Giannis Kargas

31 yrs · Centre-back · Greece
Volou Neos Podosferikos Syllogos · Super League 1 · Foot: right · Height: 188 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2028
Market value
€250k
Updated today
Estimated acquisition
€63k – €331k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€282k – €440k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€134k – €242k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€49k – €378k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€63k – €331k
Model value (performance-implied)€282k – €440k
Projected value (24 months)€134k – €242k
Dashed line: current market value (€250k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Giannis Kargas's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.2M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 83

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average6.3th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable31.6 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €146k vs market €250k
Expected appreciationLow-17% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapLargeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.43
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €700k

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2016 (86% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.00
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.04
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
6 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.42 (rank 16)
Team strength (Elo)
1129
Opponent strength
1253
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€134k – €242k

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -44% (IQR -63% to -36%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Age 32: resale value typically declines.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
25 (DEF)
Relative output kept
55%–230%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
68%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Volou Neos Podosferikos SyllogosSuper League 1CB23201686%000.000.04125311290.43
2022/23Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos KonstantinoupolitonSuper League 1CB428712%010.310.08114114520.37
2021/22PAS GianninaSuper League 1CB25224196%200.080.08125412480.39
2020/21PAS GianninaSuper League 1CB19158468%200.110.12125511970.39
2018/19PAS GianninaSuper League 1CB868025%000.000.06128311840.43
2017/18Panionios AthensSuper League 1CB4773%000.000.09139113030.48
2016/17AO PlataniasSuper League 1CB20131749%200.140.15132512670.44

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Kypello ElladasVolou Neos Podosferikos Syllogos422500—
2022/23Kypello ElladasPanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton327000—
2022/23Uefa Conference League QualifyingPanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton2162001299
2021/22Kypello ElladasPAS Giannina112010—
2020/21Kypello ElladasPAS Giannina639010—
2018/19Uefa Europa League QualifyingDynamo Brest3270001375
2017/18Kypello ElladasPanionios Athens327000—
2016/17Kypello ElladasAO Platanias644700—
2015/16Kypello ElladasPanachaiki GE218001—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Giannis Ioannou
Super League 1 · 2017
33€200k€100kfell
Giannis Skondras
Super League 1 · 2021
31€300k€75kfell
Philipp Haastrup
Eredivisie · 2013
31€300k€75kfell
Igor Jovanovic
Super League 1 · 2020
31€350k€150kfell
Matti Olsen
Superliga · 2024
29€350k€300kflat
Alexios Michail
Super League 1 · 2019
33€300k€200kfell
Nikola Zizic
Super League 1 · 2018
30€400k€250kfell
Roman Gagun
Premier Liga · 2023
30€400k€250kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2025AnorthosisVolos NFCFree / loan€200k
8 Jul 2023PAOKAnorthosisFree / loan€600k
1 Jul 2022PAS GianninaPAOK€280k€700k
19 Aug 2020Levski SofiaPAS GianninaFree / loan€475k
1 Jul 2019PAS GianninaLevski SofiaFree / loan€300k
12 Feb 2019Dynamo BrestPAS GianninaFree / loan€300k
2 Feb 2018PanioniosDynamo BrestFree / loan€450k
25 Jul 2017PlataniasPanioniosFree / loan€450k
29 Jan 2016PanachaikiPlataniasUnknown€250k
31 Jan 2014FostirasPanachaikiFree / loan€150k
13 Aug 2013KavalaFostirasFree / loan€150k
1 Jul 2011Kavala U19KavalaUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.