
Giannis Kargas
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Giannis Kargas's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.2M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 83
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 6.3th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 31.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €146k vs market €250k |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -17% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2016 (86% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.04
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 6 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1129
- Opponent strength
- 1253
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €134k – €242k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -44% (IQR -63% to -36%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Age 32: resale value typically declines.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 25 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 55%–230%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 68%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Volou Neos Podosferikos Syllogos | Super League 1 | CB | 23 | 2016 | 86% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1253 | 1129 | 0.43 |
| 2022/23 | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | Super League 1 | CB | 4 | 287 | 12% | 0 | 1 | 0.31 | 0.08 | 1141 | 1452 | 0.37 |
| 2021/22 | PAS Giannina | Super League 1 | CB | 25 | 2241 | 96% | 2 | 0 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 1254 | 1248 | 0.39 |
| 2020/21 | PAS Giannina | Super League 1 | CB | 19 | 1584 | 68% | 2 | 0 | 0.11 | 0.12 | 1255 | 1197 | 0.39 |
| 2018/19 | PAS Giannina | Super League 1 | CB | 8 | 680 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1283 | 1184 | 0.43 |
| 2017/18 | Panionios Athens | Super League 1 | CB | 4 | 77 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 1391 | 1303 | 0.48 |
| 2016/17 | AO Platanias | Super League 1 | CB | 20 | 1317 | 49% | 2 | 0 | 0.14 | 0.15 | 1325 | 1267 | 0.44 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | Volou Neos Podosferikos Syllogos | 4 | 225 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Kypello Elladas | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 2 | 162 | 0 | 0 | 1299 |
| 2021/22 | Kypello Elladas | PAS Giannina | 1 | 120 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Kypello Elladas | PAS Giannina | 6 | 390 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Dynamo Brest | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | 1375 |
| 2017/18 | Kypello Elladas | Panionios Athens | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Kypello Elladas | AO Platanias | 6 | 447 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2015/16 | Kypello Elladas | Panachaiki GE | 2 | 180 | 0 | 1 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Ioannou Super League 1 · 2017 | 33 | €200k | €100k | fell |
| Giannis Skondras Super League 1 · 2021 | 31 | €300k | €75k | fell |
| Philipp Haastrup Eredivisie · 2013 | 31 | €300k | €75k | fell |
| Igor Jovanovic Super League 1 · 2020 | 31 | €350k | €150k | fell |
| Matti Olsen Superliga · 2024 | 29 | €350k | €300k | flat |
| Alexios Michail Super League 1 · 2019 | 33 | €300k | €200k | fell |
| Nikola Zizic Super League 1 · 2018 | 30 | €400k | €250k | fell |
| Roman Gagun Premier Liga · 2023 | 30 | €400k | €250k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | Anorthosis | Volos NFC | Free / loan | €200k |
| 8 Jul 2023 | PAOK | Anorthosis | Free / loan | €600k |
| 1 Jul 2022 | PAS Giannina | PAOK | €280k | €700k |
| 19 Aug 2020 | Levski Sofia | PAS Giannina | Free / loan | €475k |
| 1 Jul 2019 | PAS Giannina | Levski Sofia | Free / loan | €300k |
| 12 Feb 2019 | Dynamo Brest | PAS Giannina | Free / loan | €300k |
| 2 Feb 2018 | Panionios | Dynamo Brest | Free / loan | €450k |
| 25 Jul 2017 | Platanias | Panionios | Free / loan | €450k |
| 29 Jan 2016 | Panachaiki | Platanias | Unknown | €250k |
| 31 Jan 2014 | Fostiras | Panachaiki | Free / loan | €150k |
| 13 Aug 2013 | Kavala | Fostiras | Free / loan | €150k |
| 1 Jul 2011 | Kavala U19 | Kavala | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.