Marco Ilaimaharitra
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Marco Ilaimaharitra's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-1.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.29x the positional average in the league (1990 minutes, league coefficient 0.65). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 36
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 37.3th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 30.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €280k vs market €800k |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -56% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1990 (74% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.14
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.16
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 37 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1341
- Opponent strength
- 1387
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €254k – €509k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 50 pts; changed club; team strength up (+140 Elo); relative output down 26% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -56% (IQR -71% to -10%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 60 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 63%–142%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 72%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Standard Liège | Jupiler Pro League | DM | 24 | 1990 | 74% | 3 | 0 | 0.14 | 0.16 | 1387 | 1341 | 0.65 |
| 2024/25 | KV Kortrijk | Jupiler Pro League | DM | 8 | 632 | 23% | 1 | 0 | 0.14 | 0.22 | 1447 | 1201 | 0.63 |
| 2023/24 | Royal Charleroi Sporting Club | Jupiler Pro League | DM | 25 | 2138 | 79% | 4 | 1 | 0.21 | 0.26 | 1379 | 1268 | 0.63 |
| 2022/23 | Royal Charleroi Sporting Club | Jupiler Pro League | DM | 32 | 2663 | 87% | 3 | 2 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 1309 | 1348 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | Royal Charleroi Sporting Club | Jupiler Pro League | DM | 29 | 2460 | 80% | 1 | 2 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 1352 | 1331 | 0.49 |
| 2020/21 | Royal Charleroi Sporting Club | Jupiler Pro League | DM | 27 | 1930 | 63% | 1 | 2 | 0.14 | 0.10 | 1358 | 1319 | 0.55 |
| 2019/20 | Royal Charleroi Sporting Club | Jupiler Pro League | DM | 27 | 2400 | 92% | 2 | 1 | 0.11 | 0.09 | 1382 | 1478 | 0.63 |
| 2018/19 | Royal Charleroi Sporting Club | Jupiler Pro League | DM | 25 | 2188 | 81% | 1 | 3 | 0.16 | 0.15 | 1371 | 1393 | 0.65 |
| 2017/18 | Royal Charleroi Sporting Club | Jupiler Pro League | DM | 23 | 1663 | 62% | 1 | 2 | 0.16 | 0.13 | 1395 | 1429 | 0.63 |
| 2013/14 | FC Sochaux-Montbéliard | Ligue 1 | DM | 12 | 471 | 14% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 1432 | 1361 | 0.79 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Jupiler Pro League Europe Play Offs | Standard Liège | 7 | 456 | 0 | 0 | 1358 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Royal Charleroi Sporting Club | 2 | 209 | 0 | 0 | 1498 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Landry N'Guémo Super Lig · 2016 | 31 | €1.5M | €300k | fell |
| Onur Kaya Jupiler Pro League · 2016 | 30 | €1.2M | €1.0M | flat |
| Aydin Karabulut Super Lig · 2017 | 29 | €1.0M | €50k | fell |
| Fábio Espinho Liga Portugal · 2017 | 32 | €600k | €200k | fell |
| Ceyhun Gülselam Super Lig · 2017 | 30 | €800k | €350k | fell |
| Lior Refaelov Jupiler Pro League · 2019 | 33 | €900k | €1.0M | flat |
| Tiago Silva Liga Portugal · 2022 | 29 | €1.5M | €3.0M | rose |
| Chico Super Lig · 2019 | 32 | €450k | €200k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | KV Kortrijk | Standard Liège | Free / loan | €800k |
| 15 Jan 2025 | Without Club | KV Kortrijk | Unknown | €1.2M |
| 1 Jul 2024 | R Charleroi SC | Without Club | Unknown | €1.5M |
| 17 Jul 2017 | FC Sochaux | R Charleroi SC | Free / loan | €600k |
| 28 Feb 2014 | FC Sochaux B | FC Sochaux | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | FC Sochaux U17 | FC Sochaux B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2010 | Sochaux Jugend | FC Sochaux U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2008 | Mulhouse Jgd. | Sochaux Jugend | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.