Oleksandr Andriyevskyi

32 yrs · Central midfielder (also AM) · Ukraine
FK Polissya Zhytomyr · Premier Liga · Foot: left · Height: 179 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 31 Dec 2026
Market value
€800k
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€0 – €258k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€388k – €718k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€187k – €549k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
€129k – €718k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€0 – €258k
Model value (performance-implied)€388k – €718k
Projected value (24 months)€187k – €549k
Dashed line: current market value (€800k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Oleksandr Andriyevskyi's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-0.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.0M-0.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.27x the positional average in the league (1826 minutes, league coefficient 0.25). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract ends within 6 months: can sign a pre-contract; small or no fee.

Bargain Index: 38

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAverage40.3th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable32 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €43k vs market €800k
Expected appreciationVery low-55% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.25
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €1.5M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1826 (68% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.39
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.28
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
40 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.25 (rank 30)
Team strength (Elo)
1290
Opponent strength
1175
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
improving
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€187k – €549k

Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 30 pts.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -72% (IQR -78% to -53%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ▲Age 32: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 6 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
37 (all positions)
Relative output kept
87%–128%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
86%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26FK Polissya ZhytomyrPremier LigaCM27182668%440.390.28117512900.25
2024/25FK Polissya ZhytomyrPremier LigaCM1272527%120.370.28118212360.28
2024/25Dynamo KyivPremier LigaCM729711%000.000.11122214060.28
2023/24Dynamo KyivPremier LigaCM22126047%130.290.18124614580.34
2022/23Dynamo KyivPremier LigaCM16101638%320.440.25127214330.38
2021/22Dynamo KyivPremier LigaCM858636%010.150.10122815320.45
2020/21Dynamo KyivPremier LigaCM1477633%110.230.14133115630.49
2019/20Dynamo KyivPremier LigaCM2322%000.000.21153714970.54
2018/19Dynamo KyivPremier LigaAM625113%010.360.29129715280.57
2017/18Zorya LuganskPremier LigaCM1286644%300.310.31134714230.62
2016/17Chornomorets OdesaPremier LigaCM24179462%330.300.42135712540.56
2014/15Dynamo KyivPremier LigaCM1131%000.000.12130015730.54
2012/13Metalist Kharkiv (- 2016)Premier LigaCM160%000.000.14129715970.70

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Conference League QualifyingFK Polissya Zhytomyr6492311401
2025/26Ukrainian CupFK Polissya Zhytomyr14500—
2024/25Ukrainian CupFK Polissya Zhytomyr212600—
2024/25Uefa Europa LeagueDynamo Kyiv376001566
2024/25Ukrainian CupDynamo Kyiv16400—
2024/25Uefa Champions League QualifyingDynamo Kyiv224001450
2023/24Ukrainian CupDynamo Kyiv19000—
2023/24Uefa Conference League QualifyingDynamo Kyiv262011383
2022/23Uefa Champions League QualifyingDynamo Kyiv3126001589
2022/23Uefa Europa LeagueDynamo Kyiv288001510
2021/22Uefa Champions LeagueDynamo Kyiv294001920
2020/21Uefa Champions LeagueDynamo Kyiv3122001783
2020/21Uefa Europa LeagueDynamo Kyiv391001665
2020/21Uefa Champions League QualifyingDynamo Kyiv224001502
2020/21Ukrainian CupDynamo Kyiv1500—
2019/20Ukrainian CupDynamo Kyiv39601—
2019/20Uefa Champions League QualifyingDynamo Kyiv145001580
2018/19Ukrainian CupDynamo Kyiv16800—
2018/19Uefa Europa LeagueDynamo Kyiv217001426
2018/19Uefa Champions League QualifyingDynamo Kyiv11001374
2017/18Uefa Europa LeagueZorya Lugansk6431001515
2017/18Ukrainian CupZorya Lugansk112000—
2016/17Ukrainian CupChornomorets Odesa19000—
2014/15Ukrainian CupGirnyk-Sport Gorishni Plavni14500—
2014/15Ukrainian CupDynamo Kyiv1900—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Badou Ndiaye
Super League 1 · 2022
32€1.8M€700kfell
Kevin Mirallas
Super Lig · 2021
34€1.5M€350kfell
Nuri Sahin
Super Lig · 2021
33€1.0M€1.0Mflat
Maurício
Super League 1 · 2021
33€1.5M€200kfell
Oleksandr Sklyar
Premier Liga · 2023
32€500k€100kfell
Yevgen Shakhov
Super League 1 · 2021
31€1.5M€400kfell
Matty Kennedy
Scottish Premiership · 2024
30€350k€100kfell
Juan Muñiz
Super League 1 · 2022
30€500k€400kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
16 Jan 2025Dynamo KyivPolissyaFree / loan€1.2M
1 Jul 2018Dynamo Kyiv IIDynamo KyivUnknown€900k
30 Jun 2018Zorya LuganskDynamo Kyiv IIFree / loan€900k
16 Aug 2017Dynamo Kyiv IIZorya LuganskFree / loan€500k
30 Jun 2017ChornomoretsDynamo Kyiv IIFree / loan€500k
15 Jul 2016Dynamo Kyiv IIChornomoretsFree / loan€200k
29 Mar 2015Without ClubDynamo Kyiv IIUnknown€200k
11 Feb 2015Metalist IIWithout ClubUnknown€200k
31 Dec 2014Girnyk-SportMetalist IIFree / loan€200k
23 Jul 2014Metalist IIGirnyk-SportFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2011Metalist U17Metalist IIUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2009Atlet Kyiv U17Metalist U17Free / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.