Roman Yaremchuk

30 yrs · Striker · Ukraine
Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios · Super League 1 · Foot: right · Height: 191 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: LowSample: LowDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2028
Market value
€3.5M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€1.6M – €3.9M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€1.9M – €4.3M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€990k – €2.8M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€2.0M – €2.7M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€1.6M – €3.9M
Model value (performance-implied)€1.9M – €4.3M
Projected value (24 months)€990k – €2.8M
Dashed line: current market value (€3.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Roman Yaremchuk's performance-implied value at EUR 1.9M-4.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.6M-3.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.0M-2.8M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.73x the positional average in the league (848 minutes, league coefficient 0.88). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)

PerformanceAbove average58.1th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable30.6 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €2.3M vs market €3.5M
Expected appreciationVery low-55% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapLargeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.88
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceLow

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €17.5M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 901 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
848 (28% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.64
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.45
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
58 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.88 (rank 16)
Team strength (Elo)
1553
Opponent strength
1452
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€990k – €2.8M

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -55% (IQR -72% to -38%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ▲Small sample: 848 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Olympique LyonLigue 1ST1156118%410.800.45145215540.88
2025/26Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon PeiraiosSuper League 1ST1028712%010.310.23115615500.43
2024/25Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon PeiraiosSuper League 1ST1737916%110.470.27121415250.35
2023/24Valencia CFLaligaST2592627%300.290.49153214591.00
2023/24Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro LeagueST3632%000.000.37127215410.63
2022/23Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro LeagueST2287429%230.510.33130714910.58
2022/23SL BenficaLiga PortugalST2482%000.000.26129717180.68
2021/22SL BenficaLiga PortugalST23107035%630.760.37134416560.67
2020/21KAA GentJupiler Pro LeagueST28238778%1760.870.67135713900.55
2019/20KAA GentJupiler Pro LeagueST18151058%1010.660.48139815180.63
2018/19KAA GentJupiler Pro LeagueST28206576%830.480.39135014780.65
2017/18KAA GentJupiler Pro LeagueST23138951%920.710.49133914920.63
2016/17FC OleksandriyaPremier LigaST1482529%510.650.77136612930.56
2016/17Dynamo KyivPremier LigaST947516%000.000.24130315660.56

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Kypello ElladasOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios427540—
2025/26Uefa Europa LeagueOlympique Lyon2135001548
2025/26Uefa Champions LeagueOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios112001766
2024/25Uefa Europa LeagueOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios7194201549
2024/25Kypello ElladasOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios310941—
2023/24Copa Del ReyValencia CF425610—
2023/24Uefa Conference League QualifyingClub Brugge KV2124401404
2022/23Uefa Champions LeagueClub Brugge KV4110001700
2022/23Uefa Champions League QualifyingSL Benfica383011457
2021/22Uefa Champions LeagueSL Benfica10514301756
2021/22Uefa Champions League QualifyingSL Benfica3157031617
2020/21Uefa Europa LeagueKAA Gent5373111505
2020/21Uefa Champions League QualifyingKAA Gent2114101491
2019/20Uefa Europa LeagueKAA Gent6485301478
2019/20Uefa Europa League QualifyingKAA Gent5412431412
2018/19Uefa Europa League QualifyingKAA Gent4226101478
2016/17Uefa Europa League QualifyingFC Oleksandriya2101011409
2016/17Ukrainian CupDynamo Kyiv19000—
2016/17Ukrainian CupFC Oleksandriya19010—
2015/16Ukrainian CupDynamo Kyiv14500—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Abel Hernández
Premier Liga · 2019
29€4.0M€2.4Mfell
Sargis Adamyan
Jupiler Pro League · 2022
29€3.5M€600kfell
Emmanuel Emenike
Super Lig · 2017
30€3.0M€1.0Mfell
Rui Fonte
Liga Portugal · 2020
30€2.0M€1.0Mfell
Vágner Love
Ligue 1 · 2016
32€3.0M€2.0Mfell
Joãozinho
Premier Liga · 2017
29€4.0M€3.5Mflat
Konstantinos Mitroglou
Ligue 1 · 2019
31€7.0M€1.0Mfell
Fredy Montero
Liga Portugal · 2019
32€2.0M€800kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
30 Jun 2026LyonOlympiacosFree / loan€3.5M
2 Feb 2026OlympiacosLyonFree / loan€2.5M
30 Jul 2024Club BruggeOlympiacos€2.0M€3.5M
30 Jun 2024ValenciaClub BruggeFree / loan€3.5M
1 Sept 2023Club BruggeValenciaFree / loan€5.0M
29 Aug 2022BenficaClub Brugge€17.0M€15.0M
31 Jul 2021KAA GentBenfica€17.0M€17.5M
16 Aug 2017Dynamo KyivKAA Gent€2.0M€800k
1 Jan 2017Dynamo Kyiv IIDynamo KyivUnknown€300k
31 Dec 2016FC OleksandriyaDynamo Kyiv IIFree / loan€300k
22 Jul 2016Dynamo Kyiv IIFC OleksandriyaFree / loan€200k
1 Jul 2015Dynamo-2 KyivDynamo Kyiv IIUnknown€150k
1 Jul 2013Dynamo Kyiv U19Dynamo-2 KyivUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2012Dynamo Kyiv U17Dynamo Kyiv U19UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.