Charles Pickel
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Charles Pickel's performance-implied value at EUR 1.1M-2.9M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.0M-2.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.9M-2.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.03x the positional average in the league (693 minutes, league coefficient 0.95). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Average | 47.1th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 29.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €1.7M vs market €2.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -39% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1164 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 693 (20% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.13
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.13
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 47 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1399
- Opponent strength
- 1461
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €887k – €2.5M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -42% (IQR -59% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ▲Small sample: 693 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | RCD Espanyol Barcelona | Laliga | DM | 24 | 693 | 20% | 1 | 0 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 1461 | 1399 | 0.95 |
| 2022/23 | US Cremonese | Serie A | CM | 33 | 2492 | 73% | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.14 | 1471 | 1269 | 0.94 |
| 2021/22 | FC Famalicão | Liga Portugal | DM | 29 | 2375 | 78% | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 0.09 | 1375 | 1365 | 0.67 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Copa Del Rey | RCD Espanyol Barcelona | 2 | 163 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Democratic Republic of the Congo | 2 | 34 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Italy Cup | US Cremonese | 5 | 442 | 1 | 1 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Bessa Serie A · 2022 | 29 | €2.5M | €3.0M | rose |
| Valentin Eysseric Serie A · 2021 | 29 | €1.5M | €1.5M | flat |
| Ricardo Álvarez Serie A · 2017 | 29 | €4.0M | €1.5M | fell |
| Valerio Verre Serie A · 2022 | 28 | €2.5M | €1.4M | fell |
| Raphael Martinho Serie A · 2016 | 28 | €1.3M | €300k | fell |
| Jailson Laliga · 2024 | 29 | €1.5M | €1.5M | flat |
| David Vaughan Premier League · 2013 | 30 | €2.5M | €1.5M | fell |
| Jermaine Jenas Premier League · 2013 | 30 | €3.5M | €1.5M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Espanyol | Cremonese | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 27 Aug 2025 | Cremonese | Espanyol | Free / loan | €2.4M |
| 22 Jul 2022 | Famalicão | Cremonese | €3.8M | €2.5M |
| 22 Aug 2021 | Grenoble | Famalicão | €1.5M | €700k |
| 2 Jul 2019 | Grasshoppers | Grenoble | €400k | €750k |
| 30 Jun 2019 | Neuchâtel Xamax | Grasshoppers | Free / loan | €750k |
| 7 Sept 2018 | Grasshoppers | Neuchâtel Xamax | Free / loan | €750k |
| 30 Jun 2018 | FC Schaffhausen | Grasshoppers | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 30 Jan 2018 | Grasshoppers | FC Schaffhausen | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 28 Feb 2017 | FC Basel U21 | Grasshoppers | Unknown | €200k |
| 1 Feb 2015 | FC Basel U18 | FC Basel U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | FC Basel U17 | FC Basel U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | FC Basel U16 | FC Basel U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2011 | Solothurn Yth. | FC Basel U16 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.