
Pione Sisto
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Pione Sisto's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.9M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.93x the positional average in the league (592 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Below average | 21.5th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 31.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €295k vs market €600k |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -37% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 901 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 592 (25% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.29
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 22 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1198
- Opponent strength
- 1281
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €229k – €589k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 17 pts; team strength down (-90 Elo); league level up (+40 Elo); relative output up 51% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -41% (IQR -53% to -19%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 592 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 19 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 99%–112%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 47%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Aris Thessalonikis | Super League 1 | LW | 6 | 325 | 14% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.29 | 1281 | 1255 | 0.43 |
| 2025/26 | Athlitiki Enosi Larisas | Super League 1 | LW | 5 | 267 | 11% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.49 | 1344 | 1129 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | Aris Thessalonikis | Super League 1 | LW | 20 | 993 | 42% | 0 | 2 | 0.18 | 0.26 | 1255 | 1288 | 0.35 |
| 2023/24 | Alanyaspor | Super Lig | LW | 20 | 662 | 19% | 1 | 0 | 0.14 | 0.34 | 1311 | 1313 | 0.45 |
| 2022/23 | FC Midtjylland | Superliga | LW | 12 | 787 | 40% | 3 | 1 | 0.46 | 0.32 | 1269 | 1368 | 0.47 |
| 2021/22 | FC Midtjylland | Superliga | LW | 19 | 1268 | 64% | 2 | 3 | 0.35 | 0.24 | 1272 | 1429 | 0.45 |
| 2020/21 | FC Midtjylland | Superliga | LW | 20 | 1362 | 69% | 5 | 2 | 0.46 | 0.32 | 1290 | 1450 | 0.43 |
| 2019/20 | Celta de Vigo | Laliga | LW | 21 | 886 | 26% | 2 | 0 | 0.20 | 0.41 | 1512 | 1479 | 1.16 |
| 2018/19 | Celta de Vigo | Laliga | LW | 25 | 834 | 24% | 2 | 1 | 0.32 | 0.49 | 1573 | 1494 | 1.14 |
| 2017/18 | Celta de Vigo | Laliga | LW | 34 | 2534 | 74% | 5 | 9 | 0.50 | 0.47 | 1539 | 1523 | 1.11 |
| 2016/17 | Celta de Vigo | Laliga | LW | 30 | 1665 | 49% | 3 | 4 | 0.38 | 0.39 | 1583 | 1520 | 1.11 |
| 2016/17 | FC Midtjylland | Superliga | LW | 2 | 93 | 4% | 2 | 0 | 1.94 | 0.49 | 1319 | 1377 | 0.48 |
| 2015/16 | FC Midtjylland | Superliga | LW | 29 | 1744 | 59% | 4 | 4 | 0.41 | 0.34 | 1303 | 1447 | 0.53 |
| 2014/15 | FC Midtjylland | Superliga | RW | 22 | 1526 | 51% | 8 | 4 | 0.71 | 0.52 | 1365 | 1416 | 0.48 |
| 2013/14 | FC Midtjylland | Superliga | RM | 27 | 1472 | 50% | 6 | 3 | 0.55 | 0.32 | 1348 | 1415 | 0.63 |
| 2012/13 | FC Midtjylland | Superliga | LW | 10 | 206 | 7% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.29 | 1327 | 1377 | 0.54 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | Aris Thessalonikis | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Kypello Elladas | Aris Thessalonikis | 3 | 181 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | FC Midtjylland | 5 | 275 | 0 | 0 | 1524 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | FC Midtjylland | 3 | 241 | 2 | 0 | 1600 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League | FC Midtjylland | 6 | 496 | 0 | 0 | 1509 |
| 2021/22 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Midtjylland | 5 | 280 | 0 | 3 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | FC Midtjylland | 2 | 210 | 0 | 1 | 1532 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League | FC Midtjylland | 5 | 345 | 0 | 0 | 1711 |
| 2020/21 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Midtjylland | 4 | 177 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | FC Midtjylland | 3 | 109 | 0 | 0 | 1496 |
| 2019/20 | Copa Del Rey | Celta de Vigo | 2 | 125 | 2 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Copa Del Rey | Celta de Vigo | 2 | 135 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Copa Del Rey | Celta de Vigo | 2 | 124 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Europa League | Celta de Vigo | 13 | 947 | 2 | 0 | 1560 |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | FC Midtjylland | 5 | 431 | 4 | 0 | 1380 |
| 2016/17 | Copa Del Rey | Celta de Vigo | 6 | 226 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2015/16 | Uefa Europa League | FC Midtjylland | 7 | 479 | 4 | 0 | 1551 |
| 2015/16 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | FC Midtjylland | 4 | 268 | 0 | 0 | 1366 |
| 2015/16 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | FC Midtjylland | 2 | 140 | 0 | 0 | 1548 |
| 2014/15 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | FC Midtjylland | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1435 |
| 2013/14 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Midtjylland | 2 | 109 | 3 | 0 | — |
| 2012/13 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Midtjylland | 1 | 68 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stéphane Bahoken Super Lig · 2024 | 32 | €950k | €950k | flat |
| Aleksandr Yushin Premier Liga · 2024 | 29 | €800k | €800k | flat |
| Mohamed Youssouf Super League 1 · 2017 | 29 | €400k | €300k | fell |
| Muris Mesanovic Super Lig · 2020 | 30 | €900k | €350k | fell |
| Abdoulay Diaby Super Lig · 2024 | 33 | €600k | €175k | fell |
| Mehdi Carcela-González Jupiler Pro League · 2022 | 33 | €500k | €250k | fell |
| Clarck N'Sikulu Super League 1 · 2021 | 29 | €500k | €300k | fell |
| Abiola Dauda Super League 1 · 2017 | 29 | €600k | €350k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan 2026 | Aris Saloniki | AE Larisa | Free / loan | €800k |
| 23 Jul 2024 | Alanyaspor | Aris Saloniki | Free / loan | €1.3M |
| 14 Sept 2023 | Midtjylland | Alanyaspor | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 5 Sept 2020 | Celta de Vigo | Midtjylland | €2.5M | €4.8M |
| 31 Jul 2016 | Midtjylland | Celta de Vigo | €6.0M | €3.5M |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Midtjylland U19 | Midtjylland | Unknown | €150k |
| 1 Jul 2012 | FCM Youth | Midtjylland U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2010 | Tjörring U19 | FCM Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.