Aritz Elustondo

The model rates Aritz Elustondo's performance-implied value at EUR 0.9M-2.1M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.5M-1.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.5M-1.3M. Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

718 (21% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.13

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.11

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

61 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.95 (rank 2)

Team strength (Elo)

1462

Opponent strength

1473

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

improving

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€505k – €1.3M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 22 pts; relative output up 350% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -60% (IQR -67% to -41%).

• ▲Small sample: 718 league minutes last season.
• ▲Age 32: resale value typically declines.
• ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.