
David Simón
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates David Simón's performance-implied value at EUR 0.0M-0.2M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.0M-0.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.0M-0.1M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Market value below EUR 250k (outside validated pool)
| Performance | Below average | 14.7th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 37.5 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €53k vs market €50k |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +10% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1547 (66% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.06
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.11
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 15 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1169
- Opponent strength
- 1232
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €37k – €104k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR +0% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Age 38: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1547 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 25 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 55%–230%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 68%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Athlitiki Enosi Kifisias | Super League 1 | RB | 19 | 1547 | 66% | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 0.11 | 1232 | 1169 | 0.43 |
| 2023/24 | PAS Lamia 1964 | Super League 1 | RB | 23 | 2070 | 88% | 1 | 2 | 0.13 | 0.21 | 1242 | 1163 | 0.42 |
| 2022/23 | PAS Lamia 1964 | Super League 1 | RB | 24 | 1939 | 83% | 0 | 3 | 0.14 | 0.22 | 1263 | 1056 | 0.37 |
| 2017/18 | UD Las Palmas | Laliga | RB | 11 | 718 | 21% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 1551 | 1301 | 1.11 |
| 2016/17 | UD Las Palmas | Laliga | RB | 16 | 1321 | 39% | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 0.08 | 1528 | 1409 | 1.11 |
| 2015/16 | UD Las Palmas | Laliga | RB | 27 | 2262 | 66% | 1 | 2 | 0.12 | 0.14 | 1558 | 1473 | 1.17 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | Athlitiki Enosi Kifisias | 3 | 252 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Kypello Elladas | PAS Lamia 1964 | 6 | 390 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Copa Del Rey | FC Cartagena | 3 | 238 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2021/22 | Kypello Elladas | PAS Lamia 1964 | 2 | 135 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Copa Del Rey | UD Las Palmas | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Copa Del Rey | UD Las Palmas | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2015/16 | Copa Del Rey | UD Las Palmas | 3 | 270 | 0 | 1 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Lockwood Scottish Premiership · 2013 | 37 | €100k | €100k | flat |
| Andy Considine Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 37 | €50k | €50k | flat |
| Peter Nymann Superliga · 2020 | 38 | €100k | €100k | flat |
| Loukas Vyntra Super League 1 · 2020 | 39 | €100k | €100k | flat |
| Gökhan Gönül Super Lig · 2022 | 37 | €125k | €50k | fell |
| Denys Kulakov Premier Liga · 2024 | 38 | €100k | €100k | flat |
| Fernando Varela Liga Portugal · 2024 | 37 | €100k | €100k | flat |
| Anastasios Venetis Super League 1 · 2017 | 37 | €150k | €150k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | Kifisia | Without Club | Unknown | €50k |
| 1 Jul 2024 | PAS Lamia | Kifisia | Free / loan | €100k |
| 25 Jan 2022 | FC Cartagena | PAS Lamia | Free / loan | €200k |
| 2 Sept 2020 | Dep. La Coruña | FC Cartagena | Free / loan | €475k |
| 27 Jul 2018 | UD Las Palmas | Dep. La Coruña | Free / loan | €800k |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Las Palmas Atl. | UD Las Palmas | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 30 Jun 2012 | Vecindario | Las Palmas Atl. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2011 | Las Palmas Atl. | Vecindario | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2010 | Unión Viera | Las Palmas Atl. | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.