Thomas Partey

33 yrs · Defensive midfielder · Ghana
Villarreal CF · Laliga · Foot: right · Height: 185 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: Data unavailable
No index
CompareCheaper alternative
Market value
€2.0M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€790k – €2.8M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€3.0M – €10.9M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€663k – €1.5M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
€208k – €10.1M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€790k – €2.8M
Model value (performance-implied)€3.0M – €10.9M
Projected value (24 months)€663k – €1.5M
Dashed line: current market value (€2.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Thomas Partey's performance-implied value at EUR 3.0M-10.9M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.8M-2.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.7M-1.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.39x the positional average in the league (923 minutes, league coefficient 0.95). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Age above 33 (outside validated pool)

PerformanceElite92.6th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable33 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €1.4M vs market €2.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-45% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.95
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €50.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
923 (27% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.00
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.05
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
93 (Elite)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.95 (rank 2)
Team strength (Elo)
1544
Opponent strength
1493
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€663k – €1.5M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 55 pts; changed club; team strength down (-269 Elo); league level down (-99 Elo); relative output down 53% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -66% (IQR -76% to -30%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ▲Age 33: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠Limited sample: 923 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Villarreal CFLaligaDM2592327%000.000.05149315440.95
2024/25Arsenal FCPremier LeagueDM35280082%420.190.11157218131.23
2023/24Arsenal FCPremier LeagueDM1478923%000.000.04154717941.14
2022/23Arsenal FCPremier LeagueDM33248673%300.110.07155217261.23
2021/22Arsenal FCPremier LeagueDM24203359%210.130.09156716671.17
2020/21Arsenal FCPremier LeagueDM24153545%020.120.09157916881.19
2020/21Atlético de MadridLaligaDM31996%000.000.08152317281.10
2019/20Atlético de MadridLaligaDM35255275%300.110.09153817591.16
2018/19Atlético de MadridLaligaDM32206460%340.310.18153517361.14
2017/18Atlético de MadridLaligaDM33238070%300.110.08154217681.11
2016/17Atlético de MadridLaligaDM1662918%120.430.12150117921.11
2015/16Atlético de MadridLaligaDM1343513%210.620.15151418291.17
2014/15UD AlmeríaLaligaDM31236869%400.150.20159814031.18

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Champions LeagueVillarreal CF5286001634
2025/26World CupGhana218000—
2025/26Copa Del ReyVillarreal CF211600—
2024/25Uefa Champions LeagueArsenal FC12899011691
2024/25Fa CupArsenal FC12000—
2023/24Community ShieldArsenal FC190001920
2023/24Uefa Champions LeagueArsenal FC14001744
2022/23Uefa Europa LeagueArsenal FC6163001609
2022/23Fa CupArsenal FC14500—
2020/21Uefa Europa LeagueArsenal FC8542011586
2020/21Fa CupArsenal FC13200—
2019/20Uefa Champions LeagueAtlético de Madrid8736111699
2019/20SupercopaAtlético de Madrid2210001797
2019/20Copa Del ReyAtlético de Madrid17400—
2018/19Uefa Champions LeagueAtlético de Madrid6418011620
2018/19Copa Del ReyAtlético de Madrid321100—
2018/19Uefa Super CupAtlético de Madrid130011885
2017/18Uefa Europa LeagueAtlético de Madrid8476001569
2017/18Uefa Champions LeagueAtlético de Madrid6435101684
2017/18Copa Del ReyAtlético de Madrid315110—
2016/17Uefa Champions LeagueAtlético de Madrid6181001684
2016/17Copa Del ReyAtlético de Madrid218002—
2015/16Copa Del ReyAtlético de Madrid537010—
2015/16Uefa Champions LeagueAtlético de Madrid547001904
2014/15Copa Del ReyUD Almería19000—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Riccardo Montolivo
Serie A · 2017
32€3.5M€500kfell
Jan Polak
Bundesliga · 2014
33€1.3M€350kfell
Alessandro Gazzi
Serie A · 2016
33€800k€250kfell
Aleksandr Sheshukov
Premier Liga · 2015
32€1.0M€100kfell
Gelson Fernandes
Bundesliga · 2020
34€1.2M€1.2Mflat
Borja Valero
Serie A · 2019
34€2.5M€900kfell
Rio Mavuba
Ligue 1 · 2017
33€1.0M€750kfell
Christoph Kramer
Bundesliga · 2022
31€2.5M€1.7Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2026VillarrealWithout ClubUnknown€2.0M
7 Aug 2025ArsenalVillarrealFree / loan€14.0M
5 Oct 2020AtléticoArsenal€50.0M€40.0M
1 Jul 2015Atl. MadrileñoAtléticoUnknown€4.0M
30 Jun 2015UD AlmeríaAtl. MadrileñoFree / loan€2.5M
27 Jul 2014Atl. MadrileñoUD AlmeríaFree / loan€1.0M
30 Jun 2014RCD MallorcaAtl. MadrileñoFree / loan€1.0M
12 Jul 2013Atl. MadrileñoRCD MallorcaFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2012Leganés U19Atl. MadrileñoUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.