
Roman Yaremchuk
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Roman Yaremchuk's performance-implied value at EUR 1.9M-4.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.6M-3.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.0M-2.8M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.73x the positional average in the league (848 minutes, league coefficient 0.88). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Above average | 58.1th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 30.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €2.3M vs market €3.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -55% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 901 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 848 (28% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.64
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.45
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 58 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1553
- Opponent strength
- 1452
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €990k – €2.8M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -55% (IQR -72% to -38%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Small sample: 848 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Olympique Lyon | Ligue 1 | ST | 11 | 561 | 18% | 4 | 1 | 0.80 | 0.45 | 1452 | 1554 | 0.88 |
| 2025/26 | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | Super League 1 | ST | 10 | 287 | 12% | 0 | 1 | 0.31 | 0.23 | 1156 | 1550 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | Super League 1 | ST | 17 | 379 | 16% | 1 | 1 | 0.47 | 0.27 | 1214 | 1525 | 0.35 |
| 2023/24 | Valencia CF | Laliga | ST | 25 | 926 | 27% | 3 | 0 | 0.29 | 0.49 | 1532 | 1459 | 1.00 |
| 2023/24 | Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League | ST | 3 | 63 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.37 | 1272 | 1541 | 0.63 |
| 2022/23 | Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League | ST | 22 | 874 | 29% | 2 | 3 | 0.51 | 0.33 | 1307 | 1491 | 0.58 |
| 2022/23 | SL Benfica | Liga Portugal | ST | 2 | 48 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.26 | 1297 | 1718 | 0.68 |
| 2021/22 | SL Benfica | Liga Portugal | ST | 23 | 1070 | 35% | 6 | 3 | 0.76 | 0.37 | 1344 | 1656 | 0.67 |
| 2020/21 | KAA Gent | Jupiler Pro League | ST | 28 | 2387 | 78% | 17 | 6 | 0.87 | 0.67 | 1357 | 1390 | 0.55 |
| 2019/20 | KAA Gent | Jupiler Pro League | ST | 18 | 1510 | 58% | 10 | 1 | 0.66 | 0.48 | 1398 | 1518 | 0.63 |
| 2018/19 | KAA Gent | Jupiler Pro League | ST | 28 | 2065 | 76% | 8 | 3 | 0.48 | 0.39 | 1350 | 1478 | 0.65 |
| 2017/18 | KAA Gent | Jupiler Pro League | ST | 23 | 1389 | 51% | 9 | 2 | 0.71 | 0.49 | 1339 | 1492 | 0.63 |
| 2016/17 | FC Oleksandriya | Premier Liga | ST | 14 | 825 | 29% | 5 | 1 | 0.65 | 0.77 | 1366 | 1293 | 0.56 |
| 2016/17 | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier Liga | ST | 9 | 475 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.24 | 1303 | 1566 | 0.56 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 4 | 275 | 4 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | Olympique Lyon | 2 | 135 | 0 | 0 | 1548 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1766 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 7 | 194 | 2 | 0 | 1549 |
| 2024/25 | Kypello Elladas | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 3 | 109 | 4 | 1 | — |
| 2023/24 | Copa Del Rey | Valencia CF | 4 | 256 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Club Brugge KV | 2 | 124 | 4 | 0 | 1404 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | Club Brugge KV | 4 | 110 | 0 | 0 | 1700 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | SL Benfica | 3 | 83 | 0 | 1 | 1457 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League | SL Benfica | 10 | 514 | 3 | 0 | 1756 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | SL Benfica | 3 | 157 | 0 | 3 | 1617 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League | KAA Gent | 5 | 373 | 1 | 1 | 1505 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | KAA Gent | 2 | 114 | 1 | 0 | 1491 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League | KAA Gent | 6 | 485 | 3 | 0 | 1478 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | KAA Gent | 5 | 412 | 4 | 3 | 1412 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | KAA Gent | 4 | 226 | 1 | 0 | 1478 |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | FC Oleksandriya | 2 | 101 | 0 | 1 | 1409 |
| 2016/17 | Ukrainian Cup | Dynamo Kyiv | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Ukrainian Cup | FC Oleksandriya | 1 | 90 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2015/16 | Ukrainian Cup | Dynamo Kyiv | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abel Hernández Premier Liga · 2019 | 29 | €4.0M | €2.4M | fell |
| Sargis Adamyan Jupiler Pro League · 2022 | 29 | €3.5M | €600k | fell |
| Emmanuel Emenike Super Lig · 2017 | 30 | €3.0M | €1.0M | fell |
| Rui Fonte Liga Portugal · 2020 | 30 | €2.0M | €1.0M | fell |
| Vágner Love Ligue 1 · 2016 | 32 | €3.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Joãozinho Premier Liga · 2017 | 29 | €4.0M | €3.5M | flat |
| Konstantinos Mitroglou Ligue 1 · 2019 | 31 | €7.0M | €1.0M | fell |
| Fredy Montero Liga Portugal · 2019 | 32 | €2.0M | €800k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Lyon | Olympiacos | Free / loan | €3.5M |
| 2 Feb 2026 | Olympiacos | Lyon | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 30 Jul 2024 | Club Brugge | Olympiacos | €2.0M | €3.5M |
| 30 Jun 2024 | Valencia | Club Brugge | Free / loan | €3.5M |
| 1 Sept 2023 | Club Brugge | Valencia | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 29 Aug 2022 | Benfica | Club Brugge | €17.0M | €15.0M |
| 31 Jul 2021 | KAA Gent | Benfica | €17.0M | €17.5M |
| 16 Aug 2017 | Dynamo Kyiv | KAA Gent | €2.0M | €800k |
| 1 Jan 2017 | Dynamo Kyiv II | Dynamo Kyiv | Unknown | €300k |
| 31 Dec 2016 | FC Oleksandriya | Dynamo Kyiv II | Free / loan | €300k |
| 22 Jul 2016 | Dynamo Kyiv II | FC Oleksandriya | Free / loan | €200k |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Dynamo-2 Kyiv | Dynamo Kyiv II | Unknown | €150k |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Dynamo Kyiv U19 | Dynamo-2 Kyiv | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Dynamo Kyiv U17 | Dynamo Kyiv U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.