Aleksey Sutormin

The model rates Aleksey Sutormin's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.4M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.67x the positional average in the league (639 minutes, league coefficient 0.56). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.

Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

639 (24% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.00

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.15

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

12 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.56 (rank 10)

Team strength (Elo)

1262

Opponent strength

1296

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

stable

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€170k – €517k

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 21 pts; changed club; team strength down (-80 Elo); role change LW -> RM.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -39% (IQR -63% to +0%).

• ▲Small sample: 639 league minutes last season.
• ▲Age 32: resale value typically declines.
• ⚠League level coefficient 0.56 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
• ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
• ⚠League level estimated mainly from squad values (few matches vs other leagues).
• ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
• ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Historical movers

18 (MID)

Relative output kept

54%–153%

Held a regular role (900+ min)

56%

Confidence

Low

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.