Raúl Jiménez
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Raúl Jiménez's performance-implied value at EUR 2.7M-4.9M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.4M-5.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.8M-2.3M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.06x the positional average in the league (2199 minutes, league coefficient 1.30). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Age above 33 (outside validated pool)
| Performance | Elite | 95.6th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 35.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €2.6M vs market €3.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -57% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 1.3 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2199 (64% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.49
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.54
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 96 (Elite)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 1.30 (rank 1)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1576
- Opponent strength
- 1606
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €846k – €2.3M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -54% (IQR -67% to -24%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ▲Age 35: resale value typically declines.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Fulham FC | Premier League | ST | 36 | 2199 | 64% | 9 | 3 | 0.49 | 0.54 | 1606 | 1576 | 1.30 |
| 2024/25 | Fulham FC | Premier League | ST | 38 | 2507 | 73% | 12 | 3 | 0.54 | 0.53 | 1587 | 1555 | 1.23 |
| 2023/24 | Fulham FC | Premier League | ST | 24 | 1402 | 41% | 7 | 0 | 0.45 | 0.55 | 1605 | 1524 | 1.14 |
| 2022/23 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | Premier League | ST | 15 | 841 | 25% | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | 0.41 | 1598 | 1497 | 1.23 |
| 2021/22 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | Premier League | ST | 34 | 2638 | 77% | 6 | 4 | 0.34 | 0.45 | 1583 | 1508 | 1.17 |
| 2020/21 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | Premier League | ST | 10 | 825 | 24% | 4 | 0 | 0.44 | 0.43 | 1524 | 1516 | 1.19 |
| 2019/20 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | Premier League | ST | 38 | 3252 | 95% | 17 | 6 | 0.64 | 0.56 | 1580 | 1613 | 1.14 |
| 2018/19 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | Premier League | ST | 38 | 3123 | 91% | 13 | 8 | 0.61 | 0.65 | 1553 | 1551 | 1.22 |
| 2017/18 | SL Benfica | Liga Portugal | ST | 33 | 973 | 32% | 6 | 6 | 1.11 | 0.52 | 1363 | 1605 | 0.64 |
| 2016/17 | SL Benfica | Liga Portugal | ST | 19 | 772 | 25% | 7 | 2 | 1.05 | 0.44 | 1368 | 1653 | 0.58 |
| 2015/16 | SL Benfica | Liga Portugal | ST | 28 | 894 | 29% | 5 | 2 | 0.70 | 0.32 | 1367 | 1712 | 0.58 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Mexico | 2 | 156 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Fa Cup | Fulham FC | 3 | 48 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Fa Cup | Fulham FC | 3 | 94 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Fa Cup | Fulham FC | 1 | 19 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Fa Cup | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 2 | 147 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Fa Cup | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 2 | 48 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 9 | 764 | 4 | 3 | 1524 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 6 | 343 | 6 | 1 | 1396 |
| 2019/20 | Fa Cup | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 2 | 135 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Fa Cup | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 6 | 427 | 4 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Champions League | SL Benfica | 5 | 307 | 0 | 0 | 1666 |
| 2017/18 | Supercup Candido De Oliveira | SL Benfica | 1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1396 |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Champions League | SL Benfica | 6 | 156 | 1 | 0 | 1666 |
| 2016/17 | Supercup Candido De Oliveira | SL Benfica | 1 | 22 | 0 | 1 | 1440 |
| 2015/16 | Uefa Champions League | SL Benfica | 10 | 543 | 3 | 3 | 1664 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glenn Murray Premier League · 2018 | 35 | €3.0M | €1.6M | fell |
| Aritz Aduriz Laliga · 2016 | 35 | €3.0M | €1.0M | fell |
| Cani Laliga · 2014 | 33 | €2.5M | €1.0M | fell |
| Ángel Rodríguez Laliga · 2019 | 32 | €3.0M | €3.0M | flat |
| Peter Crouch Premier League · 2014 | 33 | €2.5M | €2.0M | fell |
| Ivica Olic Bundesliga · 2013 | 34 | €3.0M | €1.0M | fell |
| Willian Premier League · 2023 | 35 | €3.0M | €750k | fell |
| Jorge Molina Laliga · 2019 | 37 | €2.0M | €1.5M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | Fulham | Wolves | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 25 Jul 2023 | Wolves | Fulham | €6.4M | €6.0M |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Benfica | Wolves | €38.0M | €35.0M |
| 30 Jun 2019 | Wolves | Benfica | Free / loan | €35.0M |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Benfica | Wolves | Free / loan | €15.0M |
| 13 Aug 2015 | Atlético | Benfica | €22.0M | €5.0M |
| 13 Aug 2014 | América | Atlético | €10.5M | €10.0M |
| 1 Oct 2011 | CF América U20 | América | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2010 | América Coapa | CF América U20 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.