Patrik Hrosovsky

34 yrs · Central midfielder · Slovakia
KRC Genk · Jupiler Pro League · Foot: right · Height: 173 cm
Risk: Very HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€1.3M
Updated today
Estimated acquisition
€336k – €965k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€596k – €1.8M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€221k – €766k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€370k – €1.5M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€336k – €965k
Model value (performance-implied)€596k – €1.8M
Projected value (24 months)€221k – €766k
Dashed line: current market value (€1.3M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Patrik Hrosovsky's performance-implied value at EUR 0.6M-1.8M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-1.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.8M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.73x the positional average in the league (1004 minutes, league coefficient 0.65). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Age above 33 (outside validated pool)

PerformanceAbove average60.4th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable34.2 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €448k vs market €1.3M
Expected appreciationVery low-68% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationModerateleague coefficient 0.65
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskVery High
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €6.5M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1004 (37% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.18
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.16
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
60 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.65 (rank 6)
Team strength (Elo)
1471
Opponent strength
1371
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€221k – €766k

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 25 pts; team strength down (-64 Elo); relative output down 51% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -74% (IQR -83% to -58%).

Risk profile

Overall: Very High

  • ▲Age 34: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠Limited sample: 1004 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
60 (MID)
Relative output kept
63%–142%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
72%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26KRC GenkJupiler Pro LeagueCM16100437%110.180.16137114710.65
2024/25KRC GenkJupiler Pro LeagueCM26168963%620.430.32137915350.63
2023/24KRC GenkJupiler Pro LeagueCM29213079%040.170.14136914590.63
2022/23KRC GenkJupiler Pro LeagueCM34301899%240.180.13130214950.58
2021/22KRC GenkJupiler Pro LeagueCM27206467%540.390.36134513560.49
2020/21KRC GenkJupiler Pro LeagueCM24184560%220.200.15132914140.55
2019/20KRC GenkJupiler Pro LeagueCM21154259%100.060.09138214290.63

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Europa LeagueKRC Genk6491001487
2025/26Uefa Europa LeagueFC Viktoria Plzen2210011398
2025/26Uefa Europa League QualifyingKRC Genk2157201422
2023/24Uefa Champions League QualifyingKRC Genk2206011466
2023/24Uefa Europa League QualifyingKRC Genk2180001451
2023/24Uefa Conference League QualifyingKRC Genk2158001405
2021/22Uefa Europa LeagueKRC Genk4360001602
2021/22Uefa Champions League QualifyingKRC Genk2144001555
2021/22Volkswagen SupercupKRC Genk131001570
2019/20Uefa Champions LeagueKRC Genk5414001712
2019/20Uefa Europa League QualifyingFC Viktoria Plzen2210001411
2019/20Uefa Champions League QualifyingFC Viktoria Plzen2180001556

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Manuel Fernandes
Premier Liga · 2020
34€2.0M€100kfell
Nabil Dirar
Super Lig · 2019
33€800k€150kfell
Alan
Liga Portugal · 2015
36€650k€300kfell
Steed Malbranque
Ligue 1 · 2014
34€1.0M€250kfell
Castro
Liga Portugal · 2021
33€1.5M€200kfell
Christian Poulsen
Eredivisie · 2014
34€1.5M€400kfell
Yuriy Zhirkov
Premier Liga · 2018
35€800k€325kfell
Radja Nainggolan
Jupiler Pro League · 2023
35€800k€500kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
16 Jan 2026GenkViktoria Plzeň€1.0M€2.0M
16 Aug 2019Viktoria PlzeňGenk€5.2M€6.5M
1 Jan 2014Vikt. Plzen BViktoria PlzeňUnknown€350k
31 Dec 20131.SC ZnojmoVikt. Plzen BFree / loan€350k
1 Jul 2013Vikt. Plzen B1.SC ZnojmoFree / loan€150k
30 Jun 2013Usti nad LabemVikt. Plzen BFree / loan€150k
27 Jul 2012Vikt. Plzen BUsti nad LabemFree / loanData unavailable
30 Jun 2012Banik SokolovVikt. Plzen BFree / loanData unavailable
21 Feb 2012Vikt. Plzen BBanik SokolovFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2010Vikt. Plzen U19Vikt. Plzen BUnknownData unavailable
1 Sept 2009Ak. ACS TrencinVikt. Plzen U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Aug 2007Prievidza Yth.Ak. ACS TrencinUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.