Ivan Toney
30 yrs · Striker · England
Al-Ahli Saudi Football Club · Saudi Pro League · Foot: right · Height: 185 cm
Contract: until 30 Jun 2028
No model evaluation for this player. MoneyballAI evaluates players with at least 450 league minutes last season in leagues where match-level player data is available from the current free source (14 European top divisions). Market value and transfer history are still shown below.
Market value
€20.0M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
—
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
—
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
—
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
—
Model value − acquisition
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Highest recorded: €50.0M
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023/24 | Brentford FC | Premier League | ST | 17 | 1449 | 42% | 4 | 2 | 0.37 | 0.50 | 1629 | 1500 | 1.14 |
| 2022/23 | Brentford FC | Premier League | ST | 33 | 2955 | 86% | 20 | 4 | 0.73 | 0.71 | 1552 | 1623 | 1.23 |
| 2021/22 | Brentford FC | Premier League | ST | 33 | 2908 | 85% | 12 | 5 | 0.53 | 0.70 | 1566 | 1483 | 1.17 |
| 2015/16 | Newcastle United | Premier League | ST | 2 | 10 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.92 | 1675 | 1435 | 1.08 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021/22 | Fa Cup | Brentford FC | 2 | 97 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Fa Cup | Wigan Athletic | 4 | 191 | 2 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
No comparables computed for this player.
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug 2024 | Brentford | Al-Ahli | €42.0M | €50.0M |
| 1 Sept 2020 | Peterborough | Brentford | €5.6M | €400k |
| 9 Aug 2018 | Newcastle | Peterborough | €390k | €500k |
| 31 May 2018 | Scunthorpe Utd. | Newcastle | Free / loan | €500k |
| 11 Jan 2018 | Newcastle | Scunthorpe Utd. | Free / loan | €500k |
| 10 Jan 2018 | Wigan | Newcastle | Free / loan | €500k |
| 2 Aug 2017 | Newcastle | Wigan | Free / loan | €500k |
| 31 May 2017 | Scunthorpe Utd. | Newcastle | Free / loan | €500k |
| 12 Jan 2017 | Newcastle | Scunthorpe Utd. | Free / loan | €500k |
| 5 Jan 2017 | Shrewsbury | Newcastle | Free / loan | €500k |
| 8 Aug 2016 | Newcastle | Shrewsbury | Free / loan | €500k |
| 31 May 2016 | Barnsley | Newcastle | Free / loan | €500k |
| 24 Mar 2016 | Newcastle | Barnsley | Free / loan | €500k |
| 23 Dec 2015 | Barnsley | Newcastle | Free / loan | €500k |
| 9 Nov 2015 | Newcastle | Barnsley | Free / loan | €500k |
| 6 Aug 2015 | Northampton | Newcastle | €360k | €150k |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Northampton U18 | Northampton | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.