M |
| 30 Jun 2021 | FC Ashdod | H. Beer Sheva | Free / loan | €400k |
| 11 Feb 2021 | H. Beer Sheva | FC Ashdod | Free / loan | €400k |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | H. Beer Sheva | €500k | €500k |
| 30 Jun 2018 | H. Ashkelon | Hapoel Tel Aviv | Free / loan | €500k |
| 31 Jan 2018 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | Maccabi Netanya | Free / loan | €500k |
| 30 Jan 2018 | H. Ashkelon | Hapoel Tel Aviv | Free / loan | €500k |
| 5 Sept 2017 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | H. Ashkelon | Free / loan | €500k |
| 30 Jun 2017 | Bnei Sakhnin | Hapoel Tel Aviv | Free / loan | €500k |
| 11 Jul 2016 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | Bnei Sakhnin | Free / loan | €500k |
| 1 Jul 2013 | H. Tel Aviv U19 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.