Ruslan Malinovskyi
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Ruslan Malinovskyi's performance-implied value at EUR 1.3M-2.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.0M-2.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.7M-2.0M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.65x the positional average in the league (2251 minutes, league coefficient 0.93). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Age above 33 (outside validated pool)
| Performance | Above average | 70.7th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 33.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €1.4M vs market €2.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -52% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.93 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2251 (66% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.36
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.36
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 71 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.93 (rank 4)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1407
- Opponent strength
- 1490
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €662k – €2.0M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -52% (IQR -70% to -45%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ▲Age 33: resale value typically declines.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Genoa CFC | Serie A | CM | 34 | 2251 | 66% | 6 | 3 | 0.36 | 0.36 | 1490 | 1406 | 0.93 |
| 2024/25 | Genoa CFC | Serie A | CM | 9 | 383 | 11% | 0 | 2 | 0.47 | 0.32 | 1488 | 1444 | 0.99 |
| 2023/24 | Genoa CFC | Serie A | CM | 28 | 1548 | 45% | 4 | 1 | 0.29 | 0.34 | 1473 | 1445 | 0.98 |
| 2022/23 | Olympique Marseille | Ligue 1 | AM | 20 | 1233 | 36% | 1 | 1 | 0.15 | 0.17 | 1449 | 1568 | 0.82 |
| 2022/23 | Atalanta BC | Serie A | AM | 15 | 549 | 16% | 1 | 2 | 0.49 | 0.34 | 1445 | 1556 | 0.94 |
| 2021/22 | Atalanta BC | Serie A | AM | 30 | 1597 | 47% | 6 | 5 | 0.62 | 0.39 | 1467 | 1566 | 0.89 |
| 2020/21 | Atalanta BC | Serie A | AM | 36 | 1883 | 55% | 8 | 12 | 0.96 | 0.50 | 1445 | 1673 | 0.90 |
| 2019/20 | Atalanta BC | Serie A | AM | 34 | 1521 | 44% | 8 | 5 | 0.77 | 0.38 | 1410 | 1666 | 0.82 |
| 2018/19 | KRC Genk | Jupiler Pro League | CM | 28 | 2240 | 83% | 9 | 9 | 0.72 | 0.31 | 1345 | 1557 | 0.65 |
| 2017/18 | KRC Genk | Jupiler Pro League | CM | 27 | 2127 | 79% | 5 | 3 | 0.34 | 0.20 | 1359 | 1445 | 0.63 |
| 2016/17 | KRC Genk | Jupiler Pro League | CM | 10 | 841 | 31% | 2 | 3 | 0.54 | 0.26 | 1310 | 1500 | 0.62 |
| 2015/16 | Zorya Lugansk | Premier Liga | AM | 13 | 878 | 38% | 3 | 2 | 0.51 | 0.41 | 1293 | 1455 | 0.54 |
| 2015/16 | KRC Genk | Jupiler Pro League | CM | 8 | 472 | 17% | 0 | 2 | 0.38 | 0.20 | 1363 | 1400 | 0.57 |
| 2014/15 | Zorya Lugansk | Premier Liga | AM | 23 | 1345 | 57% | 1 | 4 | 0.33 | 0.32 | 1370 | 1405 | 0.54 |
| 2013/14 | Zorya Lugansk | Premier Liga | CM | 8 | 346 | 13% | 3 | 0 | 0.78 | 0.39 | 1372 | 1395 | 0.63 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Italy Cup | Genoa CFC | 1 | 31 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Italy Cup | Genoa CFC | 1 | 29 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2023/24 | Italy Cup | Genoa CFC | 2 | 51 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League | Atalanta BC | 5 | 342 | 3 | 2 | 1599 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League | Atalanta BC | 5 | 302 | 1 | 0 | 1613 |
| 2021/22 | Italy Cup | Atalanta BC | 1 | 74 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Italy Cup | Atalanta BC | 3 | 217 | 2 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League | Atalanta BC | 4 | 133 | 0 | 0 | 1784 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Champions League | Atalanta BC | 9 | 251 | 1 | 1 | 1756 |
| 2019/20 | Italy Cup | Atalanta BC | 1 | 90 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League | KRC Genk | 8 | 601 | 0 | 2 | 1493 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | KRC Genk | 5 | 389 | 3 | 1 | 1451 |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Europa League | KRC Genk | 5 | 423 | 1 | 1 | 1523 |
| 2015/16 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Zorya Lugansk | 4 | 360 | 4 | 0 | 1429 |
| 2015/16 | Ukrainian Cup | Zorya Lugansk | 3 | 171 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2014/15 | Ukrainian Cup | Zorya Lugansk | 4 | 294 | 0 | 2 | — |
| 2014/15 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Zorya Lugansk | 4 | 200 | 2 | 0 | 1439 |
| 2013/14 | Ukrainian Cup | FK Sevastopol (- 2014) | 1 | 20 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emanuele Giaccherini Serie A · 2016 | 31 | €4.0M | €1.0M | fell |
| Pirmin Schwegler Bundesliga · 2018 | 31 | €3.0M | €800k | fell |
| Jean-Jacques Gosso Super Lig · 2014 | 31 | €1.8M | €1.0M | fell |
| Kim Källström Premier Liga · 2015 | 33 | €2.0M | €1.1M | fell |
| Luca Cigarini Serie A · 2018 | 32 | €1.5M | €800k | fell |
| Manuel Fernandes Premier Liga · 2017 | 31 | €3.5M | €3.5M | flat |
| Geoffroy Serey Dié Bundesliga · 2016 | 32 | €1.8M | €750k | fell |
| Dennis Aogo Bundesliga · 2018 | 31 | €1.5M | €475k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | Genoa | Trabzonspor | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 31 Jan 2024 | Marseille | Genoa | €7.7M | €10.0M |
| 30 Jan 2024 | Genoa | Marseille | Free / loan | €10.0M |
| 19 Aug 2023 | Marseille | Genoa | Free / loan | €15.0M |
| 1 Jul 2023 | Atalanta | Marseille | €10.0M | €15.0M |
| 30 Jun 2023 | Marseille | Atalanta | Free / loan | €15.0M |
| 9 Jan 2023 | Atalanta | Marseille | Free / loan | €18.0M |
| 16 Jul 2019 | Genk | Atalanta | €13.6M | €12.5M |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Shakhtar D. | Genk | €2.0M | €4.0M |
| 30 Jun 2017 | Genk | Shakhtar D. | Free / loan | €4.0M |
| 1 Jan 2016 | Shakhtar D. | Genk | Free / loan | €1.8M |
| 31 Dec 2015 | Zorya Lugansk | Shakhtar D. | Free / loan | €1.8M |
| 7 Jan 2014 | Shakhtar D. | Zorya Lugansk | Free / loan | €200k |
| 1 Jan 2014 | Shakhtar II | Shakhtar D. | Unknown | €200k |
| 31 Dec 2013 | FC Sevastopol | Shakhtar II | Free / loan | €200k |
| 30 Aug 2012 | Shakhtar II | FC Sevastopol | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 29 Aug 2012 | Shakhtar-3 | Shakhtar II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2011 | Shakhtar U17 | Shakhtar-3 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2006 | Polissya U17 | Shakhtar U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.