David Simón

37 yrs · Right-back · Spain
Athlitiki Enosi Kifisias · Super League 1 · Foot: right · Height: 179 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: Data unavailable
Market value
€50k
Updated today
Estimated acquisition
€10k – €132k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€43k – €208k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€37k – €104k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€89k – €198k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€10k – €132k
Model value (performance-implied)€43k – €208k
Projected value (24 months)€37k – €104k
Dashed line: current market value (€50k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates David Simón's performance-implied value at EUR 0.0M-0.2M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.0M-0.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.0M-0.1M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Market value below EUR 250k (outside validated pool)

PerformanceBelow average14.7th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable37.5 years
Acquisition costNeutralest. €53k vs market €50k
Expected appreciationNeutral+10% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.43
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €2.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1547 (66% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.06
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.11
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
15 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.42 (rank 16)
Team strength (Elo)
1169
Opponent strength
1232
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€37k – €104k

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR +0% to +0%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ▲Age 38: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠Limited sample: 1547 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
25 (DEF)
Relative output kept
55%–230%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
68%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Athlitiki Enosi KifisiasSuper League 1RB19154766%010.060.11123211690.43
2023/24PAS Lamia 1964Super League 1RB23207088%120.130.21124211630.42
2022/23PAS Lamia 1964Super League 1RB24193983%030.140.22126310560.37
2017/18UD Las PalmasLaligaRB1171821%000.000.10155113011.11
2016/17UD Las PalmasLaligaRB16132139%010.070.08152814091.11
2015/16UD Las PalmasLaligaRB27226266%120.120.14155814731.17

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Kypello ElladasAthlitiki Enosi Kifisias325200—
2022/23Kypello ElladasPAS Lamia 1964639000—
2021/22Copa Del ReyFC Cartagena323801—
2021/22Kypello ElladasPAS Lamia 1964213500—
2017/18Copa Del ReyUD Las Palmas436000—
2016/17Copa Del ReyUD Las Palmas327000—
2015/16Copa Del ReyUD Las Palmas327001—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Matt Lockwood
Scottish Premiership · 2013
37€100k€100kflat
Andy Considine
Scottish Premiership · 2024
37€50k€50kflat
Peter Nymann
Superliga · 2020
38€100k€100kflat
Loukas Vyntra
Super League 1 · 2020
39€100k€100kflat
Gökhan Gönül
Super Lig · 2022
37€125k€50kfell
Denys Kulakov
Premier Liga · 2024
38€100k€100kflat
Fernando Varela
Liga Portugal · 2024
37€100k€100kflat
Anastasios Venetis
Super League 1 · 2017
37€150k€150kflat

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2026KifisiaWithout ClubUnknown€50k
1 Jul 2024PAS LamiaKifisiaFree / loan€100k
25 Jan 2022FC CartagenaPAS LamiaFree / loan€200k
2 Sept 2020Dep. La CoruñaFC CartagenaFree / loan€475k
27 Jul 2018UD Las PalmasDep. La CoruñaFree / loan€800k
1 Jul 2014Las Palmas Atl.UD Las PalmasUnknownData unavailable
30 Jun 2012VecindarioLas Palmas Atl.Free / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2011Las Palmas Atl.VecindarioFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2010Unión VieraLas Palmas Atl.UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

David Simón · MoneyballAI