
Rubén García
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Rubén García's performance-implied value at EUR 2.2M-3.2M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.5M-1.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-1.2M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.88x the positional average in the league (2247 minutes, league coefficient 0.95). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 50
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 77th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 33 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €658k vs market €1.6M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -50% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2247 (66% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.28
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.34
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 77 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1427
- Opponent strength
- 1475
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €447k – €1.2M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -61% (IQR -67% to -60%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Age 33: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | CA Osasuna | Laliga | RW | 35 | 2247 | 66% | 2 | 5 | 0.28 | 0.34 | 1475 | 1427 | 0.95 |
| 2024/25 | CA Osasuna | Laliga | RW | 36 | 2433 | 71% | 5 | 5 | 0.37 | 0.46 | 1505 | 1484 | 0.95 |
| 2023/24 | CA Osasuna | Laliga | RW | 30 | 1552 | 45% | 3 | 1 | 0.23 | 0.40 | 1485 | 1442 | 1.00 |
| 2022/23 | CA Osasuna | Laliga | LW | 29 | 1154 | 34% | 2 | 2 | 0.31 | 0.46 | 1519 | 1455 | 0.98 |
| 2021/22 | CA Osasuna | Laliga | LW | 37 | 2397 | 70% | 1 | 6 | 0.26 | 0.33 | 1521 | 1446 | 1.05 |
| 2020/21 | CA Osasuna | Laliga | LW | 37 | 2738 | 80% | 3 | 5 | 0.26 | 0.40 | 1563 | 1471 | 1.10 |
| 2019/20 | CA Osasuna | Laliga | LW | 30 | 2198 | 64% | 8 | 2 | 0.41 | 0.65 | 1550 | 1478 | 1.16 |
| 2015/16 | Levante UD | Laliga | LW | 22 | 1011 | 30% | 1 | 1 | 0.18 | 0.34 | 1553 | 1403 | 1.17 |
| 2014/15 | Levante UD | Laliga | LW | 27 | 1359 | 40% | 1 | 2 | 0.20 | 0.35 | 1575 | 1456 | 1.18 |
| 2013/14 | Levante UD | Laliga | LW | 32 | 2352 | 69% | 2 | 1 | 0.11 | 0.25 | 1542 | 1524 | 1.19 |
| 2012/13 | Levante UD | Laliga | RW | 31 | 1846 | 54% | 4 | 3 | 0.34 | 0.39 | 1513 | 1455 | 1.06 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Copa Del Rey | CA Osasuna | 4 | 136 | 0 | 2 | — |
| 2024/25 | Copa Del Rey | CA Osasuna | 4 | 243 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2023/24 | Copa Del Rey | CA Osasuna | 2 | 115 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | CA Osasuna | 2 | 87 | 0 | 0 | 1498 |
| 2023/24 | Supercopa | CA Osasuna | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1695 |
| 2022/23 | Copa Del Rey | CA Osasuna | 8 | 446 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2021/22 | Copa Del Rey | CA Osasuna | 1 | 25 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Copa Del Rey | CA Osasuna | 2 | 67 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Copa Del Rey | CA Osasuna | 1 | 73 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2015/16 | Copa Del Rey | Levante UD | 1 | 27 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2014/15 | Copa Del Rey | Levante UD | 3 | 169 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2013/14 | Copa Del Rey | Levante UD | 2 | 146 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2012/13 | Uefa Europa League | Levante UD | 10 | 615 | 0 | 2 | 1509 |
| 2012/13 | Copa Del Rey | Levante UD | 3 | 208 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amauri Serie A · 2013 | 33 | €1.5M | €300k | fell |
| Cyril Théréau Serie A · 2015 | 32 | €2.0M | €1.5M | fell |
| André Hahn Bundesliga · 2022 | 32 | €2.0M | €800k | fell |
| Mario Gómez Bundesliga · 2019 | 34 | €2.0M | €800k | fell |
| David Ferreiro Laliga · 2021 | 33 | €1.0M | €400k | fell |
| Adrian Mutu Ligue 1 · 2013 | 34 | €1.0M | €250k | fell |
| Jimmy Briand Ligue 1 · 2020 | 35 | €1.6M | €600k | fell |
| Salomon Kalou Bundesliga · 2019 | 34 | €3.0M | €1.1M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2019 | Levante | CA Osasuna | €3.5M | €3.5M |
| 30 Jun 2019 | CA Osasuna | Levante | Free / loan | €3.5M |
| 20 Aug 2018 | Levante | CA Osasuna | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 30 Jun 2018 | Sporting Gijón | Levante | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 28 Jul 2017 | Levante | Sporting Gijón | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Levante B | Levante | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2011 | Levante U19 | Levante B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2010 | Levante UD Yout | Levante U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2008 | Valencia CF You | Levante UD Yout | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.