Steve Mounié
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Steve Mounié's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-1.1M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-1.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-1.1M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.81x the positional average in the league (704 minutes, league coefficient 0.40). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Average | 35.5th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 31.8 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €503k vs market €1.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -55% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.4 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 901 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 704 (23% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.26
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.41
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 36 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.40 (rank 18)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1229
- Opponent strength
- 1285
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €390k – €1.1M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -47% (IQR -63% to -26%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 704 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Age 32: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 53 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 79%–133%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 58%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Alanyaspor | Super Lig | ST | 21 | 704 | 23% | 2 | 0 | 0.26 | 0.41 | 1285 | 1229 | 0.40 |
| 2024/25 | FC Augsburg | Bundesliga | ST | 16 | 334 | 11% | 1 | 0 | 0.27 | 0.44 | 1454 | 1404 | 0.94 |
| 2023/24 | Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 1 | ST | 32 | 1772 | 58% | 6 | 2 | 0.41 | 0.45 | 1477 | 1504 | 0.87 |
| 2022/23 | Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 1 | ST | 23 | 1662 | 49% | 6 | 0 | 0.32 | 0.45 | 1437 | 1399 | 0.82 |
| 2021/22 | Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 1 | ST | 35 | 2312 | 68% | 9 | 2 | 0.43 | 0.55 | 1429 | 1369 | 0.86 |
| 2020/21 | Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 1 | ST | 35 | 2687 | 79% | 9 | 4 | 0.44 | 0.54 | 1438 | 1306 | 0.75 |
| 2018/19 | Huddersfield Town | Premier League | ST | 31 | 1776 | 52% | 2 | 3 | 0.25 | 0.45 | 1522 | 1321 | 1.22 |
| 2017/18 | Huddersfield Town | Premier League | ST | 28 | 1858 | 54% | 7 | 2 | 0.44 | 0.61 | 1531 | 1409 | 1.15 |
| 2016/17 | Montpellier HSC | Ligue 1 | ST | 35 | 2830 | 83% | 14 | 3 | 0.54 | 0.55 | 1421 | 1380 | 0.88 |
| 2015/16 | Montpellier HSC | Ligue 1 | ST | 2 | 36 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.45 | 1337 | 1431 | 0.78 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Africa Cup Of Nations | Benin | 2 | 180 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2025/26 | Dfb Pokal | FC Augsburg | 1 | 90 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Dfb Pokal | FC Augsburg | 1 | 10 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2018/19 | Fa Cup | Huddersfield Town | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Fa Cup | Huddersfield Town | 3 | 300 | 2 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Britt Assombalonga Super Lig · 2024 | 32 | €1.0M | €1.0M | flat |
| Duckens Nazon Super Lig · 2024 | 30 | €1.6M | €1.6M | flat |
| André Felipe Super Lig · 2021 | 31 | €750k | €300k | fell |
| Floyd Ayité Super Lig · 2020 | 32 | €1.0M | €300k | fell |
| Wilson Eduardo Super Lig · 2022 | 32 | €1.3M | €600k | fell |
| Stiven Mendoza Super Lig · 2024 | 32 | €1.0M | €600k | fell |
| Bojan Matic Super League 1 · 2021 | 30 | €600k | €400k | fell |
| Rachid Ghezzal Super Lig · 2024 | 32 | €2.0M | €600k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Alanyaspor | Augsburg | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 12 Sept 2025 | Augsburg | Alanyaspor | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 5 Jul 2024 | Stade Brestois | Augsburg | Free / loan | €6.0M |
| 9 Sept 2020 | Huddersfield | Stade Brestois | €5.0M | €6.5M |
| 5 Jul 2017 | Montpellier | Huddersfield | €13.0M | €5.5M |
| 30 Jun 2016 | Nîmes Olympique | Montpellier | Free / loan | €600k |
| 31 Aug 2015 | Montpellier | Nîmes Olympique | Free / loan | €150k |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Montpellier B | Montpellier | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Montpellier U19 | Montpellier B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2011 | Montpellier U17 | Montpellier U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.