Marko Jevtovic
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Marko Jevtovic's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.65x the positional average in the league (1177 minutes, league coefficient 0.40). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: 77
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 19.2th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 32.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €198k vs market €400k |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -35% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.4 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1177 (39% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.08
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 19 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.40 (rank 18)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1230
- Opponent strength
- 1274
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €136k – €355k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 34 pts; relative output down 48% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -45% (IQR -51% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Age 33: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1177 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 35 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 77%–144%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 69%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Konyaspor | Super Lig | DM | 21 | 1177 | 38% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 1274 | 1230 | 0.40 |
| 2024/25 | Konyaspor | Super Lig | DM | 32 | 2344 | 72% | 3 | 2 | 0.19 | 0.16 | 1269 | 1228 | 0.39 |
| 2023/24 | Gaziantep FK | Super Lig | DM | 30 | 1717 | 50% | 3 | 0 | 0.16 | 0.21 | 1314 | 1212 | 0.45 |
| 2022/23 | Gaziantep FK | Super Lig | DM | 21 | 1881 | 58% | 3 | 0 | 0.14 | 0.14 | 1283 | 1106 | 0.50 |
| 2020/21 | Konyaspor | Super Lig | DM | 35 | 2865 | 80% | 4 | 2 | 0.19 | 0.19 | 1277 | 1225 | 0.37 |
| 2019/20 | Konyaspor | Super Lig | DM | 24 | 1651 | 54% | 3 | 0 | 0.16 | 0.19 | 1345 | 1226 | 0.45 |
| 2018/19 | Konyaspor | Super Lig | DM | 29 | 2326 | 76% | 2 | 2 | 0.15 | 0.14 | 1395 | 1333 | 0.58 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | FK Partizan Belgrade | 1 | 71 | 1 | 0 | 1268 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celso Borges Super Lig · 2020 | 32 | €600k | €275k | fell |
| Rubén Gomez Super League 1 · 2015 | 31 | €500k | €275k | fell |
| Calum Butcher Scottish Premiership · 2022 | 31 | €450k | €250k | fell |
| Antonis Ladakis Super League 1 · 2015 | 33 | €300k | €150k | fell |
| Roman Akbashev Premier Liga · 2024 | 33 | €400k | €400k | flat |
| James Jeggo Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 32 | €500k | €500k | flat |
| Gary McDonald Scottish Premiership · 2015 | 33 | €350k | €350k | flat |
| Abdul Osman Scottish Premiership · 2018 | 31 | €350k | €125k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul 2024 | Gaziantep FK | Konyaspor | Free / loan | €650k |
| 6 Jul 2022 | Partizan | Gaziantep FK | Unknown | €1.8M |
| 1 Feb 2022 | Al-Ahli SC | Partizan | Free / loan | €1.6M |
| 9 Jul 2021 | Konyaspor | Al-Ahli SC | Free / loan | €2.1M |
| 1 Aug 2018 | Partizan | Konyaspor | €500k | €1.2M |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Novi Pazar | Partizan | €50k | €500k |
| 5 Aug 2013 | Hajduk 1912 | Novi Pazar | Free / loan | €150k |
| 13 Jan 2013 | Sopot | Hajduk Kula | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Dynamo U17 | Sopot | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2011 | Srem Jakovo | Dynamo U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.