Dennis Eckert Ayensa

29 yrs · Striker · Iran
Standard Liège · Jupiler Pro League · Foot: right · Height: 182 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2028
Market value
€2.0M
Updated today
Estimated acquisition
€760k – €2.1M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€500k – €1.9M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€511k – €1.6M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€1.6M – €1.1M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€760k – €2.1M
Model value (performance-implied)€500k – €1.9M
Projected value (24 months)€511k – €1.6M
Dashed line: current market value (€2.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Dennis Eckert Ayensa's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-1.9M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.8M-2.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.5M-1.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.67x the positional average in the league (1638 minutes, league coefficient 0.65). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 8

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average30.5th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable29.5 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €1.3M vs market €2.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-58% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapNegativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationModerateleague coefficient 0.65
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €2.5M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1638 (61% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.17
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.34
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
31 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.65 (rank 6)
Team strength (Elo)
1341
Opponent strength
1377
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€511k – €1.6M

Trajectory drivers: relative output down 26% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -72% (IQR -81% to -45%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ⚠Limited sample: 1638 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
78 (ATT)
Relative output kept
72%–126%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
60%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Standard LiègeJupiler Pro LeagueST27163861%300.160.34137713410.65
2024/25Standard LiègeJupiler Pro LeagueST23180467%630.450.50137713170.63
2024/25Union Saint-GilloiseJupiler Pro LeagueST32017%100.450.25124615450.63
2023/24Union Saint-GilloiseJupiler Pro LeagueST23114242%730.790.49137615890.63
2022/23Union Saint-GilloiseJupiler Pro LeagueST81976%211.370.45131915710.58
2018/19Excelsior RotterdamEredivisieST1243514%200.410.65144512350.61
2018/19Celta de VigoLaligaST92106%000.000.42153814941.14

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Jupiler Pro League Europe Play OffsStandard Liège8348201367
2024/25Uefa Champions League QualifyingUnion Saint-Gilloise273001586
2024/25Volkswagen SupercupUnion Saint-Gilloise168001557
2023/24Uefa Europa League QualifyingUnion Saint-Gilloise2131201356
2023/24Uefa Europa LeagueUnion Saint-Gilloise475001600
2022/23Uefa Europa LeagueUnion Saint-Gilloise386001537
2022/23Uefa Champions League QualifyingUnion Saint-Gilloise17001603
2018/19Copa Del ReyCelta de Vigo14500—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Dino Hotic
Jupiler Pro League · 2023
28€1.5M€1.5Mflat
Juan Delgado
Liga Portugal · 2022
29€1.0M€1.0Mflat
Erkan Zengin
Super Lig · 2016
31€2.6M€150kfell
Kaveh Rezaei
Jupiler Pro League · 2021
29€2.5M€500kfell
Danilo Dias
Liga Portugal · 2014
29€2.5M€500kfell
Anton Zabolotnyi
Premier Liga · 2022
31€2.0M€900kfell
Pintassilgo
Liga Portugal · 2015
30€900k€150kfell
Rúben Ribeiro
Liga Portugal · 2018
31€2.0M€800kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2025Union SGStandard Liège€1.0M€2.5M
30 Jun 2025Standard LiègeUnion SGFree / loan€2.5M
6 Sept 2024Union SGStandard LiègeFree / loan€2.5M
1 Jul 2022FC IngolstadtUnion SGFree / loan€450k
2 Sept 2019Celta de VigoFC IngolstadtFree / loan€1.2M
30 Jun 2019ExcelsiorCelta de VigoFree / loan€1.2M
31 Jan 2019Celta de VigoExcelsiorFree / loan€1.2M
1 Jul 2018Celta Vigo BCelta de VigoUnknown€500k
1 Jul 2017M'gladbach IICelta Vigo BFree / loan€25k
1 Jul 2016M'gladbach U19M'gladbach IIUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2014M'gladbach U17M'gladbach U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2013Aachen U17M'gladbach U17Free / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2012Aachen Yth.Aachen U17UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 20111.FC Köln Yth.Aachen Yth.Free / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2007Pulheim Yth.1.FC Köln Yth.Free / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.