Karol Linetty
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Karol Linetty's performance-implied value at EUR 1.0M-1.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-0.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.87x the positional average in the league (1527 minutes, league coefficient 0.40). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 57
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 44.4th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 31.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €369k vs market €1.2M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -47% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.4 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1527 (50% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.18
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.19
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 44 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.40 (rank 18)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1188
- Opponent strength
- 1267
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €320k – €868k
Trajectory drivers: changed club; team strength down (-270 Elo); league level down (-234 Elo); role change DM -> CM.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -56% (IQR -71% to -38%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1527 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 35 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 77%–144%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 69%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kocaelispor | Super Lig | CM | 25 | 1527 | 50% | 0 | 3 | 0.18 | 0.19 | 1267 | 1188 | 0.40 |
| 2024/25 | Torino FC | Serie A | DM | 28 | 1544 | 45% | 1 | 1 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 1519 | 1458 | 0.99 |
| 2023/24 | Torino FC | Serie A | DM | 28 | 1860 | 54% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1487 | 1510 | 0.98 |
| 2022/23 | Torino FC | Serie A | CM | 32 | 1889 | 55% | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.11 | 1476 | 1468 | 0.94 |
| 2021/22 | Torino FC | Serie A | AM | 16 | 899 | 26% | 0 | 2 | 0.20 | 0.35 | 1454 | 1423 | 0.89 |
| 2020/21 | Torino FC | Serie A | CM | 27 | 1837 | 54% | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.11 | 1463 | 1373 | 0.90 |
| 2019/20 | UC Sampdoria | Serie A | CM | 28 | 2021 | 59% | 4 | 3 | 0.31 | 0.32 | 1470 | 1374 | 0.82 |
| 2018/19 | UC Sampdoria | Serie A | CM | 32 | 2517 | 74% | 3 | 3 | 0.21 | 0.24 | 1473 | 1407 | 0.78 |
| 2017/18 | UC Sampdoria | Serie A | CM | 29 | 2133 | 62% | 3 | 2 | 0.21 | 0.23 | 1457 | 1393 | 0.86 |
| 2016/17 | UC Sampdoria | Serie A | CM | 35 | 2382 | 70% | 1 | 4 | 0.19 | 0.21 | 1485 | 1414 | 0.88 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/25 | Italy Cup | Torino FC | 2 | 156 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Italy Cup | Torino FC | 1 | 66 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Italy Cup | Torino FC | 3 | 114 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Italy Cup | Torino FC | 2 | 144 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2020/21 | Italy Cup | Torino FC | 3 | 193 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Italy Cup | UC Sampdoria | 2 | 175 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Italy Cup | UC Sampdoria | 3 | 72 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Italy Cup | UC Sampdoria | 3 | 248 | 0 | 1 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flavien Tait Super Lig · 2024 | 31 | €2.0M | €300k | fell |
| Damjan Djokovic Super Lig · 2021 | 31 | €1.1M | €300k | fell |
| Andi Lila Super League 1 · 2017 | 31 | €500k | €250k | fell |
| Sammy Clingan Scottish Premiership · 2015 | 31 | €450k | €450k | flat |
| César Pinares Super Lig · 2022 | 31 | €1.5M | €800k | fell |
| Onur Ergün Super Lig · 2023 | 31 | €850k | €325k | fell |
| Ovidiu Herea Super League 1 · 2016 | 31 | €500k | €150k | fell |
| Campanharo Super Lig · 2022 | 30 | €1.2M | €1.2M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug 2025 | Torino | Kocaelispor | Free / loan | €1.8M |
| 1 Sept 2020 | Sampdoria | Torino | €7.5M | €10.0M |
| 29 Jul 2016 | Lech Poznan | Sampdoria | €3.1M | €3.2M |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Lech U19 | Lech Poznan | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2011 | Lech Youth | Lech U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.