Pione Sisto

31 yrs · Left winger (also RM, RW) · Denmark
Athlitiki Enosi Larisas · Super League 1 · Foot: right · Height: 172 cm
Risk: Very HighConfidence: LowSample: LowDevelopment: LowContract: Data unavailable
Market value
€600k
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€143k – €687k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€290k – €859k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€229k – €589k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€396k – €716k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€143k – €687k
Model value (performance-implied)€290k – €859k
Projected value (24 months)€229k – €589k
Dashed line: current market value (€600k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Pione Sisto's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.9M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.93x the positional average in the league (592 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)

PerformanceBelow average21.5th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable31.4 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €295k vs market €600k
Expected appreciationVery low-37% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapLargeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.43
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskVery High
Data confidenceLow

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €15.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 901 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
592 (25% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.00
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.29
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
22 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.42 (rank 16)
Team strength (Elo)
1198
Opponent strength
1281
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
stable
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€229k – €589k

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 17 pts; team strength down (-90 Elo); league level up (+40 Elo); relative output up 51% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -41% (IQR -53% to -19%).

Risk profile

Overall: Very High

  • ▲Small sample: 592 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
19 (ATT)
Relative output kept
99%–112%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
47%
Confidence
Low

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Aris ThessalonikisSuper League 1LW632514%000.000.29128112550.43
2025/26Athlitiki Enosi LarisasSuper League 1LW526711%000.000.49134411290.43
2024/25Aris ThessalonikisSuper League 1LW2099342%020.180.26125512880.35
2023/24AlanyasporSuper LigLW2066219%100.140.34131113130.45
2022/23FC MidtjyllandSuperligaLW1278740%310.460.32126913680.47
2021/22FC MidtjyllandSuperligaLW19126864%230.350.24127214290.45
2020/21FC MidtjyllandSuperligaLW20136269%520.460.32129014500.43
2019/20Celta de VigoLaligaLW2188626%200.200.41151214791.16
2018/19Celta de VigoLaligaLW2583424%210.320.49157314941.14
2017/18Celta de VigoLaligaLW34253474%590.500.47153915231.11
2016/17Celta de VigoLaligaLW30166549%340.380.39158315201.11
2016/17FC MidtjyllandSuperligaLW2934%201.940.49131913770.48
2015/16FC MidtjyllandSuperligaLW29174459%440.410.34130314470.53
2014/15FC MidtjyllandSuperligaRW22152651%840.710.52136514160.48
2013/14FC MidtjyllandSuperligaRM27147250%630.550.32134814150.63
2012/13FC MidtjyllandSuperligaLW102067%000.000.29132713770.54

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Kypello ElladasAris Thessalonikis327000—
2024/25Kypello ElladasAris Thessalonikis318100—
2022/23Uefa Europa LeagueFC Midtjylland5275001524
2022/23Uefa Champions League QualifyingFC Midtjylland3241201600
2021/22Uefa Europa LeagueFC Midtjylland6496001509
2021/22Oddset PokalenFC Midtjylland528003—
2021/22Uefa Champions League QualifyingFC Midtjylland2210011532
2020/21Uefa Champions LeagueFC Midtjylland5345001711
2020/21Oddset PokalenFC Midtjylland417700—
2020/21Uefa Champions League QualifyingFC Midtjylland3109001496
2019/20Copa Del ReyCelta de Vigo212520—
2018/19Copa Del ReyCelta de Vigo213500—
2017/18Copa Del ReyCelta de Vigo212410—
2016/17Uefa Europa LeagueCelta de Vigo13947201560
2016/17Uefa Europa League QualifyingFC Midtjylland5431401380
2016/17Copa Del ReyCelta de Vigo622610—
2015/16Uefa Europa LeagueFC Midtjylland7479401551
2015/16Uefa Champions League QualifyingFC Midtjylland4268001366
2015/16Uefa Europa League QualifyingFC Midtjylland2140001548
2014/15Uefa Europa League QualifyingFC Midtjylland2180001435
2013/14Oddset PokalenFC Midtjylland210930—
2012/13Oddset PokalenFC Midtjylland16800—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Stéphane Bahoken
Super Lig · 2024
32€950k€950kflat
Aleksandr Yushin
Premier Liga · 2024
29€800k€800kflat
Mohamed Youssouf
Super League 1 · 2017
29€400k€300kfell
Muris Mesanovic
Super Lig · 2020
30€900k€350kfell
Abdoulay Diaby
Super Lig · 2024
33€600k€175kfell
Mehdi Carcela-González
Jupiler Pro League · 2022
33€500k€250kfell
Clarck N'Sikulu
Super League 1 · 2021
29€500k€300kfell
Abiola Dauda
Super League 1 · 2017
29€600k€350kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
30 Jan 2026Aris SalonikiAE LarisaFree / loan€800k
23 Jul 2024AlanyasporAris SalonikiFree / loan€1.3M
14 Sept 2023MidtjyllandAlanyasporFree / loan€2.0M
5 Sept 2020Celta de VigoMidtjylland€2.5M€4.8M
31 Jul 2016MidtjyllandCelta de Vigo€6.0M€3.5M
1 Jul 2013Midtjylland U19MidtjyllandUnknown€150k
1 Jul 2012FCM YouthMidtjylland U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2010Tjörring U19FCM YouthFree / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.