Nikita Chernov

The model rates Nikita Chernov's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-1.1M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-1.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-1.1M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

1406 (52% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.06

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.09

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

33 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.56 (rank 10)

Team strength (Elo)

1262

Opponent strength

1369

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

insufficient

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€441k – €1.1M

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -52% (IQR -67% to -10%).

• ⚠Limited sample: 1406 league minutes last season.
• ⚠League level coefficient 0.56 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
• ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
• ⚠League level estimated mainly from squad values (few matches vs other leagues).
• ⚠Age 30: resale value typically declines.
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Historical movers

25 (DEF)

Relative output kept

48%–200%

Held a regular role (900+ min)

72%

Confidence

Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.