Oleksandr Filippov

The model rates Oleksandr Filippov's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.9M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.3M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.08x the positional average in the league (840 minutes, league coefficient 0.25). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

840 (31% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.75

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.55

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

35 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.25 (rank 30)

Team strength (Elo)

1290

Opponent strength

1139

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

declining

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€78k – €340k

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 49 pts; changed club.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -67% (IQR -78% to -48%).

• ▲Small sample: 840 league minutes last season.
• ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
• ▲Age 34: resale value typically declines.
• ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
• ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
• ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
• ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Historical movers

18 (ATT)

Relative output kept

87%–104%

Held a regular role (900+ min)

94%

Confidence

Low

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.