Deniz Türüç
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Deniz Türüç's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.9M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.93x the positional average in the league (1517 minutes, league coefficient 0.40). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Age above 33 (outside validated pool)
| Performance | Below average | 33.1th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 33.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €280k vs market €500k |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -45% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.4 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1517 (50% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.24
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.38
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 33 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.40 (rank 18)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1270
- Opponent strength
- 1294
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €153k – €453k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 20 pts; changed club.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -33% (IQR -53% to -8%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Age 33: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1517 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 53 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 79%–133%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 58%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Konyaspor | Super Lig | RW | 13 | 1046 | 34% | 1 | 2 | 0.26 | 0.38 | 1294 | 1230 | 0.40 |
| 2025/26 | Basaksehir FK | Super Lig | RW | 12 | 471 | 15% | 0 | 1 | 0.19 | 0.34 | 1294 | 1357 | 0.40 |
| 2024/25 | Basaksehir FK | Super Lig | RW | 34 | 2259 | 70% | 5 | 8 | 0.52 | 0.42 | 1261 | 1286 | 0.39 |
| 2023/24 | Basaksehir FK | Super Lig | RW | 34 | 2680 | 78% | 2 | 12 | 0.47 | 0.42 | 1288 | 1397 | 0.45 |
| 2022/23 | Basaksehir FK | Super Lig | RM | 30 | 2033 | 63% | 7 | 2 | 0.40 | 0.28 | 1302 | 1395 | 0.50 |
| 2021/22 | Basaksehir FK | Super Lig | RM | 33 | 1916 | 56% | 6 | 1 | 0.33 | 0.40 | 1239 | 1372 | 0.42 |
| 2020/21 | Basaksehir FK | Super Lig | LM | 31 | 2290 | 64% | 2 | 2 | 0.16 | 0.13 | 1266 | 1266 | 0.37 |
| 2020/21 | Fenerbahce | Super Lig | RM | 3 | 151 | 4% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.19 | 1326 | 1380 | 0.37 |
| 2019/20 | Fenerbahce | Super Lig | RM | 26 | 1553 | 51% | 3 | 1 | 0.23 | 0.16 | 1331 | 1330 | 0.45 |
| 2018/19 | Kayserispor | Super Lig | RM | 26 | 2262 | 74% | 3 | 5 | 0.32 | 0.24 | 1378 | 1270 | 0.58 |
| 2017/18 | Kayserispor | Super Lig | AM | 31 | 2678 | 88% | 5 | 6 | 0.37 | 0.39 | 1374 | 1300 | 0.68 |
| 2016/17 | Kayserispor | Super Lig | RM | 32 | 2672 | 87% | 11 | 11 | 0.74 | 0.54 | 1380 | 1298 | 0.62 |
| 2015/16 | Kayserispor | Super Lig | RW | 32 | 2129 | 70% | 2 | 1 | 0.13 | 0.26 | 1424 | 1279 | 0.64 |
| 2014/15 | Go Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie | CM | 29 | 2443 | 80% | 2 | 2 | 0.15 | 0.20 | 1345 | 1164 | 0.52 |
| 2013/14 | Go Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie | AM | 31 | 2528 | 83% | 3 | 2 | 0.18 | 0.29 | 1348 | 1260 | 0.59 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Basaksehir FK | 5 | 278 | 1 | 0 | 1352 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Basaksehir FK | 6 | 507 | 0 | 1 | 1210 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Basaksehir FK | 5 | 235 | 1 | 0 | 1338 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League | Basaksehir FK | 6 | 525 | 1 | 1 | 1729 |
| 2015/16 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Go Ahead Eagles | 2 | 180 | 1 | 0 | 1386 |
| 2014/15 | Knvb Beker | Go Ahead Eagles | 1 | 83 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2013/14 | Knvb Beker | Go Ahead Eagles | 2 | 151 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven MacLean Scottish Premiership · 2014 | 32 | €500k | €450k | flat |
| Morten ‘Duncan’ Rasmussen Superliga · 2018 | 33 | €400k | €150k | fell |
| Anthony Le Tallec Super League 1 · 2017 | 33 | €600k | €400k | fell |
| Karim Soltani Super League 1 · 2017 | 33 | €300k | €200k | fell |
| Denis Epstein Super League 1 · 2019 | 33 | €250k | €100k | fell |
| Aleksey Ionov Premier Liga · 2024 | 35 | €500k | €500k | flat |
| Erik Jendrisek Super League 1 · 2020 | 34 | €300k | €150k | fell |
| Ruben Schaken Eredivisie · 2017 | 35 | €500k | €500k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Jan 2026 | Basaksehir | Konyaspor | Free / loan | €700k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Fenerbahçe | Basaksehir | Free / loan | €3.1M |
| 30 Jun 2021 | Basaksehir | Fenerbahçe | Free / loan | €3.1M |
| 5 Oct 2020 | Fenerbahçe | Basaksehir | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 3 Aug 2019 | Kayserispor | Fenerbahçe | €2.5M | €3.0M |
| 28 Jul 2015 | Go Ahead Eagles | Kayserispor | €700k | €800k |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Graafschap U19 | Go Ahead Eagles | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2011 | FC Twente U19 | Graafschap U19 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2010 | FC Twente U17 | FC Twente U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.